What Does New Hampshire Mean?

New Hampshire... What Lessons for Us...

By Joe Kerry


  • Up until 1992 it was an absolute barometer of who was going to win the Presidency; prior to 1992 the person who won NH went on to eventually win the White House; in 1992-BILL CLINTON lost New Hampshire to Paul Tsongas (remember him?) but went on to win the Presidency; in 2000 GW BUSH lost NH to none other than JOHN McCain but also went on to win the White House.


     

  • In 2000 McCain won the NH Republican primary but imploded in South Carolina-why? In New Hampshire, INDEPENDENTS get to vote in the Democrat and Republican primary-and in 2000 GW BUSH beat McCain among registered Republicans, but INDEPENDENTS, who accounted for 41 percent of the total GOP turnout, tipped the GOP primary to McCain;


     

  • Yesterday's primary tells a VERY SIMILAR STORY: among those primary voters who identified themselves as REPUBLICANS McCain won 34% to Romney's 33%--so among the party faithful a very close contest; INDEPENDENTS however went for McCain 39% to 27% McCain over Romney. According to exit polling data 37% of those voting in the Republican primary self-identified themselves as INDEPENDENTS-more than enough to tip the primary to McCain-so the loss, on this basis, is not as BAD as the loss, on its face, would suggest.

New Hampshire Voting Tid-Bits

Why were the polls so wrong? Some polls, right up until the voting showed Obama with a double digit lead over Clinton-then Clinton pulls out a win-a few reasons for this:

  • 14% of Democrats voting didn't make up their mind until election day-so pollsters had no way of knowing who this decisive group of people were going to vote;


     

  • Obama is pulling in tens-of-thousands of new younger voters who are registering to vote and telling pollsters they are going to vote; unfortunately for Obama, this same group of voters is notoriously known for "overpromising and under-delivering"-they tell pollsters they are going to vote on primary day-and they tell them they are going to vote for Obama-but in NH, unlike Iowa, this group couldn't push Obama over the top;


     

  • One theory also working the rounds is that with Obama's lead being in the double digits, many liberal independents opted to vote for McCain in the Republican Primary in order to undercut Romney's momentum-thereby guaranteeing a prolonged and protracted GOP fight


     

  • Women Came Home. Unlike Iowa where Clinton lost the female vote to Obama by 5%, in NH Clinton beat Obama 46%-34% (foxnews);


     

  • All Evangelicals are NOT alike. In Iowa, Mike Huckabee cleaned up on the evangelical Christian vote. In NH, exit polling data showed that Huckabee received only 32% of their votes compared to McCain who pulled in 31%. (Note: compared with the Iowa caucuses, where 60 percent of Republicans described themselves as evangelicals, exit polls in New Hampshire put evangelical turnout at about 21 percent),


     

  • Romney's loss is greater than appears on paper. Over 60% of New Hampshire residents watch news channels from Massachusetts-so Romney has had a lot of exposure there given his former position as governor of that state-but despite all of that exposure for so many years-he was unable to pull out a win-that's a very bad sign-especially when you consider he outspent-Michigan, where Romney's father was once governor is fast becoming a MUST win state for Romney.

The conditions in Afghanistan under the Taliban rule — for Americans, allies, Christians, women and more — continue to deteriorate, and the people there continue to plead that we will not forget them. On the radio program Monday, Glenn Beck gave an emotional update on current evacuation efforts, including the tragic story of one girl — an American passport holder — who was not rescued in time.

"I have a pit in my stomach like I haven't had in a while. What is happening in Afghanistan is both miraculous and horrendous," Glenn began. "What's going on right now one of the most amazing things I've ever personally witnessed — the evacuation of Americans, those [Afghans] who helped us, Christians that are dying, women that are under incredible conditions. I see things that I can't show you. I see the pleadings from people who are in safe houses, 'Please, don't forget us.' I see what they're being sent by the Taliban.

"If I die today, my entire life will have been worth it for what you have helped get done, in just the last three weeks. You have saved well over 5,000 people," he continued.

Fighting back tears, Glenn added, "I ask that you pray for those in the Middle East, that are in the midst of doing work, that a Moses-style miracle will happen. ... There are several people that are in dire need of medical care. Friday, we told you — along with the congressman from Oklahoma [Rep. Markwayne Mullin] who had just returned — [about] a father and two daughters that were blue passport Americans, and a mother who had a permanent residence, a Green Card. The daughter was very ill. And they thought, that if we couldn't get her out of there, that she would lose her legs. I got a call on Saturday morning, that we were too late, that she didn't lose her legs. She lost her life, waiting. There are now two Americans, instead of three."

Glenn showered his audience with gratitude, repeating that "well over 5000" lives have already been saved because of their incredible generosity, but lamented that there are still thousands more people yet to be saved.

Watch the video clip below to hear more updates from Glenn:

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To donate to these rescue efforts, visit NazareneFund.org or MercuryOne.org.

Want more from Glenn Beck?

To enjoy more of Glenn's masterful storytelling, thought-provoking analysis and uncanny ability to make sense of the chaos, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution and live the American dream.

Megyn Kelly pulled her sons out of the private elementary school they attended after she learned that the boys were asked "weekly" if they were still sure they were boys. But that's not all that this "experimental transgender education program" taught.

Megyn joined Glenn Beck on the radio program to tell the story, which she thought had ended when the school apologized, and to talk about what's next for America as our leaders refuse to promote actual psychological support for our kids and instead "parade" transgenderism as the solution to their problems.

"When [my son] was in third grade, I found out they unleashed a three-week experimental transgender education program on these boys, with really inappropriate videos. The kids were confused. These are 8- and 9-year-olds, Glenn. They have no idea what the school is even talking about with the trans thing. They got really in-depth, with really in-your-face videos — and then parents complained. And the school did something it hasn't done in its 400-year history, which was they apologized. Even they realized they had done wrong," Megyn explained.

"But, then I said to my son a year later, so did they ever round back to the trans thing? Like, whatever happened with it? And he said ... they bring it up every week. ... [They ask] how many people here still feel confident that they're a boy? Do you still feel sure you're a boy?" she continued. "This is not support. This is not nonbullying. This is indoctrination. And it's deeply confusing to the children, and wrong."

Megyn went on to give examples of how she's seen trans ideology turn "support, nonbullying, kindness, friendship, allyship, on its head."

"The absolute surrender of the medical community to this insanity is a scourge on this nation. It's disgusting what is happening with our doctors," she added. "There are people who are legitimately transgender, or who have gender dysphoria. And for those people, we should be supportive and they should get the care that they need. But what we've done instead, is taken everyone who expresses any kind of gender confusion and said, you're trans. You're trans. And we have our psychiatrists doing this."

"It's crazy," Megyn asserted. "The fact that we're doing this so willy-nilly in the name of allyship and support, it's abusive. It's criminal."

Watch the video clip below to catch more of the conversation:

Want more from Glenn Beck?

To enjoy more of Glenn's masterful storytelling, thought-provoking analysis and uncanny ability to make sense of the chaos, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution, and live the American dream.

"Never forget" is not only a tribute to those we've lost, it's a warning that it could happen AGAIN. On "Glenn TV" Wednesday, Glenn Beck looks back 20 years ago to the modern generation's Pearl Harbor moment. A day of infamy we're STILL feeling repercussions from.

But in remembering 9/11, we need to look toward the future because the Biden administration is setting us up for the NEXT 9/11. They bungled the Afghanistan withdrawal, and now we have video of top al Qaeda commanders — who served with Osama bin Laden — returning to the country. But could America survive another terror attack?

Glenn asks former NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani, the leader who brought America back from the brink. He tells Glenn about the moment he learned the Twin Towers were struck, the actions he took to prevent more terrorism, and if he thinks NYC could survive another attack under Mayor de Blasio's leadership.

Glenn is also joined by Rev. Johnnie Moore, author of "The Next Jihad." He warns that Biden's policies in the Middle East are Obama 2.0, and "if you thought ISIS was bad, you haven't seen anything yet. We must keep our eyes on Iran."

Watch the full episode of "Glenn TV" below:


Want more from Glenn Beck?

To enjoy more of Glenn's masterful storytelling, thought-provoking analysis and uncanny ability to make sense of the chaos, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution and live the American dream.