Stu Reviews the Latest Polls for South Carolina and Nevada

According to Stu, there are two ways to look at polls --- one is if you like America and the other is if you don't. Unfortunately, the latest poll numbers will make the latter group happier.

Going into South Carolina, the polls show Trump at 35, Cruz at 17.5, Marco Rubio at 15.8, Bush at 15 and Kasich at 14. Ben Carson isn't really a factor in South Carolina.

The first real poll from Nevada also came out which has Trump at 45, Rubio at 19 and Cruz at 17. Jeb Bush has spent $100 million in Nevada, and he's at 1 percent.

Listen to this segment from The Glenn Beck Program:

Below is a rush transcript of this segment, it might contain errors:

STU: So polls are out and such.

JEFFY: Oh, boy.

STU: And, well, it depends on what you -- like there's different ways to look at them.

PAT: I look at them with my eyes. How do you look at them?

STU: You're about to look at them with your ears because I'm going to read them.

PAT: Okay.

STU: But I will say there are a couple of ways to look at them. One is actually if you like America and the other is if you dislike it.

PAT: I like it.

STU: If you dislike it, these polls look great. They're fantastic. If you like it, yeah, this is not going to be as good for you.

JEFFY: You probably shouldn't look with your ears.

STU: No. You don't want to look with your ears on those.

So basically as we're leading to South Carolina right now, we're looking at about -- polls are very consistent. Donald Trump with a 17- to 18-point advantage. So, again, this would be a monumental all-time political choke if he were to lose this or, really, if it was anywhere close.

JEFFY: Wouldn't that be something?

STU: The question really is kind of coming more between second place. Right now, in the average poll, it's Trump at 35, Cruz at 17.5, Marco Rubio at 15.8. So those two are pretty tight.

Beyond that, really, there's not much going on. Bush has had a couple good polls. He did have one poll where he hit 15 in South Carolina. And, you know, Kasich has one poll where he hit 14. Ben Carson is really not a factor here at all.

But they also released the first real poll of what's going on in Nevada. It goes South Carolina, then Nevada for Republicans. It's the reverse of that for Democrats. Nevada is first.

For Republicans, Trump 45, Rubio 19, Cruz 17. I want to read the rest of them because of the last one. Cruz 7 percent, Kasich 5 percent, Jeb Bush 1 percent. Jeb Bush has spent $100 million, and he's at 1 percent in Nevada

PAT: Jebmentum.

STU: Jebmentum is coming.

JEFFY: Don't start making fun of Gilmentum. Okay. Jeb can't latch on to the strength of Jim Gilmore, I'll tell you that.

PAT: No, you're right. You're right.

STU: Jim Gilmore did get 0 percent in this particular poll.

JEFFY: Well, he decided not to run anymore.

STU: Why, Jeffy?

JEFFY: Move on, Stu. Move on.

STU: I want to give you this, this is a great one. I want to see if you can guess at this. This is a poll from PPP, which is a Democratic polling outfit.

PAT: I don't know it's necessary for you to use that kind of language on this show. I really don't.

JEFFY: We're listening with our ears.

STU: So PPP is known for --

PAT: Oh, my gosh, he did it again.

STU: -- slipping in questions that occasionally might make certain voters look bad. They're a Democratic polling outfit.

PAT: So you're saying the PPP people is a bunch of pee-pee?

STU: Well, it's a legitimate polling outfit, but they'll slip in questions like --

PAT: Like what?

STU: I don't know if they've ever done this particular one, but something like, "Do you believe Obama is a Muslim?" You know what I mean? To see if they can get that, "Well, 20 percent of Republicans have called Obama a Muslim."

PAT: Yeah.

STU: You know, they look for those results. So they decided to do this in South Carolina. The question was, "Are whites a superior race?"

PAT: Oh, I like this one. And, of course, those damnable racists, ignorant southern Republicans.

JEFFY: Ninety --

PAT: 98 percent said yes?

JEFFY: Ninety-eight. If it's not --

PAT: Almost 100 percent.

STU: They broke it down by ideology. So are whites a superior race? 7 percent of very conservative voters said yes. That's embarrassing.

PAT: That's embarrassing.

STU: That number is approximately 7 percent too high. 7 percent of very conservative voters said whites were a superior race. Now, somewhat conservative voters, 12 percent said whites are superior race. How about moderate voters? These are the people who are in the middle. They're just looking at the field, and they're saying, "You know what, I don't have a strong opinion on anything."

PAT: So these might be independents?

STU: Centrists, you know. 11 percent of centrists and moderates said whites are a superior race. Now, we get into somewhat liberal. These people obviously are going to be -- it's going to be way lower than the conservative number.

JEFFY: Right.

STU: Because these people are enlightened.

PAT: It's got to be under 7 percent. Right?

STU: It's got to be under 7 percent for sure.

PAT: Yeah.

STU: Actually 12 percent of somewhat liberal voters said that whites are a superior race. But then you get to very liberal. And this is where it really --

PAT: Well, they are diverse. They're inclusive.

JEFFY: Minus. Negative.

STU: If 7 percent of very conservative voters said that whites are a superior race, that number is going to be way lower for --

PAT: It will be zero. I'm guessing 0 percent.

STU: Again, 7 percent of very conservative voters said whites are a superior race. 33 percent of very liberal voters said whites are a superior race.

JEFFY: My gosh.

PAT: You got to be -- it's 33 percent?

STU: That's amazing. 33 percent. Now, the sample sizes they would say are not big enough.

PAT: Wow. Wow.

STU: But 33 percent --

PAT: That's great.

STU: That is amazing. So next time someone on Facebook or something tells you that you're a racist because you like lower taxes, remind them that 33 percent of very liberal voters think whites are a superior race. There you go. Crazy.

PAT: That is absolutely amazing.

JEFFY: It sure is.

PAT: So what was the overall breakdown? Did they give that number? Overall, how many people thought whites were a superior --

STU: I think it was 10 percent overall.

PAT: Ten. That's pretty small.

STU: Yeah.

PAT: Pretty small.

STU: It's still 10 percent too high.

PAT: It is.

STU: Very small. You'll always have somebody -- we've talked about before --

PAT: Liberals.

STU: Around -- anything under 11 percent of voters, you almost can't even count in polls like this. Because 11 percent of voters will believe anything: You know, no one has ever landed on the moon. That Paul McCartney was killed in 1967. That, you know, Elvis is alive today.

You can get 10 percent on almost anything.

PAT: Right.

STU: So there you go.

Featured Image: Screenshot from The Glenn Beck Program

Would Glenn make a better bounty hunter or a Jedi? You'll have to find out in a new episode of the Beltway Banthas Podcast, where Glenn goes deep on Star Wars with host Stephen Kent. In this 45 minute discussion, Stephen and Glenn explore the political themes of the Star Wars franchise, Darth Vader's redemption from Return of the Jedi, Glenn's earliest memories of seeing the films and even debate elements of the latest Star Wars films.

If you enjoy the pop culture and nerdy discussions that Glenn, Pat and Stu get into on the radio show, you'll love this! After you're through, you can also check out Stu Burguiere's appearance on Beltway Banthas to talk Star Wars. You can find that here.

It's never too early to start your Christmas, Hanukah, or Kwanzaa shopping. Or even birthday gift shopping. Especially if that special someone in your life is a Democrat. Because at last count, pretty much all the Democrats are now running for president. And that means there has never been a wider selection of official candidate merchandise to choose from. Whether you're into environmentalism, feminism, classism, socialism, or just plain love, there is a smorgasbord of classy items that you and yours will treasure forever... or at least until the next presidential election.

We have browsed each of the candidates' online stores, so you don't have to (it only took us three months). We have curated only the finest items from each of the Democrats running for president of the United States of America. Without further ado, here is your handy progressive gift guide – or maybe your what-not-to-gift guide.

First, the bargain basement options. Hurry! Time is running out to grab your Beto bandana, or your Delaney pack of golf balls, because at this point Stu has as much of a chance as these guys of getting the nomination.

Tom Steyer, for example – is he still in the race?

There's way too much Tom here. That shirt's got more Toms than a Caucasian dentists' convention.

For the slightly more moderate Democrat in your life, perhaps they'd like to join the "Yang Gang"…

Andrew Yang is a lock for Math Club president…

But for actual president? Well, I wouldn't make plans for how you're going to spend your $1,000-per-month Yang allowance just yet.

If you happen to be shopping for your dog, may I suggest this lovely "Dogs for Delaney" dog collar…

John Delaney's definitely going to secure the canine vote with this kind of outreach. As for any human votes, that's another question entirely.

How 'bout this tastefully understated "Natural Canvas" Michael Bennet tote to remind you he's also still here?...

Then again, it's a tote. So, it'll end up on the floor of your closet and you won't have it with you until that one random moment when you're out somewhere and you really need a tote bag. Just like Democrats will really wish they had a moderate when we're in the middle of the socialist nightmare of their creation.

Captain Planet himself, Jay Inslee recently dropped out of the race, but don't let that stop you from picking up what may be the greatest single item sold by anyone in this race…

A children's book called Elvis & the Elves: the Mystery of the Melting Snow. Written and illustrated by Governor Jay Inslee. Talk about a whodunnit – how could that snow possibly be melting? Spoiler alert: it's because of evil, white, patriarchal capitalism. And Donald Trump.

Then there's the candidate who thinks you're a moron that can't pronounce his last name: Steve Bullock...

Get it? Bull. Lock. Oh, so that's how you say the name that sounds exactly how it's spelled.

There's another candidate who also thinks you need help pronouncing his last name…

And he is definitely right about that. So, thank you, Pete "Boot Edge Edge." That helps.

Just outside the bargain bin section, but just barely, are candidates like Julian Castro and his "El Presidente" t-shirt…

When your last name's Castro, do you really want to go with a weird drawing of yourself as if you're a classic Latin American dictator on a postage stamp?

If you prefer a little "dark psychic forces" battling in your candidates, you'll love Marianne Williamson's "Turn Love Into a Political Force" rally sign…

"Turn Love Into a Political Force" would be an even better title for a Marianne Williamson album of 80s cover songs. And if you think I'm joking, then you haven't heard Bernie Sanders' classic 1987 folk album, We Shall Overcome. That's not a joke. Well, it is a joke, but it's also a very real thing.

Now, just a quick pause to consider the peculiar baby-wear that way too many candidates are selling…

…including Elizabeth Warren's trans-pride flag onesie. Let me get this straight – we can't force any gender on a child, because that's just cruel. But we can force a political advertisement on a baby? How do we know that baby is actually a Biden or Warren fan? The child may not even be a Democrat or a Socialist at all. That baby might self-identify as a Libertarian, or Republican, or even worse – a moderate Democrat.

Now to the premium items from the premium candidates. Elizabeth Warren – the candidate with the most honesty in her advertising…


Warren's merchandise reflects the woman herself – cold and humorless (watch her "This isn't funny" clip from the last debate here at the 4:27 mark). I'm sure she's really fun once you get to know her. Then again, maybe not.

Speaking of serious women, Kamala Harris wants to be president very badly for you, the people, as you can tell from her "For the People" poster…

At $29.99 though, she's sure not charging "people's" prices. Of course, she might be having to pay royalties to a certain someone for riffing on their poster. Just saying.

For the race's number one socialist, there's a whole lot of capitalism going on in Bernie Sanders' campaign. He sells so many delightful items that it's hard to choose. But we did anyway. The most random item is this hundred-dollar, black, "Art of a Political Revolution – Artists for Bernie Sanders Coaches Jacket"…

Coaches across the land will be clamoring for this one. You know, since coaches are such a strong Bernie-socialist demographic.

If that's a little over your budget you might consider a "Feel the Bern" fanny pack, to help store all those government freebies you'll get from Bernie…

This is the only context in which you'll ever want to hear "feel the burn" and "fanny" in the same sentence.

And finally, from front-runner Joe Biden, we have this fine "Women's Fitted Biden Polo." Which is just about the best polo description ever…

It promises the kind of snug approach that Biden loves to provide women. Even when they don't ask.

This was one of the first homesteads in the area in the 1880's and was just begging to be brought back to its original glory — with a touch of modern. When we first purchased the property, it was full of old stuff without any running water, central heat or AC, so needless to say, we had a huge project ahead of us. It took some vision and a whole lot of trust, but the mess we started with seven years ago is now a place we hope the original owners would be proud of.

To restore something like this is really does take a village. It doesn't take much money to make it cozy inside, if like me you are willing to take time and gather things here and there from thrift shops and little antique shops in the middle of nowhere.

But finding the right craftsman is a different story.

Matt Jensen and his assistant Rob did this entire job from sketches I made. Because he built this in his off hours it took just over a year, but so worth the wait. It wasn't easy as it was 18"out of square. He had to build around that as the entire thing we felt would collapse. Matt just reinforced the structure and we love its imperfections.

Here are a few pictures of the process and the transformation from where we started to where we are now:

​How it was

It doesn't look like much yet, but just you wait and see!

By request a photo tour of the restored cabin. I start doing the interior design in earnest tomorrow after the show, but all of the construction guys are now done. So I mopped the floors, washed the sheets, some friends helped by washing the windows. And now the unofficial / official tour.

The Property

The views are absolutely stunning and completely peaceful.