Can the polls be trusted?


With the first Presidential debate just a few days away, heavy scrutiny is being directed at the polls and the organizations that conduct and report on them. Many have been critical of the methodology behind the way many of these polls have been conducted. Stu even wrote his latest blog post analyzing a recent Bloomberg poll whose questions painted seemed to favor Barack Obama over Mitt Romney. The mainstream media has not reacted well to the criticism, with the New York Times's David Carr penning a response to the accusations and Fox News's Chris Wallace getting very defensive during a radio interview.

"You're going to have to do your own homework," Glenn warned the audience. "Just do your own homework on the press.  Be very, very, very careful.  And I say this about left and right.  I say this about libertarian and big government.  I say this about me.  You have to do your own homework.  You have to know who you believe.  But be very, very careful."

"Don't ever take somebody in the media, including mine, don't ever take their word for it.  I know I try to do my best.  We do an awful lot of research.  We get it wrong sometimes.  We'll correct it if we get it wrong.  But it is still also my research and my opinion.  You have to do your own."

Glenn reminded listeners that recent polls showed only 8% of people trust the media, and there is a reason for that.

In response to the criticism's, New York Times writer David Carr wrote:

In the last few days, conservatives have become agitated about Mitt Romney’s drop-off in the polls. So did they think the stumble was because of the ill-fated “47 percent” slip of the lip, or the hasty effort to gain a political edge after the death of an American ambassador in Libya, or more problematically, a campaign that can’t seem to stop pratfalling no matter what the news?

No, in their view, the mysterious drop can only be explained by the fact that the mainstream media have their collective liberal thumb on the scale, in terms of coverage and, more oddly, polling.

....

But the pushback goes beyond coverage. Now even the polls themselves are being impugned, with suggestions that they are skewed by left-leaning math. Various conservative bloggers and pundits have complained that a slew of polls showing gains by President Obama were guilty of “oversampling Democrats” and “confirmation bias.”

But Carr and The New York Times aren't the only ones getting defensive about the bias accusations.

Fox News's Chris Wallace was firing back at critics like Mike Gallagher who wondered if the polls were biased:

"Let me just say something. This criticism of the polls is craziness. I've done some research on this today, which is more than you've done. No self-respecting pollster in the country — including Fox, I might add — when they poll, they're trying to find out things about people and to weigh it, they will weigh how many men, how many women, how many blacks, how many Hispanics, because that is immutable. But to ask someone what your political opinion is do you consider yourself a Republican or a Democrat, that changes all the time. So they don't weight it to that. And the fact of the matter is, in 2010, when they asked what do you consider yourself, more people said they were Republicans. Now, more people are saying that they're Democrats."   

"Who's asking polls to be weighted by political opinion?" Stu asked. "It's not that.  We're questioning the results of your polls.  We're questioning is are ‑‑ yes, we understand how polls work.  You don't call up somebody and say, 'Well, we think there's 47% people are voting for Mitt Romney.  Since we only got 45%, we should change it to 47%.'  No one's saying that.  I understand the thing with, you know, you're going to make it so if you only get 4% respondents are African‑American, you might want to raise that because we obviously know there are more than 4% African‑American.  The point, though, is that your sample keeps coming out with a more enthusiastic democratic voter base than in the 2008 election.  No one who's followed anything.  Barack Obama had a 70% approval rating when he won that election.  No one believes that that is going to carry over to now."

"It's not that they should be manipulated or they should be weighted differently.  It's that the samples are obviously flawed," Stu said.

Glenn wondered why the media was crafting a narrative that made it look like Obama was favored to win over Romney.

" So the narrative should be that it is tied, but it's not.  It's not.  The narrative is, 'Mitt Romney's in trouble.  Mitt Romney's in trouble.  He's in trouble.  He's losing.  He's losing.'  It's tied," Glenn said.

One reason they could be showing bias in the polls is to de-energize and depress Romney supporters. But could Obama supporters in the media also be setting up the opportunity to delegitimize a Romney win by claiming there was an error and the polls never showed Romney could win?

"I believe the more insidious reason is this:  If you know how George Soros always overthrows government ‑‑ and remember, he said the main obstacle to a just new world order is the United States of America.  That's not Glenn saying 'I think he meant...'  That is a quote from George Soros.  That's when, quoting him again, he decided he needed to take on the United States of America.  He is looking for an overthrow.  He calls it a slow deleveraging and a slow decline, a managed decline of the United States of America.  And that's what you're getting, gang.  That's what you're getting at your bank account and inflation and everything else.  And he does it the same way.  He's done it in five countries.  He's done it the same way every time, and every time it happens around an election.  But it doesn't happen before the election.  It happens after the election.  What does?  Riots in the street.  What are they saying?  'The election was a fraud."; His side always comes out and says, 'It was fraud.  The poll numbers didn't show that.  This was stacked.  He's not legitimate.'  They are setting us up for fraud.  They are setting us up for 2000," Glenn said.

"We won't survive another 2000, and he knows it.  If you want to survive as a nation, forget about Mitt Romney and Barack Obama.  If you want to survive as a nation, get your ass out and vote for one of them.  Every single American should get out and vote for one of them.  It should be a landslide one way or another.  If it's a landslide for Barack Obama, so be it.  So be it.  I don't understand it, I don't get it, I will not be a part of it.  But so be it.  That's what the American people want.  The same thing with Mitt Romney.  If it's a landslide, so be it."

"Remember, Florida was won with, what, 536 votes?  All they have to do is convince 536 of you to stay home.  That's it.  You think they can do that in the next four weeks?  You're damn right they can."

The media has already tried to paint Romney as out-of-touch, ruthless, racist, a tax dodger, and worse over the past few weeks. Would anyone be surprised if people were less than thrilled to go out and vote?

An Afghan interpreter who helped save then-Sen. Joe Biden's life in 2008 was among those stranded in Afghanistan after Biden's troop withdrawal. He has now escaped the country with his family, but not with President Biden's help.

Thanks to private organizations, including The Nazarene Fund, the interpreter and his family have now been rescued.

Watch the video clip below to hear Glenn Beck share the details:

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A shocking new report by The Daily Wire reveals that the furious father whose arrest at a school board meeting likely sparked the call for the FBI to investigate anti-CRT parents like domestic terrorists was furious for good reasons: The Loudoun County School Board allegedly tried to cover up his daughter's rape.

Rep. Chris Stewart (R-Utah) joined Glenn Beck on the radio program Tuesday to discuss the incident and explain why he joined 60 lawmakers in a letter to Attorney General Merrick Garland demanding answers for why the FBI is targeting parents.

"We want to know ... what kind of coordination took place between the White House, activist groups and teachers unions, and the Department of Justice," Stewart told Glenn. "Because we have evidence that there was [coordination] and, in fact, that the White House are the ones who initiated this. They asked for these activist groups to write this inflammatory letter to the Department of Justice saying they were 'intimidated' and that they 'felt threatened', giving the Department of Justice Attorney General Garland, the excuse to say, 'Okay, well, we have to respond'."

Stewart went on to say he believes the federal government would only involve the FBI in such an issue if its purpose is to silence and intimidate parents concerned about the "poison" being taught to their kids in school. So, what can he and the other representatives who disagree with the Biden administration's overreach of power do to stop it?

Watch the video clip below to hear Stewart explain:

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Taiwan's Foreign Minister Joseph Wu is now warning that his nation is preparing for war with China after Beijing flew a record number of warplanes over Taiwanese territory. Wu reached out to another country for help, but it wasn't the United States.

In a video, Wu urged Australia to help prepare for a possible invasion, but gave the U.S. no mention.

"The defense of Taiwan is in our own hands, and we are absolutely committed to that. And if China is going to launch a war against Taiwan, we will fight until the end. And that is our commitment. And, of course, during this period of time, we would like to exchange with other countries for security cooperation," Wu said on ABC News In-depth's China Tonight program. "We would like to engage in security or intelligence exchanges with other like-minded partners, Australia included, so that Taiwan is better prepared to deal with the war situation. And so far, our relations with Australia is very good. And that is what we appreciate it for."

On "The Glenn Beck Program," Glenn, Pat Gray, and Stu Burguiere discussed whether or not America would do anything during such a conflict — because it sure seems like President Joe Biden is more focused on working with China to fight climate change. Plus, why did China just cut off all cryptocurrency?

Watch the video clip below to catch the conversation:

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To enjoy more of Glenn's masterful storytelling, thought-provoking analysis and uncanny ability to make sense of the chaos, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution and live the American dream.

On "Glenn TV" tonight, Glenn Beck heads to the chalkboard to reveal how the fundamental transformation of America has already begun by turning the Declaration of Independence upside down.

If Donald Trump was a dictator, then what do we call President Biden? In Biden's first nine months in office, he has already issued 64 executive orders – that's more than Trump, Obama, W. Bush, Clinton, Bush, and Reagan each issued in their entire first years in office.

You never hear the Left talk about the Declaration of Independence, the Constitution, or the Bill of Rights any more, unless it's to "reimagine" the Constitution or slap a "harmful content" warning on our founding documents. Seriously. The National Archives said while its website label wasn't targeting the Constitution specifically, "some of the materials presented here may reflect outdated, biased, offensive, and possibly violent views and opinions." The Left finds basic, guaranteed rights so offensive they now spend all of their time on workarounds to deal with America's annoying founding documents.

Watch the full episode of "Glenn TV" below to see Glenn outline the aggressive unconstitutional abuses "King Biden" is jamming down our throats and teaches Americans how we can defend against presidential tyranny.

Want more from Glenn Beck?

To enjoy more of Glenn's masterful storytelling, thought-provoking analysis and uncanny ability to make sense of the chaos, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution and live the American dream.