The Meaningless Poll
Indiana is a state that highly regulates what types of polls can be used and when they can be conducted, which causes the numbers to be all over the board. Some polls have Ted Cruz with a double-digit lead while others give Donald Trump the double-digit advantage - with the truth somewhere in the middle, most likely.
"I've talked to experts all over Indiana and they're all saying the same thing. The numbers are so far apart from each other that if you - if you just look for the mean number in between, it looks like maybe four points for Donald Trump. But it is too close to call here in Indiana," Glenn said on Tuesday on The Glenn Beck Program.
What Exactly is a Potential Voter?
The Wall Street Journal/NBC poll is one that appears to be an outlier, with most polls having Trump up by no more than eight or nine points. So how did they get such a large lead for Trump? The answer: methodology.
"It's so hard to get people to do a poll today anyway," Glenn said. "And once you start adding all those things, it's almost impossible to get an accurate poll. And I think that's why the Wall Street Journal did 'potential voters,' not registered voters, but 'potential voters.' I've never heard that term before used in a poll."
Co-host Stu Burguiere agreed the term sounded odd.
"It's a strange one. And there is a big lead -- that is the one - the Wall Street Journal poll, NBC, was the one that had a big lead for Trump. Another poll in Indiana had a big lead for Cruz. You kind of take those out, and it's kind of what you see is about a four to six point lead for Trump, largely within the margin of error of these polls."
Momentum On the Ground
Momentum can only be measured once the returns are in, but all signs on the campaign trail point to an energized base that will come out and vote. According to Heidi Cruz, Indiana could be another Wisconsin.
"I think we did four different stops with Ted. When I saw her, she was very, very upbeat last night. She was just, I mean, she was charged," Glenn said. "And she said, 'Glenn, this feels like Wisconsin. I'm not saying it's going to come out like Wisconsin. But it feels like Wisconsin. The energy that I'm feeling from people, it just feels like it did.' In fact, I believe she said, 'It feels better than Wisconsin.'"
Listen to this segment from The Glenn Beck Program: