It looks like there is a Ted Cruz surge happening in Wisconsin, and Tuesday’s primary will go a long way in proving whether the Texas Senator has a viable path to getting 1,237 delegates or not. Cruz’s message has been resonating more and more as Donald Trump continues to prove he does not have a well thought-out plan and is shooting from the hip. It’s too soon to tell if his attacks on Heidi Cruz or his comments on abortion will affect his numbers at the polls, but it appears there is finally a crack in the Trump façade.
Co-host Stu Burguiere, broadcasting live from TheBlaze Studios in New York, broke down the latest polls and showed just how far Cruz has come in a month on The Glenn Beck Program Thursday.
Wisconsin Polling Last Month
• Trump 30%
• Cruz 19%
• Kasich 8%
Wisconsin Polling Post Carson and Rubio Withdrawal
• Cruz 40% +21
• Trump 30% even
• Kasich 21% +13
Ted Cruz has been saying all along their polling showed Trump has a hard ceiling of 35-40% --- an idea Glenn says is beginning to be born out in the polls.
“It goes right to the theory all along, he's got a ceiling,” Glenn said. “His people are with him and that's all he's going to get.”
L.A. Times California Polling
In a state that many consider a potential big-win for Trump, the new L.A. Times poll shows it’s actually a lot closer than you might think. This could be huge since California is a winner-take-most state in terms of delegates.
• Trump 36%
• Cruz 35%
• Kasich 14%
New York Polls
In his home state, Trump does have a commanding lead, which is key for two reasons. New York has a rule where if a candidate collects more than 50% of the votes, they will gain a large delegate bonus. But a candidate must reach 20% to even get a share of any delegates. So even in a loss, a second place finish that keeps Kasich under 20% would be a win for Cruz.
• Trump 56%
• Cruz 20%
• Kasich 19%
Pennsylvania and the Kasich Effect
John Kasich literally has no mathematical possibility of winning enough delegates to win the nomination on the first ballot, but apparently the people of Pennsylvania haven’t heard. Trump does hold a slight lead but in the neighbor to his home state of Ohio, Pennsylvania is throwing in with Kasich and not choosing Cruz.
• Trump 33%
• Kasich 30%
• Cruz 20%
Pat Gray Poll
In a completely unscientific poll, co-host Pat Gray has shared the results of his own poll --- one that typically shows favorable results for Ted Cruz. Stu was anxious to hear the Pat Gray poll results from one state in particular but was greatly disappointed at what he heard.
“The only information, Glenn, that we have from Maryland poll-wise is the Pat poll. And we can go to Pat Gray now to check in on the Pat poll in Maryland. Pat,” Stu said.
“No, the Pat poll has been retired, Stu. The Pat poll is over,” Pat said. “Well, it had a couple of bad weeks, and it was retired.”