Data analyst explains why Americans will be looking for a “game changer” in 2016

Earlier this week, National Review’s Kevin Williamson joined Glenn to explain why he does not believe Senator Rand Paul (R-KY) has any real chance in 2016. In Williamson’s view, Americans are not actually ready to embrace libertarianism on a national scale. On radio this morning, data analyst John Cardillo, founder and CEO of psyID, talked to Glenn about the chances of Sen. Paul, Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX), and others in 2016.

To begin, Glenn asked John to explain the technique psyID uses to gather data. Unlike traditional polls that call people on the phone and ask pointed questions, psyID looks at the behavior and remarks of 1,000,000 non-party affiliated Americans to get a real sense of where people stand on the issues.

“We look at hundreds of thousands of registered voters’ conversations on social media. So I like to say we far outperform traditional polling because, A, the size of our sample. We can reach tens of thousands when… a ‘large sample’ for telephone poll is 2,000,” John explained. “More importantly, we can look at a sample representing the American electorate and look at them like flies on the wall. They don't know we are watching what they are talking about, so the conversation is much more honest. And we can gauge what they really feel on social and political issues.”

While Williamson argued that libertarianism has not been effectively marketed to the American people, John has a different take.

“Guys like Ted Cruz have done a tremendous job at rebranding libertarianism,” John said. “Now it's perceived as a movement that adheres to the principles of the Constitution, the free market, and smaller government. It is no longer perceived as stoners and anarchists. It's been rebranded in a successful way and people are waking up saying this is pretty cool… So it's been rebranded successfully, and… the country is embracing it pretty warmly.”

With that in mind, one has to wonder how a Ted Cruz or Rand Paul would fair in 2016. As Glenn has explained many times before, Sens. Paul and Cruz have two very different strategies and presentations. John, however, believes there is a lot of overlap.

“So what do these guys appeal to? Would they be feasting off each other in a primary? Are there differences on who likes them? In short, not really. I think if you laid two circles over each other, it would overlap probably 75 to 80% in terms of who would gravitate towards Rand Paul and Ted Cruz,” John said. “I think image has a lot to do with it. Ted Cruz looks much more like a U.S. senator, so there are a lot of people who don't know much about him that say, ‘He looks the part, I will go with them.’ Rand Paul kind of has an atypical look for a senator. They say he's a little bit of a game changer.”

Glenn believes that “game changer” quality will be very attractive in 2016 as Americans seek out an anti-politician, anti-establishment guy.

“We just have to not fall into the trap we always do, which we get someone elected in the primaries that's completely unelectable in the national. From our analyses, Rand Paul is starting to terrify the left. He's been terrifying the mainstream GOP, and he's really starting to scare the left,” John warned. “I'm not 100% sure Hillary's going to be the candidate. I don't think her health is where they're claiming it is…. And if Cuomo was the candidate, I think Rand Paul is formidable. Cuomo is a very New York guy. Sometimes that doesn't sell well to the rest of the U.S. As a business person, I learned that.”

“I just think that people are so tired. We are all in – both sides, we are all in. We all fought hard for what we believed in, and I think what's happening is all of us on both sides realize [the politicians] don't really believe it. And so the question remains: Can you unite both sides enough,” Glenn concluded. “I think the American people will gravitate towards somebody who they says, ‘You know, I don't agree with him on everything, but I'm so tired of this bull crap. I understand a game changer. I want to change the whole game, and this guy believes it.’ I think that wins.”

Editor's Note: Cardillo also joined Glenn on TheBlaze TV last night. You can check out a portion of that interview below:

A shocking new report by The Daily Wire reveals that the furious father whose arrest at a school board meeting likely sparked the call for the FBI to investigate anti-CRT parents like domestic terrorists was furious for good reasons: The Loudoun County School Board allegedly tried to cover up his daughter's rape.

Rep. Chris Stewart (R-Utah) joined Glenn Beck on the radio program Tuesday to discuss the incident and explain why he joined 60 lawmakers in a letter to Attorney General Merrick Garland demanding answers for why the FBI is targeting parents.

"We want to know ... what kind of coordination took place between the White House, activist groups and teachers unions, and the Department of Justice," Stewart told Glenn. "Because we have evidence that there was [coordination] and, in fact, that the White House are the ones who initiated this. They asked for these activist groups to write this inflammatory letter to the Department of Justice saying they were 'intimidated' and that they 'felt threatened', giving the Department of Justice Attorney General Garland, the excuse to say, 'Okay, well, we have to respond'."

Stewart went on to say he believes the federal government would only involve the FBI in such an issue if its purpose is to silence and intimidate parents concerned about the "poison" being taught to their kids in school. So, what can he and the other representatives who disagree with the Biden administration's overreach of power do to stop it?

Watch the video clip below to hear Stewart explain:

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Taiwan's Foreign Minister Joseph Wu is now warning that his nation is preparing for war with China after Beijing flew a record number of warplanes over Taiwanese territory. Wu reached out to another country for help, but it wasn't the United States.

In a video, Wu urged Australia to help prepare for a possible invasion, but gave the U.S. no mention.

"The defense of Taiwan is in our own hands, and we are absolutely committed to that. And if China is going to launch a war against Taiwan, we will fight until the end. And that is our commitment. And, of course, during this period of time, we would like to exchange with other countries for security cooperation," Wu said on ABC News In-depth's China Tonight program. "We would like to engage in security or intelligence exchanges with other like-minded partners, Australia included, so that Taiwan is better prepared to deal with the war situation. And so far, our relations with Australia is very good. And that is what we appreciate it for."

On "The Glenn Beck Program," Glenn, Pat Gray, and Stu Burguiere discussed whether or not America would do anything during such a conflict — because it sure seems like President Joe Biden is more focused on working with China to fight climate change. Plus, why did China just cut off all cryptocurrency?

Watch the video clip below to catch the conversation:

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On "Glenn TV" tonight, Glenn Beck heads to the chalkboard to reveal how the fundamental transformation of America has already begun by turning the Declaration of Independence upside down.

If Donald Trump was a dictator, then what do we call President Biden? In Biden's first nine months in office, he has already issued 64 executive orders – that's more than Trump, Obama, W. Bush, Clinton, Bush, and Reagan each issued in their entire first years in office.

You never hear the Left talk about the Declaration of Independence, the Constitution, or the Bill of Rights any more, unless it's to "reimagine" the Constitution or slap a "harmful content" warning on our founding documents. Seriously. The National Archives said while its website label wasn't targeting the Constitution specifically, "some of the materials presented here may reflect outdated, biased, offensive, and possibly violent views and opinions." The Left finds basic, guaranteed rights so offensive they now spend all of their time on workarounds to deal with America's annoying founding documents.

Watch the full episode of "Glenn TV" below to see Glenn outline the aggressive unconstitutional abuses "King Biden" is jamming down our throats and teaches Americans how we can defend against presidential tyranny.

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On the "Glenn Beck Radio Program," Glenn explained why he wouldn't be surprised to see our supply chain collapse and empty shelves in America in the near future. Shortages are already wrecking our economy, China (where many of our goods are still made) is facing an energy shortage, and the Biden administration sure seems to be doing everything it can to make things worse.

Glenn noted a serious warning from American CEO Mike Beckham: "There's a major storm brewing in the supply chain," Beckham wrote on Twitter.

Thanks to China's centrally planned system, electricity shortages are causing huge delays in product manufacturing. In fact, some items are facing a 33 percent cut in production. "It could dramatically impact every [American's] life next year. But almost no one knows about it yet," Beckham warned.

Glenn went on to explain exactly what this means for you — and what you can do to prepare.

Watch the video clip below to hear Glenn break it down:


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