Donald Trump loves polls and polls love him – or so he thinks. Co-host Stu Burguiere broke down the numbers Friday on The Glenn Beck Program to show how Donald Trump and Ted Cruz would fare against Hillary Clinton.
Trump vs. Hillary Clinton
• Last night, Trump quoted a January 4th Fox News poll in which he beat Clinton. In the most recent Fox News poll, Trump loses by 5 points.
• In the most recent CNN poll, Trump loses by 8 points (the same poll he said was excellent during the debate).
• In the most recent USA Today poll, Trump loses to Clinton 45-43.
Head-to-Head Against Hillary Clinton
Here's how the numbers stack up in the latest 20 polls on how Trump and Cruz would perform against Hillary in the general election.
• Trump wins against Hillary in 2 and loses in 18
• Cruz wins against Hillary in 10 and loses in 10 (however, he won 7 of the last 9 polls)
Open Election vs. Closed Election
Donald Trump has dominated in races where Democrats are allowed to vote in the Republican primary, whereas Ted Cruz fares better in closed contests. Speculators believe Trump could have had as many as 170,000 votes go his way as a result of Democrats crossing over.
“There's a piece of analysis that went through The Washington Post and how they think about 170,000 votes may have gone to Donald Trump in South Carolina that were not Republican votes. They call them Democratic spoiler votes,” Stu said.
“So people went in there [because] he's praising Planned Parenthood and we know he's basically a Democrat as Hillary Clinton called him. So they go in there and make Donald Trump win. Then we have a choice of two Democrats. ...Donald Trump has performed much better in open primaries, where Democrats or Independents can come in and vote in the Republican primary.”
Vote Without Democratic Crossover in South Carolina
“There's no electability argument for Donald Trump,” Stu said. “A lot of things can happen over the course of a campaign. But what is sure right now is the data overwhelmingly supports the idea that the worst chance you have to beat Hillary Clinton is Donald Trump. You can find a poll here and there where he wins, but he wins by less than the other candidate every single time.”