Glenn Beck: Can McCain Win?



Rasmussen Reports: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

GLENN: Let me go to Scott Rasmussen first. He's a pollster. Scott Rasmussen from the Rasmussen Reports. Hey, Scott, how are you?

RASMUSSEN: I'm doing great, Glenn. I've got to tell you I always enjoyed being on your show on CNN and appreciated your staff as well.

GLENN: Well, thank you very much. Are you -- I mean, you go over to Fox, too? You do stuff over all of them, right?

RASMUSSEN: I'll answer questions from anybody who asks.

GLENN: Okay, good, good. Because I've enjoyed our relationship, Scott, and I like the way that you think and your polling is very accurate and I have just a few questions that I wanted to get down to the bottom with. One is the Bradley effect. Can you explain the Bradley effect? And then also, do you even believe in the Bradley effect?

RASMUSSEN: Yeah, those are two different things. The theory is that there is a, at least as it's become a myth that there are a number of people who will tell a pollster they are going to vote for an African-American candidate and then in the privacy of their own voting booth, they won't do it. It comes down to an election in California a generation ago, nearly 30 years ago. There are a number of factors that actually went into, you know, Bradley not winning after he had a big lead in some polls. Race may have been one of them. However, I've just got to emphasize that was a generation ago.

GLENN: 30 years ago. 30 years ago.

RASMUSSEN: Right. Look, we called in Tennessee two years ago in Harold Ford's race an African-American running in Tennessee, a place if there was going to be a Bradley effect, you would have seen it. It didn't show up. You know, is it possible that there are some people who refuse to vote for an African-American? Absolutely. In fact, 8% tell us that in our polls, that they will not vote for an African-American.

GLENN: You're ridding me.

RASMUSSEN: No. Now, it's largely generational, and there are more questions about people's peers, you know, would your family, friends and neighbors vote for an African-American. But, you know, this is not something that is -- and I know, believe me, I get e-mails all the time from people who are hoping that John McCain's going to pull off an upset here in the last days saying that because of the Bradley effect, our polls that show, you know, Obama ahead with a narrow lead really mean McCain's ahead, and that's just not the case.

GLENN: Okay. So let me go here because this is my theory. I don't believe in the Bradley effect. I don't believe that -- I shouldn't say this. I don't know anybody that would do that. I mean, the racists I meet are pretty clear, you know?

RASMUSSEN: Exactly.

GLENN: So, you know, they are pretty proud to say, "I'd never vote for, you know, an African-American." But I don't know those people, but I'm sure they exist. Here's what I think is a possibility. Today's world is so unbelievably politically correct, the culture has and the campaigns have made it in such a way that if you say you're against Barack Obama or you're not going to vote for him, you are just like... it just leads to no good. Is there a possibility that there is some margin here that is -- just wants to be left alone? You know what I mean? And they will say whatever they have to say just to get off the phone, just to move on with life. And the reason why I ask this, Scott, is I saw an interview. Where was it? I think it was on Fox in the morning. They were doing a live interview in a diner in either North or South Carolina, and the reporter went up and said, "So who are you going to vote for." And one guy said, "I'm voting for Barack Obama." The other guy said, "I don't know yet. I'd rather not comment." And I was struck with, I think he does know. He just doesn't want to say it. And the next guy said, "I don't, I don't want to say."

RASMUSSEN: Yeah. You know, look, I think what you're describing, there's a little bit of reality to it. I think there are some people who say they are not sure who actually are leaning towards John McCain. If you look at our poll compared to other surveys, we almost always get the same results for Barack Obama's total. There's some variance among the number of people who say they are going to vote for John McCain, and I think that variance helps explain some of the differences in the overall poll results and it also plays right into what you're describing. But having said that, you know, there's a million details. Putting a poll together in theory is easy. Making it work in practice is a great challenge. I'll tell you the things that worry me this election cycle. The biggest one is youth turnout. And the reason I say that is if young voters really show up in large numbers as the Obama camp hopes, that would be unusual historically and it would be very good for a campaign Obama. On the other hand if after all the hype the youth don't come out and vote in big numbers, then the shift will be a couple of points in the other direction towards John McCain. And it is issues like this that, you know, as a pollster we hope they all cancel each other out by the end of the day and that our estimate really is right on the money. And I have to say when I look at all of the data and everything else, it's a very stable race, it has been very stable ever since this economic meltdown began, and I believe what's happened is it's not so much a question of John McCain versus Barack Obama anymore. It's become a referendum on the Bush years, and part of the reason I say that is what we're seeing in John McCain's slippage in the polls over the last month we're also seeing in Senate races and other indicators.

GLENN: Is there any -- is there any indication at all that you get that -- let me ask it this way. Congress has the last number I saw was a 9% approval rating. How is this not translating to the Democratic members of congress?

RASMUSSEN: You know, we just did a poll and we found out that about 38% blame the Bush administration for our problems with the economy right now, 27% blame congress, 11% blame the Clinton administration, you know. So there is some bipartisan blame going around. But part of what you're describing has been created by John McCain. If you watched the debate the other night and if you've listened to Barack Obama in the last week or two, he keeps talking about this is the worst economic situation since the Great Depression. If John McCain were more comfortable talking about the economy, what he could say is, no, actually it's the worst economic situation since Jimmy Carter was in the White House and that's why we needed Ronald Reagan to come in. And there would be, you know, better positioning for him. But he has not taken advantage of that in any way, shape or form.

GLENN: What do you think about the youth vote? Is there any way to measure? When you say that historically they never have come out to vote, I'm trying to think. I mean, Bill Clinton -- well, I guess Bill Clinton kind of connected with the youth but I've never seen a movement before like Barack Obama. Have we seen anything like this ever before?

RASMUSSEN: No. And, you know, let's face it. 18 to 21-year-olds have only been voting for a generation and, you know, the biggest reason those youngest voters got to vote is because they told congress, if we're old enough to go to war, we should be old enough to vote. What those folks wanted was an end to the draft. Congress gave them the right to vote and they just never took advantage of it. My suspicion is youth turnout will be up a little bit this year. Not so much because of the movement aspect or the enthusiasm aspect but because Barack Obama's team has been very organized and they have taken advantage of Internet technology and I believe they will be reminding young people of the vote and to get their votes in early and they have taken the steps to register them. So I think there will be some increase but I don't think it's going to fundamentally alter the demographics of the electorate.

GLENN: So if that doesn't fundamentally alter and the race is this tight, who wins?

RASMUSSEN: Right now it will be Barack Obama. The reason I can say that is with such comfort is not only has he been stably ahead in our model, what we see in our polling -- we always have to try and gauge. We have a series of questions to determine who's going to show up and vote, and we are seeing some increase but not a dramatic increase among the youngest voters. But the reason I'm so comfortable saying Barack Obama would win today is because if you look at the electoral college and you look at the states where the candidates are competing in, there is not a single state won by John Kerry four years ago that John McCain is ahead in. There are nine states that George Bush carried four years ago that we show as either tossups or leaning towards Obama and, you know, when he start talking about Ohio, Florida, Virginia, North Carolina all either tossups or leaning a little bit towards Obama, that's pretty dramatic. John McCain has to win them all to win the White House. Barack Obama would need to pick up one of those.

GLENN: So the Senate race, do they have 60 seats, the Democrats? Do they get 60 seats at the end of this?

RASMUSSEN: Right now the answer is no, they would be close. There have been some indications in the last few weeks that the Senate numbers are starting to shift in favor of the Democrats, and we probably won't know until right before election day. In fact, if you recall, two years ago control of the Senate wasn't decided until the wee hours of the morning when George Allen finally lost in a very close race. You know, we may know earlier how close they are going to be. And my suspicion is if the economic turmoil keeps up, if the market keeps being highly volatile and mostly in a negative direction, the Democrats will get very close to 60 and it will be -- if that happens, the first time since Lyndon Johnson that we'll have a president elected with such a large majority in the Senate.

GLENN: Yeah. Before that it was 1933. The idea of voter fraud, is this -- with an election this close and the idea of voter fraud -- and I'm not a voter fraud expert but have you seen anything like this before? Has this kind of voter fraud happened over and over and over again and we're just very, very sensitive to it at this point? Or is this something new, Scott?

RASMUSSEN: Well, I think there have been problems with voting probably since shortly after George Washington was sworn in, but most of the time it doesn't matter because we haven't had very close elections. But the last several elections have been so close, we're starting to see more flaws in the process. And on top of that, the new technologies and the new communication vehicles for getting people to register to vote I think have opened up some new opportunities. And what it's really done is it's undermining the very legitimacy of the process. Only 53% of voters in Ohio are very confident that their votes will be accurately counted and the right person declared the winner this year.

GLENN: That is really staggering. Have you ever seen a number like that before?

RASMUSSEN: No. I mean, we have seen -- there's a little bit of humor you have to put in all of it. Only about half of Americans typically say that elections are fair to voters but that's sort of in a generic sense. What we see is when the Republicans are winning, Republicans say elections are fair and Democrats say they're not. And when Democrats win, we see the reverse. But something specifically like this in terms of having their votes counted, it's a new high.

GLENN: In California Proposition 8, this thing is going to change. Opponents say this will change absolutely everything. Proposition 8 is to make marriage between a man and a woman -- this is going to change, and we're going to do something on this next week. This is going to change the way schools behave. I believe this could be the end of school choice, quite frankly. This is going to be -- change the way everything is in America. It will probably -- your church, if you stand for marriage between a man and a woman, your church could lose its tax-exempt status, your church could be deemed a hate organization. I mean, the possible ramifications from Proposition 8 are just astounding. Have you done any polling on this?

RASMUSSEN: We have not polled on that issue and it's something that is obviously a big question in the State of California and all around the country. I think the implications you are talking about actually have more to do ultimately with what happens with the judges that are appointed in the next four or eight years. You know, and that's something that is directly under the control of the next President.

GLENN: Well, I mean, it's already happened when California -- and believe it or not, you know, one of the certain court of appeals actually overturned it but I mean, one judge has already said you don't have right to teach your kids in school.

RASMUSSEN: Right.

GLENN: It's madness. How about Colorado and the union measures there that also are going to fundamentally change the way America does business in America? I mean, unions are really trying to make a play here. This happens to be -- and correct me if I'm wrong, Scott. I believe this election is the liberal dream come true, or at least the possibility of the liberal dream come true.

RASMUSSEN: Oh, absolutely. And in fact, when I mentioned a few moments ago that this would be the biggest Senate majority since Lyndon Johnson, we tend to forget what happened with Lyndon Johnson. He was a very skilled politician, an incredible legislative genius when he had a narrow majority to work with when he was the Senate majority leader. But when he became president and had no checks on him, his personal instincts took over, nobody checked them and he couldn't even stand for reelection four years later. Barack Obama, if he gets elected with a 60-seat majority in the Senate, is going to face a challenge. The left is going to have a lot of pent-up demands. They want to destroy anything that was left from the Reagan era and they are going to be pressing Barack Obama to push through an agenda that is far to the left of where most Americans are. If Obama is unable to resist, it probably will have some negative implications for Democrats going forward. But who knows what happens in the meantime.

GLENN: Okay. Scott, I appreciate it. We'll talk to you again, my friend.

RASMUSSEN: Look forward to it.

For the first time in the history of "The Glenn Beck Program," former President Donald Trump joined Glenn to give his take on America's direction under President Joe Biden compared to his own administration. He explained why Biden's horrific Afghanistan withdrawal was "not even a little bit" like his plan, and why he thinks it was "the most embarrassing event in the history of our country."

Plus, the former president gave his opinion on China's potential takeover of Bagram Air Base, the Pakistani Prime Minister, and Gen. Mark A. Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

Glenn asked President Trump how similar the Biden administration's withdrawal from Afghanistan was to his administration's plan.

"Not even a little bit," Trump answered. "We had a great plan, but it was a very tenuous plan. It was based on many conditions. For instance, you can't kill American soldiers. ... You have to understand, I did want to get out. But I wanted to get out with dignity, and I wanted to take our equipment out. And I didn't want soldiers killed. ... What [Biden] did was just indefensible. He took the military out first and he left all the people. And then we became beggars to get the people out. I had a plan to get them out very quickly. But first, the Americans would go out."

Trump told Glenn that his plan included maintaining Bagram Air Base and explained why he would not have left "a single nail" behind in Afghanistan for the Taliban to seize.

"We were going to keep Bagram open," he explained. "We were never going to close that because, frankly, Bagram is more about China than it is about Afghanistan. It was practically on the other border of China. And now we've lost that. And you know who is taking it over? China is taking it over. We spend $10 billion to build that base. It's got the longest, most powerful runways in the world. And China has now got its representatives there and it looks like they'll take it over. Glenn, it's not believable what's happened. You know, they have Apache helicopters. These are really expensive weapons, and they have 28 of them. And they're brand-new. The latest model."

Glenn mentioned recent reports that Gen. Milley, America's top military officer, made "secret phone calls" to his counterpart in China while President Trump was in office.

"I learned early on that he was a dope," Trump said of Gen. Milley. "He made a statement to me — and I guarantee that's what happened to Biden — because I said, 'We're getting out of Afghanistan. We have to do it.' And I said, 'I want every nail. I want every screw. I want every bolt. I want every plane. I want every tank. I want it all out, down to the nails, screws, bolts ... I want every single thing. And he said, 'Sir, it's cheaper to leave it than it is to bring it.'

"The airplane might have cost $40 million, $50 million ... millions and millions of dollars. So, you think it's cheaper to leave it than to have 200 pilots fly over and fly all the equipment out? ... I said, you've got to be nuts. I mean, give me a tank of gas and a pilot and I just picked up a $40 million-dollar airplane. It was amazing. So, I learned early that this guy is a dope. But what he did, is he hurt our country ... and he shouldn't have been allowed to do it. And bad things should happen to him."

Watch the video clip below to catch more of the conversation or find the full interview on BlazeTV:


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In a shocking but underreported conversation ahead of the G7 Speakers' meeting in London last week, Democratic House Speaker Nancy Pelosi admitted that the administration knows China is committing "genocide" against the Uyghurs in the Xinjiang region, but thinks working with the regime on climate change is more important.

On the radio program, an outraged Glenn Beck dissected Pelosi's speech and broke down how — along with the Biden administration's abandonment of Americans in Afghanistan, and the Democrat decision to follow measures of medical "equity" — the far left is revealing how little they really care about human life.

Glenn played a video clip of Pelosi making the following statement:

We've always felt connected to China, but with their military aggression in the South China Sea, with their continuation of genocide with the Uyghurs in Xinjiang province there, with their violation of the cultural, linguistic, religious priority of Tibet, with their suppression of democracy in Hong Kong and other parts of China, as well – they're just getting worse in terms of suppression, and freedom of speech. So, human rights, security, economically [sic].

Having said all of that ... we have to work together on climate. Climate is an overriding issue and China is the leading emitter in the world, the U.S. too and developed world too, but we must work together.

"We have Nancy Pelosi admitting the United States of America knows that they're not only committing [genocide], they're continuing to commit it. Which means, we've known for a while," Glenn noted. "And what does she say? She goes on to say, yes, they're committing genocide against the Uyghurs, but having said that, I'm quoting, 'the overriding issue,' is working together on climate change.

"Would we have worked with Hitler on climate change? Would we have worked with Hitler on developing the bomb? Would we have worked with Hitler on developing the Autobahn? Would we have worked with Hitler on his socialized medicine? Would we have worked with Hitler on any of his national, socialist ideas?" he asked.

"The answer is no. No. When you're committing genocide, no! She said 'we have to work together on climate,' because climate is the 'overriding issue.' The overriding issue? There is no way to describe this mindset. That, yes, they are killing an entire group of people because of their ethnicity or religion. They are systematically rounding them up, using them for slave labor, and killing them, using their organs and selling them on the open market. They are nothing more than cattle. For us to recognize it and do nothing about it is bad enough. But to say, 'we recognize it, but we have bigger things to talk to them about,' is a horror show."

Glenn went on to urge Americans to "stand up together in love, peace, and harmony," or risk watching our nation become the worst plague on human life yet.

Watch the video clip below to hear more from Glenn:


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The fall of Lehman Brothers in 2008 marked the largest bankruptcy filing in U.S. history and economic collapse was felt throughout the world. But now China's own version of Lehman Brothers, Evergrande, is teetering closer and closer to that edge, too. On the radio program Thursday, Glenn Beck gave the latest update and predicted how it will affect Asian markets and what it could mean for America's economy.

Glenn explained why he believes a major collapse that is happening now in China will have a cascading effect into a "controlled collapse," a managed decline that will dramatically change America's economy and the way we all live.

"You will not recognize your lifestyle. Hear me," Glenn warned. "And that's not a right-left thing. That's a right-wrong thing. We're on the wrong track. I'm telling you now, there's new information and you are not going to recognize the American lifestyle. ... It could happen tomorrow. It could happen in five years from now, but it will happen. We are headed for a very different country. One where you don't have the rights that you have. And you certainly don't have the economic privileges that Americans are used to."

"The same thing that happened in 2008 is now happening in China," Glenn continued. "This time, it's going to take everything down. When it collapses, it will take everything down."

Watch the video below to hear Glenn break down the details:

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Justin Haskins, editorial director of the Heartland Institute, joined Glenn Beck on the radio program to expose a shocking conversation between two Great Reset proponents — Klaus Schwab, chairman of the World Economic Forum, and Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank (Europe's equivalent to the Fed).

The way Schwab and Lagarde discuss the role central banks should play in establishing societal norms, determining your way of life, and defending against potential crisis is proof that the Great Reset is upon us, Justin explained. And the scariest part is that they're not even trying to hide it. The entire, unbelievable conversation has been published on the WEF website, which you can read here.

Glenn read an excerpt from the conversation:

Christine Lagarde: At the ECB, we have now wrapped up and concluded our strategy review, which was the first one in 17 years. And I was blessed to have an entire Governing Council unanimously agree that the fight against climate change should be one of the considerations that we take when we determine monetary policy. So at least the European Central Bank is of the view that climate change is an important component in order to decide on monetary policy. ...

Can we arrive at that trade-off between fighting climate change, preserving biodiversity and yet securing enough growth to respond to legitimate demands of the population? And my first answer, Klaus, to be firm, is that to have a way of life, we need life. And in the medium term, we do have major threats on the horizon that could cause the death of hundreds of thousands of people. So we have to think life, first. We have to think way of life, second. ...

So we have to think life, first. We have to think way of life, second. How can we come together to make sure that we secure the first priority, which is life, and also protect the way of life that people have? And make sure that the cost of it is not so high for some people, that they just cannot tolerate it. I think that the trade-off that we reach will probably require some redistribution, because it is clear that the most exposed people, the less privileged people are those that are going to need some help.

"Do you understand, America, what that means?" Glenn exclaimed. "You have elites, that you never elected, that are having these meetings ... deciding what is a legitimate need for you. And telling you that your needs are going to go away in your lifetime. You may not see a time where you get wants again. Just your needs are going to be addressed. Am I reading this wrong?"

"This is absolutely what is being said here," Justin agreed. "She's very clear that we need to make sure that way of life is second to life. We have to save all these people, hundreds of thousands of people are going to die from this supposedly existential threat of climate change. And their wants, and their desires, and their quality of living, all of that has to come second."

"This is a central bank saying this. This is not an elected official, who is accountable directly to the people. This is a central bank saying, we're going to print money. We're going to use monetary policy, to impose these ideas, to rework society in order to accomplish our goals," Justin added, addressing Lagarde's call for "some redistribution."

Will Great Reset elites — not elected by the U.S. — soon be dictating to the rest of the world? Watch the video clip below to hear Glenn and Justin break it down:

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