Political geek election report


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STU: Well, Pat, you know, we basically seem to be taking for granted that the

House is going to be in Republican hands after this because what could possibly

go wrong? I can't think of anything. Republicans are always perfectly competent

and everything goes their way.

PAT: Sure.

STU: But the Senate is a little bit of a tougher road, as you know. So I thought

we'd look at what is the road to the Republican Senate? How do they do it?

PAT: How do they do it?

STU: How do they do it?

PAT: How easy is it?

STU: Okay. Well, we have a bunch of races that are heavily favored for

Republicans. South Dakota, Idaho, Oklahoma, Alabama, North Dakota, Kansas, South

Carolina, Utah, Iowa, Arizona, Arkansas, and Georgia, all 20 point leads or

more, okay? Next group you have Indiana, Louisiana, Ohio, North Carolina,

Florida, which as you know has that three person dynamic as well as Alaska. Now,

Miller is favored in Alaska, though his really only challenger there that has a

chance of winning is Murkowski. So that would likely stay in Republican hands

anyway.

PAT: And she's write in.

STU: And she's write in.

PAT: She's not going to win.

STU: That seems really tough. I don't know. How do you win a write in campaign?

PAT: We should look into that but I don't think it's ever been done. Not in a

long time anyway.

STU: Got to be very difficult.

PAT: Yep.

STU: So the polling there is very weird, although Miller still leads by 5

points, Rubio is up by double digits right now and it looks like he will win.

Even if he loses, though, you have Crist who is going to be, god only knows what

he is. I think he changes he changes his opinions approximately every nine

seconds. So if you get him at the right nine second chunk, you've got his vote.

Unfortunately the next nine seconds you're totally screwed.

PAT: He was great at the debate, though, the other night saying that's a good

thing. I'm fluid; I change with the times. He's rigid.

STU: He's rigid. I mean, he has beliefs that he's thought of for a long time and

PAT: He believes in something? I hate that in a candidate.

STU: Oh, he has an opinion that continues to remain consistent. It's oh, I hate

that.

PAT: I don't know about you. I like to vote for worms. I like a worm.

STU: Yeah.

PAT: Somebody who's malleable, somebody you can bend to their will or who bends

to the will of whomever they're talking to. That's what I like. Don't you want a

spineless worm in office?

STU: Right. Like, don't you want a candidate that's going to take the yes and no

vote and put them on the red and black parts of the roulette table?

PAT: Yeah.

STU: And then just spin the wheel.

PAT: Spin the wheel.

STU: Roll the ball.

PAT: Roll the ball.

STU: And if it's red or black, that's the way he votes.

PAT: There you go.

STU: Is that what you want in a candidate?

PAT: That is.

STU: Because I know he's particularly good at that. He's a roulette professional

and that's what's going to be happening potentially, although it looks like

Rubio's going to hold on there. Then you have the next it starts to get a little

more difficult after these races. You've got Kentucky, Missouri, New Hampshire

and Wisconsin. Rand Paul is up by 6 right now and it looks like he's polling

much better ever since the absolute debacle of the Aqua Buddha ad by Conway who

has actually taken the slimiest profession in the world and made it worse. He's

actually taken what seems to be the ugliest thing you can do in your life: Run

for office and made it even more despicable. And Kentucky has completely turned

on him in the last few polls and Rand Paul, one of the last polls had Rand Paul

up 13 points.

PAT: Wow.

STU: Which was very close before that. And then you have Missouri, New Hampshire

and Wisconsin. Those are all within ten points. Then you get into sort of the

toss up category here, which is Pennsylvania, Pat Toomy's up by 4. Colorado,

buck is up by 2. Nevada, Sharron Angle by 2. We don't know how many gift cards

she has in reserve to give away from union representatives, probably not enough

to overcome Harry Reid's gift card barrage and free food garage, but we'll talk

about that in a little bit. Illinois, Kirk is up by 2. West Virginia is an exact

dead heat right now. They're tied. And Patty Murray in Washington on the

Democrat side is up by 4. Now, all you have to do, if you're the Republicans and

you want to take the Senate back, is win every single race I just mentioned.

With absolutely no exceptions. And you have the Senate.

PAT: It's just that easy.

STU: That is so easy. All you have to do is go 100% on those races.

PAT: It's just that easy.

STU: Now, you could switch out if you want to win against Barbara Boxer, you

could switch one of those out.

PAT: Oh, okay.

STU: But that's pretty much your only one that you have a shot at other than the

ones I mentioned.

PAT: Really?

STU: So all you have to do is do everything and you can take back the Senate as

well as the House.

PAT: So the guy in Washington, because I don't think you mentioned him. He's

down now?

STU: He's down 4.

PAT: Down 4?

STU: Yeah. The New York Times rates it as a 15% chance that he's going to win

that race. And

PAT: 15%?

STU: Yeah, 15%. And but I mean, it's one of these things where you just feel

like one of these races is going to go the wrong way. There's going to be huge

pickups here and there's no doubt about that, but can you win all of those?

PAT: I don't know.

STU: Only in a huge wave.

PAT: Maybe.

STU: Only in a huge wave.

PAT: Maybe. It's possible. We could get one. Could get one.

STU: Just the possibility that that could happen.

PAT: I know.

STU: Is enough for me to have a little smile on my face.

PAT: Yeah, it is.

STU: And the possibility that Harry Reid might not be there anymore gives me

even a bigger smile.

PAT: Well, and people have gone from talking about, oh, conservatively I'd say

35 to 39, maybe you get the 39 necessary to take the house, maybe you get to 52

48 in the Senate. So we've come a long way since then.

STU: Yeah.

PAT: Because people are talking about 65 now in the House or, you know, 55.

STU: 50 to 60, yeah.

PAT: And you've got people like Dick Morris who are saying we should shoot for

100.

STU: Seems a little unlikely but it's possible. It's not impossible.

PAT: Seems very unlikely, but then you on the other hand you have Nancy Pelosi

who says they are not going to, they are not even going to lose control of the

House. They are not even going to lose control.

STU: But Nancy Pelosi has to say that. She has absolutely no other option. I

mean, she's like a football coach. She's out there saying, like, you can't come

out if you're, you know, the Buffalo Bills coach and say, look, we're going to

beat Indianapolis, we're going to beat we're going to beat the Giants, we're

going to beat all the good teams. You just can't do it. You have to be what was

it? Louisiana Tech/Boise State last night? If you're Louisiana, you have to say

you're going to win that game. We know how we're going to we're going to go you

have to have all the sports cliches, we're going to work all the way to the end.

PAT: I suppose.

STU: We're not going to take no for an answer.

PAT: But she says part of the problem is they just, they haven't gotten credit

for all the good they've done. They just haven't

STU: It's a big problem.

PELOSI: All those forces at work are pouring millions and millions of dollars

into the media and now into the campaigns to mischaracterize everything that we

did. So that's that. It's up to us to go out there under confident our members,

they know why they voted for what they did, they believe in it.

PAT: Really?

PELOSI: They'll convey that to their constituents. But you're right, we haven't

really gotten the credit for what we have done, but we will take it to the

voters and our Democratic majority to follow through on all of that.

PAT: Okay. You know, they want

STU: Huh.

PAT: They want all the credit, for what I don't know, but they want all the

credit and none of the blame or responsibility. None. They will accept no blame

whatsoever, but they want credit for what lavished on them?

STU: For what?

PAT: For

STU: You, your own estimate said unemployment wouldn't go over 8%.

PAT: Oh, but now, now listen to what she's saying. You know, that was that's

what they said then.

STU: Sure.

PAT: If we don't do this, unemployment could, you know, could hit 9%.

STU: Could hit 9%, uh huh.

PAT: But if we do do it, it won't go above 8.

PELOSI: And I think the results are what people should be looked toward. Fact is

there's 9% unemployment in our country.

PAT: Yes.

PELOSI: And we were in a very deep ditch. If we hadn't taken actions that we did

with the Recovery Act, well, that saved 3.6 million, created or saved 3.6

million jobs.

PAT: Created, okay, created or saved.

STU: I thought we had abandoned the created or saved thing. Wasn't that

PAT: Created or saved 3.6 million jobs.

STU: Why not just go with billion?

PAT: I know, why not.

STU: Saved 3.6 billion jobs.

PAT: It's just as dumb a figure.

STU: It's just as accurate. It's just as you might as well make up a number and

make it quabillion. Save 3.9 quabillion jobs because it means as much as what

you're saying in this speech.

PELOSI: Economists tell us that that plus other actions if we hadn't taken them,

we would have 8 1/2 million more people unemployed.

PAT: Oh.

PELOSI: We would have a 14 1/2% unemployment rate.

PAT: 14 1/2.

PELOSI: And a huge deficit. So we've got to advertise that. We've been busy

legislating

PAT: You do. You do.

PELOSI: working.

PAT: Oh, gosh. Oh, you've been busy.

PELOSI: We have to educate the public as to what the choice is as we go forward.

PAT: And again they haven't educated us. We're stupid. And look, if we'll buy

this hogwash that, had they not taken the actions they do, there would be 8 1/2

million unemployed.

STU: Yeah.

PAT: We are stupid, if we buy that.

STU: That's true. And you have to love her add on there which is if we didn't

take the actions we did plus other actions, well, if it was maybe, I don't know,

closing down 50,000 companies, I don't know what action that they didn't take

that made this happen, but it seems like they are just lumping stuff on top of

each other.

PAT: I don't know how they get away with this. You know, if you took this

action, unemployment wouldn't rise past 8%, now it's, well, if we hadn't have

taken this action, 8 1/2 million more people would be out of work.

STU: These numbers are

PAT: Well, you can't have that. You can't have it both ways. You can't say what

might have been, what could have been. You have no idea.

STU: Right. You had an idea before it happened. We have you on record before it

happened, and you said it wasn't going to go any higher than 8%. You said even

if we didn't pass the stimulus, it wouldn't go any higher than 9%. We have the

graphs. We have your lead economic advisor laying this out, a point by point on

a graph. And look at what they're talking about now. You know, the average

unemployment rate of the entire Bush administration was 5.3%.

PAT: Yeah, yeah. 5.3.

STU: The average projected by Obama, the average unemployment of the Obama

administration, if it lasts two terms, I always let's not even entertain that

possibility, but if it lasts two terms, you're talking about even if all the

stuff goes right, they are talking about an average of 9. It's almost double

what Bush was. Remember what they were saying about Bush. They were saying he

was the worst president since Herbert Hoover.

PAT: Well, he's the one that drove us in the ditch.

STU: He's the one that drove us into the ditch. And they have all their policies

that they say are going to get us back in recovery, can't even get an average of

what they said the worst was going to be if they passed their plans.

PAT: And we'll tell you more about the ditch analogy coming up, too.

STU: Oh, the ditch.

PAT: Pat Gray and Stu Burguiere. Glenn's on his way here on the Glenn Beck

program.

 

Megyn Kelly pulled her sons out of the private elementary school they attended after she learned that the boys were asked "weekly" if they were still sure they were boys. But that's not all that this "experimental transgender education program" taught.

Megyn joined Glenn Beck on the radio program to tell the story, which she thought had ended when the school apologized, and to talk about what's next for America as our leaders refuse to promote actual psychological support for our kids and instead "parade" transgenderism as the solution to their problems.

"When [my son] was in third grade, I found out they unleashed a three-week experimental transgender education program on these boys, with really inappropriate videos. The kids were confused. These are 8- and 9-year-olds, Glenn. They have no idea what the school is even talking about with the trans thing. They got really in-depth, with really in-your-face videos — and then parents complained. And the school did something it hasn't done in its 400-year history, which was they apologized. Even they realized they had done wrong," Megyn explained.

"But, then I said to my son a year later, so did they ever round back to the trans thing? Like, whatever happened with it? And he said ... they bring it up every week. ... [They ask] how many people here still feel confident that they're a boy? Do you still feel sure you're a boy?" she continued. "This is not support. This is not nonbullying. This is indoctrination. And it's deeply confusing to the children, and wrong."

Megyn went on to give examples of how she's seen trans ideology turn "support, nonbullying, kindness, friendship, allyship, on its head."

"The absolute surrender of the medical community to this insanity is a scourge on this nation. It's disgusting what is happening with our doctors," she added. "There are people who are legitimately transgender, or who have gender dysphoria. And for those people, we should be supportive and they should get the care that they need. But what we've done instead, is taken everyone who expresses any kind of gender confusion and said, you're trans. You're trans. And we have our psychiatrists doing this."

"It's crazy," Megyn asserted. "The fact that we're doing this so willy-nilly in the name of allyship and support, it's abusive. It's criminal."

Watch the video clip below to catch more of the conversation:

Want more from Glenn Beck?

To enjoy more of Glenn's masterful storytelling, thought-provoking analysis and uncanny ability to make sense of the chaos, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution, and live the American dream.

"Never forget" is not only a tribute to those we've lost, it's a warning that it could happen AGAIN. On "Glenn TV" Wednesday, Glenn Beck looks back 20 years ago to the modern generation's Pearl Harbor moment. A day of infamy we're STILL feeling repercussions from.

But in remembering 9/11, we need to look toward the future because the Biden administration is setting us up for the NEXT 9/11. They bungled the Afghanistan withdrawal, and now we have video of top al Qaeda commanders — who served with Osama bin Laden — returning to the country. But could America survive another terror attack?

Glenn asks former NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani, the leader who brought America back from the brink. He tells Glenn about the moment he learned the Twin Towers were struck, the actions he took to prevent more terrorism, and if he thinks NYC could survive another attack under Mayor de Blasio's leadership.

Glenn is also joined by Rev. Johnnie Moore, author of "The Next Jihad." He warns that Biden's policies in the Middle East are Obama 2.0, and "if you thought ISIS was bad, you haven't seen anything yet. We must keep our eyes on Iran."

Watch the full episode of "Glenn TV" below:


Want more from Glenn Beck?

To enjoy more of Glenn's masterful storytelling, thought-provoking analysis and uncanny ability to make sense of the chaos, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution and live the American dream.

Glenn Beck and The Nazarene Fund have been working tirelessly to evacuate Americans and our allies from Afghanistan, thanks to the U.S. government's failure to do so. But it's been far from easy. A recent Newsweek article, titled "Taliban Holds Up Glenn Beck Group's Planes," addressed some of the most recent challenges. The article claimed that six planes — filled with Americans and SIVs ready for takeoff — were "grounded by the Taliban amid negotiations with the U.S. State Department." So, what's actually going on? Why is the State Department meddling in the rescue? And what are the next steps to get these Americans home?

Watch the video clip below to hear Glenn breaks down the whole story:

UPDATE: Leaked Email Shows State Department STILL Blocking Afghanistan Rescue Flights


Want more from Glenn Beck?

To enjoy more of Glenn's masterful storytelling, thought-provoking analysis and uncanny ability to make sense of the chaos, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution, and live the American dream.