Yesterday on the Fourth Hour, Pat and Stu mapped out the 2012 election using the website 270towin.com. This morning on radio, Glenn added his own predictions, which had Romney winning the election pretty handily.
“At one point, I had [Romney] at 700 to 3,” Glenn said. “And I think it could happen that way.”
The website allows you to play with the electoral map to predict potential election outcomes. You can then share the maps via social media. 270toWin also shows maps that reflect current poll data and the 2008 election results among other things.
Pat and Stu had pretty realistic results, giving Romney a slight edge over President Obama. Stu has Virginia as the swing state, and if Romney wins Virginia, he would beat Obama 272 to 266. Pat has Romney winning 278 to 260, despite a couple of swing states going to the President.
Glenn’s latest map, on the other hand, has things much more simplified. Basically, he has Romney winning every state except Colorado and Hawaii. In Glenn’s world, Romney also wins Canada and Mexico.
“Alright, try my scenario,” Glenn said. “[Romney] wins Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Texas, Arkansas, Tennessee, Kentucky, Indiana, Illinois…”
Pat and Stu had trouble understanding how Illinois, arguably a home state type situation for Obama, could go to Romney. But Glenn wasn’t finished.
“Hear me out,” he continued. “Missouri, Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, I’m undecided on Mexico.”
At this point Stu jumped in to clarify whether Glenn meant New Mexico, the state, or Mexico, the country. Glenn had an opinion on both. “I am undecided on New Mexico, but he’s already won Mexico handily,” Glenn decided.
Glenn also has Romney winning Wyoming, Montana, Idaho, Utah, Arizona, Nevada, California, Oregon, Washington.
“And let’s say that Obama takes Colorado,” he conceded. “And Alaska and Hawaii, I’m not sure.
Alaska, [Romney] wins, but Hawaii might go to Obama.”
So what is the final tally?
“So you have it at about 509 to 510ish” going to Romney, Pat said.
“And look, that could happen,” Glenn joked. “That could happen.”