Tuesday was a bloodbath for anyone not named Donald Trump. But take heart, Cruz supporters, it's not over yet.
Coming off of landslide victories in Utah, North Dakota, Colorado and Wisconsin, Glenn warned Ted Cruz supporters the tide would be turning in the northeast --- and it did. Trump outperformed expectations, hitting the 50% mark in each race, even topping 60% in two.
Despite the landslide wins, co-host Stu Burguiere broke down the uphill climb Trump has to reach 1237 before the GOP convention in July.
According to the most generous delegate counts for Trump, he's about 270 delegates away from clinching the nomination. Cruz is poised to be a strong contender for delegates in upcoming races in New Jersey, West Virginia, Washington, Oregon, New Mexico Montana, South Dakota and Nebraska.
• Trump should pick up all delegates in New Jersey and West Virginia.
• Washington, Oregon and New Mexico are proportional with Cruz likely to get more from Washington; New Mexico will be about equal.
• Cruz should collect all delegates from Montana, South Dakota and Nebraska.
It All Hinges On Indiana and California
Indiana looks like a good place for Cruz to win, and it's a winner-take-all state. That all but assures a contested convention. But a Trump win in Indiana gives the real estate mogul a very reasonable chance of getting to 1237. If Trump wins both Indiana and California, he wins the nomination. A loss in Indiana and a win in California for Trump means a contested convention. Clear as mud?
Despite Trump winning with large margins on Tuesday, five of the last six stateshad the lowest voter turnout of any of the primaries this year. This points to the anti-Trump movement losing steam and getting discouraged, suppressing the vote.
It Ain't Over 'Til the Fat Lady Sings
The media would have everyone believe Trump is the inevitable nominee at this point. But don't give up just yet.
"It is not over," Glenn said.
"It is not. And the difference . . . it's just Stu saying this, but last night's results, including New York from the week before, turned this from Indiana being the must-win state for Trump to Indiana being a must-win state for Cruz," Stu said.