Glenn: I got news for you, gang. We have been played

This morning’s radio program was a bit of an emotional roller coaster for Glenn as he reacted to Senator Thad Cochran’s (R-MS) slim victory over Mississippi State Senator Chris McDaniel (R) in Tuesday’s runoff. As the election analysis come out, it is clear Cochran won because the GOP poured money into a get out to vote campaign among black Democrats in the state. Glenn reacted to the desperate tactics employed by the GOP in this race and warned listeners that this is just the tip of the iceberg.

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The data aggregation website FiveThirtyEight has already begun to break down the Mississippi election results, and based on some of the regressions that have been run, it looks like McDaniel was directly impacted by the increased turnout in black communities.

According to the Washington Post, in the 24 counties with a majority black population, turnout increased by 39.4%, giving Cochran a big edge. The FiveThirtyEight analysis seems to corroborate this idea. In fact, the site’s data has Cochran losing by as many as eight points, if black turnout had not increased so substantially.

We can do more with these regressions, though. We can hold the African-American percentage of the population variables constant in both the Cochran and McDaniel regressions, while adjusting the non-African American variables. This process mirrors on a county level what would happen if white or traditionally Republican turnout went up but black or traditionally Democratic turnout didn’t change from the first to the second round. In my scenario, I kept the African-American turnout constant from the first round of voting, but let the white vote increase as it actually did.

The result: Cochran loses a lot of votes. Instead of Cochran winning the runoff by 2 points, or about 6,000 votes, he loses by a little less than 8 points, or about 25,000 votes. He drops about 40,000 votes from his 190,000 vote total, while McDaniel loses only about 15,000 from his 185,000 vote total.

See the full FiveThirtyEight report HERE.

While the site says the 10 point swing that moves from Cochran winning by two points to losing by eight may not tell the whole story, pre-election polls had McDaniel winning the election by about eight points.

“We now know for sure it is all about power. It is not about principles. It is not about people,” Glenn said. “Thad Cochran wants power. The Chamber of Commerce, all they want is power… The GOP – it’s not a Grand Old Party – it’s Guardian of Power. That’s all it is.”

After more than 40 years in Congress, Cochran is as entrenched as they come. In New York, another four decade-long incumbent, Congressman Charlie Rangel (D-NY), is expected to win a close election against a much younger opponent. Washington D.C. has come to resemble an aristocracy.

“It is a place of aristocracy. That’s all it is. George Washington warned us. This is not a Tea Party. This is George Washington,” Glenn said. “George Washington warned us the two party system [would] be the death of us… George Washington was right. But we allowed ourselves to be seduced. We bought it hook, line, and sinker.”

Ultimately, Glenn believes we have been played a group of power hungry elitists. But, hopefully, this election represents the end of the era.

“America, the gig is up. It is really obvious now. They are doing nothing but playing a game… We are pawns. Period… You have every right to be angry,” Glenn concluded. “[But] you understand this: We still run the country. They might run the system of power, but this is still our country. We still have certain rights that, no matter what they do, only God can take them from us.”

Front page image courtesy of the AP

  • landofaahs

    Who’s been played? Not me. I have seen this situation for what it is, unfixable and the only remedy is divorce. Welcome to the mountain top some of you, The rest of you can’t wait below and take your time getting here if ever.

  • landofaahs

    Save Nineveh, no country has gotten to the point ours has without God’s judgment. Collapse is coming. Sadly, we will see the divorce that history shows will happen. Just pray you are part of the saved part.

  • Anonymous

    Well hell Glenn… who didn’t see that coming?

  • Anonymous

    “House of Cards” or “Boss” anyone?

    What is scary is that both of these politically themed shows scare the hell out of me because they ring so true.

  • Anonymous

    After the Mississip run-off primary, I will not give the Republican Party one red cent. I am thinking about becoming a Libertarian or some other party. The Democrats and Republicans are just the same- There are fewer and fewer honest men in the Republican party anymore. This is another example of what is wrong with America!

  • suegee

    Why won’t people learn??? for crying out loud, STOP OPEN PRIMARIES fools

  • suegee

    oh yeah that’s why Cantor lost – reverse operation chaos

  • ross mcglockness

    F U thad cochran and F U gop “establishment”

  • http://daveposh.org/ Dave Posh

    McDaniel will reportedly challenge illegal Democrat votes that may have won the runoff for RINO Cochran…
    http://www.examiner.com/article/racism-lies-and-possibly-illegal-votes-win-the-mississippi-runoff-for-cochran

  • Anonymous

    Was Glen equally upset when Rush Limbaugh suggested similar tactics in Democrat primaries in the past? To the point Rush wanted his bots to change parties for primary elections in states with closed primaries.

  • Jon Galt

    I actually send them a reply every time they ask me for $$.

    It is a sticker that says, “SORRY, I CONTRIBUTE TO MY CANDIDATES THROUGH SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND.”

  • Linda Murray

    And that’s JUST what ob/sama wants us to do, dear! Then he can declare marshall law & take over as dictator with the Muslim Brotherhood running things! Z’at what’cha want…???

  • Clinton Pando

    I will keep posting this people wake up and join the rising tide. It is time we took our nation back and elect accountable candidates that represent the people and not their parties. Please at least see what we are abot and join the discussion. https://www.facebook.com/VeteransPartyOfAmerica

  • Linda Murray

    Let me be the local nit-picker in this one. :D The correct term is… ‘the JIG is up’. Not the ‘GIG’. :D

  • Jason Blankenship

    Two wrongs don’t make a right. State legislatures need to get involved and have party registration and closed primaries.

  • Vicky Smith

    This is how Lindsey Graham won in SC.

  • Patricia Killough

    Who are you planning on shooting there, Steveo??

  • Mark Lawson

    Many of us have been shouting this for decades, to limited avail. Even the Tea Party was quickly usurped and perverted from our focused origin–which is why I disavow even the organizations that purport to speak for it. They are no longer us. We must make them come back to us. To paraphrase Anonymous, “We are Legion, but they are few…”

  • Bob Bryant

    This is why in general….Neither of the2 major prties should burden the general electorate with their selection of a candidate….DO you see primaries in the Libertarian party or any other party besides the DemPublicans?
    NO!
    Know who foots the bill for these elections that are nothing more than a corporate beauty pageant..You and I do and I ask WHY?
    We must do one of two things….
    Either have a primary that let’s everyone who wants to run get on the ballot and the top 3 vote getters go at each other in the general election or we only have general elections an force he major parties to choose who they will put u internally

  • Bill

    It’s like a baseball game and only one team uses bats. We need to start bringing our own bats to the game.

  • Philip Beck

    Glenn, tell the class how something other than a two-party political system would work. Would there be three parties offering candidates and the candidate with the most votes wins? Would a 50% or better vote be required to win? Would the two candidates receiving the most votes, but neither getting 50%, be in a run-off after the general election? Here’s my main point Glenn, where ever there is a majority of voters that vote for a living participate in an election, the Santa candidate will always win in that district. Mississippi democrats did what they thought they needed to do in order to protect their Santa. McDaniel would have been better for the nation in my opinion, but he was viewed as a threat to enough dependency-class voters so he lost. Your anti-two-party argument is flawed Glenn.

  • BigSkyDan

    Look there are always going to be dishonest people. Forget party labels. It’s only the STUPID the IGNORANT and the FOOLS that make up the dishonest candidates constituency that keep allowing these idiots to pull these shenanigans.

  • stevo5000x

    He’s going to get Marshall law anyway. Just wait for the next terrorist attack, either it will be a real one or a false flag. One way or another he’s going to get your guns. Especially now with the Borders wide open.

  • BigSkyDan

    Right because that has solved so many things in history… lmao. Don’t be a dumbass Stevo…

  • Anonymous

    Thad Cochran should be made the poster boy for term limits!

    https://www.dropbox.com/s/y05sawwqi151chk/An%20Intolerable%20Evil.pdf

  • Brad T.

    Folks, the game is rigged against us. 30% of voters are pretty evenly divided between Dems and Reps. The remaining 70% don’t have representation. It’s about time for a Third Party.

  • stevo5000x

    Yeah, it did. It’s called this freaken country.

  • Michael David Davis

    When I want Nate Silver to be wrong, he’s right. When I want him to be right, he’s wrong. I can’t get a damn break.

  • Mississippi Guy

    Mississippi needs to change their election laws going from “semi-open” primaries to closed primaries. IMHO, only voters belonging to a party should decide their own candidates. (is that radical?)

  • Shawn Cameron

    Stop listening to Chicken Little, take your tin foil hat off and come out of the basement. We’ve survived Carter and two Bushes we will survive Obama too.

  • Shawn Cameron

    That’s the biggest reason I can’t bring myself to watch them. Not because it scares me but because I can’t stomach glorifying these prix.

  • landofaahs

    I do not believe in violent revolution. Only when the collapse comes, will there be a chance to peacefully withdraw and find common self determination. A house divided cannot stand and there is no chance of reconciling good and evil to live together for long.

  • landofaahs

    The Constitution Party suits me right down to the ground.

  • landofaahs

    Our country was better served when the candidate was picked in a cigar filled rooms. But 2 parties suck especially when half of one is really part of the other.

  • landofaahs

    Go to the polls and only vote for Tea Party types and let the rest get trounced.

  • kfell

    I’m confused as to how the “increased turnout in black communities” is synonymous with corruption. If it was “increased turnout of Democrats who had previously voted in the Democratic primary [which is illegal],” then I might be concerned. The fact is, Mississippi has open primaries, Democrats can vote in a open primary. That they did should not surprise anyone. Also, politics is about power. It also has been and it always will be (what “is” is also not synonymous with what “should be”). Anyone who says otherwise is deluding themselves.

  • landofaahs

    You take advantage of it even if you don’t like it. Change the primary system as a closed vote and stop the tricks.

  • Anonymous

    Just took a look at the Constitution Party. I think it more closely aligns to my belief system, and I will be watching it to see how it does. Thanks, landofaahs!

  • Anonymous

    Open primaries are stupid and make no sense.Each party is supposed to elect their candidate.Otherwise just have one election.

  • Anonymous

    This struck me as exactly opposite of Missouri’s 2012 election. There Claire McCaskill (D) ran ads during the primary that Todd Akin(R) was too conservative which helped him win the republican primary. I’m really surprised that more conservatives in MS didn’t see the light when Cochran was being backed by Liberals

  • Shawn Cameron

    You’re right the problem is neither of the two parties we have stand for what they claim they do. Democrats are in bed with just as many billionaires as Republicans, and Republicans are just as wasteful with tax dollars as Democrats. Neither one is the party of the people they claim to be. But they still have the majority of people fooled into believing they are. So much so that we’re not so much voting for a candidate as against the other, the lesser of two evils. That’s what they’ve become…Two Evils.

  • PetersonAH

    He should be joined at the podium with Orrin Hatch of Utah…

  • Chris Lewis

    liberty was dismantled by the GOP and Democrats http://youtu.be/O9ZmFLcwiIM

  • Debra Oneil

    because phone messages were sent to democrats, to ask them to come out and vote for cockran (purpose mis-spell) and AGAINST TEA! specifically!

  • Sean Hoffman-Murphy

    Please do me a favor and don’t “become a Libertarian” as an alternative to the Republicans and Democrats. If you believe in and adhere to the principle of non-aggression, understand that your neighbors must be free in order for you to be free, and recognize that all government action is an exercise of power by people who would be exposed as bandits if they acted without a flag, then you also need to understand that there is no victory in politics. If you just want to join a new team because you’re tired of the one you have now, you won’t achieve anything.

    Please, if you have an interest in libertarianism, the best thing you can do is fully understand it. Read Murray Rothbury and Frédéric Bastiat; watch Stefan Molyneux ‘ videos on YouTube; listen to Free Talk Live and the Freedom Feens. The political system is a trap, and working within it does nothing but grant legitimacy to established power.

  • JJimney

    Who gives a crap about the GOP… the democratic process that we still pride ourselves on, played out yet again. MS got what they wanted. Now maybe the Tea Party will stop relying on the “surprise attack” and actually come up with a platform of solutions and not complaints. If American voters are dumber than ever, educate them!

  • Sean Hoffman-Murphy

    And look where it got us. Peace and freedom will never be achieved through violence. Only by winning the minds of the people will we live in liberty.