Election by Numbers: Does Trump Have a Real Shot?

Does Donald Trump have a legitimate chance to win the White House based on polls? Stu Burguiere, co-host of The Glenn Beck Program, analyzed the current numbers and the 10 most competitive states in play.

It Ain't Your Father's 1988

"Stu, can you give me the latest polls that have come out?" Glenn asked.

"There was an NBC poll that came out today that had Trump down 10. Monmouth poll had him down, I think, 13," Stu said.

"Jeez. That's new last night too, isn't it?" Glenn asked.

"Yeah, I think yesterday," Stu replied.

RELATED: Even Conservatives Are Appalled That Trump Said ‘Second Amendment People’ Could Stop Hillary

Pennsylvania also had Trump down 10. In Georgia, one poll had him down by one and another by four.

"He loses Georgia, he doesn't win," Glenn said.

Glenn and Stu could think of only one election when a candidate that far behind wound up winning. In June 1988, Michael Dukakis had a 15-point lead over George H.W. Bush and lost.

"Dukakis lost for a couple of reasons: He lost because of that stupid helmet in the tank thing and the Willie Horton ad," Glenn said.

"It was a different media culture too," Stu added. "An event like that tended to be more effective than I think it is now. I mean, who knows what's going to happen. I would think in the Dukakis/Bush race, if the father of a mass murderer was sitting behind the candidate in a rally, it probably would have been a huge deal," Stu said.

Let's Play Electoral College

"We're going to play electoral college. Most people don't understand, especially people from Latin America, they don't understand our electoral college. They just go on popular vote, so they don't get it. And it will be easy to convince them that they've been disenfranchised," Glenn said.

"So here are the ten most competitive states as it stands right now, and I'll lead with the most friendly to Trump. You try to be positive for Trump when we do this. Try to lean Trump," Stu said to Glenn.

Here's how Glenn thought the states would go, generously leaning toward Trump:

Mississippi: Trump

Arizona: Trump

Georgia: Trump

North Carolina: Trump

Ohio: Trump

Florida: Trump

Iowa: Trump

Nevada: Trump

New Mexico: Hillary

New Hampshire: Hillary

"Hillary wins. Even with him winning eight of those ten states, Hillary still wins," Stu said.

"There's no way to win," Glenn said. "The deadline is Friday. We have to draft somebody . . . I know he hates my guts, but I think we should reach out to Mitt Romney and say, 'Romney, look, don't even run, just put your name on the ballot,'" Glenn said. "Maybe I should reach out to Ted and say . . . don't run, don't run. Don't do an ad. Don't do anything. Just put your name on the ballot in case we start to have 20 points behind."

Stu touted his bailout plan to get a new candidate on the ballot in several deep red states.

"If there's a real breakdown and you're talking about an insurance policy, it's possible. By the way, it's much more possible than trying to get on 50 ballots right now. You'd have to win 25 lawsuits," Stu said.

"All I'm saying is, we have to have an insurance policy," Glenn said.

Listen to this segment from The Glenn Beck Program:

Elon Musk calls Biden a 'damp sock puppet,' says the president treats Americans 'like fools'

Photo by FREDERIC J. BROWN/AFP via Getty Images

Elon Musk, co-founder and CEO of Tesla, took to Twitter on Thursday to remind President Joe Biden that he left a certain key player out of a discussion about the future of building electric vehicles in the United States.

After meeting with General Motors Chair and CEO Mary Barra and Ford Motor Co. CEO Jim Farley, among others — but not including Musk — at the White House, Biden tweeted, "I meant it when I said the future was going to be made right here in America. Companies like GM and Ford are building more electric vehicles here at home than ever before."

Musk first responded by tweeting, "Starts with a T, Ends with an A, ESL in the middle."

Later in the thread, Musk seemed to agree with Twitter user Kim Paquette by tweeting: "Biden is treating the American public like fools."

Finally, Musk tweeted his pièce de résistance (at least for the day): "Biden is a damp [sock] puppet in human form."

This isn't the first time Musk has taken issue with the current administration. In December, he railed against Biden's "Build Back Better Act", saying he's deeply concerned about how the multitrillion-dollar bill would increase the national debt. In October, Musk slammed the administration's proposed tax on unrealized capital gains, warning Americans that "eventually, they run out of other people's money and then they come for you."

And who could forget Musk's spectacular Twitter spat with Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass)? In case you missed it, Warren called Musk a freeloader after Time magazine named him "Person of the Year." Musk shot back with, "If you opened your eyes for 2 seconds, you would realize I will pay more taxes than any American in history this year. Don’t spend it all at once … oh wait you did already."

On his radio program Thursday, BlazeTV's Glenn Beck spoke out in Musk's defense. He praised Musk's "American spirit," noting the South African-born American entrepreneur's humble beginnings.

"Do you know that when Elon Musk and his brother launched their first company, Zip2, Elon was living in his office and he was showering at the YMCA? Did you know that? But he was in America. He's got more American spirit in him than most people I see every day. He's gone from showering at the YMCA to now mapping out a trip to Mars and he'll do it. Why? Because he has that American spirit in him."

Watch the video below to hear more from Glenn Beck:

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When Biden was given the keys to the Oval Office in January 2021, gas was $2.50 a gallon and the inflation rate was 1.4%. Today gas is at $3.32 a gallon and the inflation rate is at 7% ... and STILL RISING. These are just 12 months of numbers, but we’re clearly in a worrying decline. While the economy has opened up more post-COVID, it’s not just getting worse — we’re going IN REVERSE.

On "Glenn TV" Wednesday, Glenn Beck heads to the chalkboard (and the very top of his studio ceiling) to explain what’s happening to inflation and why it’s so hard for your family to afford basic goods and groceries. It’s not “corporate greed,” as Democrats have been telling you. The Biden administration wants to continue to spend trillions of dollars to “reinvent capitalism,” but that’s in addition to the trillions that are being pumped out IN THE SHADOWS.

Glenn exposes what the Fed has been doing behind closed doors and shows us the tidal wave that’s about to hit. He’s looked at the numbers, and they're frightening. Carol Roth, former Wall Street investment banker and author of “The War on Small Business,” gives advice to Americans who want to protect their checking and savings accounts before it’s too late.

Watch the full episode below:

Want more from Glenn Beck?

To enjoy more of Glenn’s masterful storytelling, thought-provoking analysis and uncanny ability to make sense of the chaos, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution and live the American dream.

The stock markets have taken a nosedive in the biggest downtrend since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. But that's nothing compared to what's coming thanks to our government's embrace of modern monetary theory, warned BlazeTV's Glenn Beck on the radio program.

"It really is important that you understand what's happening to us," Glenn stated. "Modern monetary theory is truly the [fuel] ... for the great reset. It is the idea that we can print as much money and spend as much money as we want," he explained.

"Then the next step is to release the Federal Reserve digital currency and make payments by other currencies [including cryptocurrencies] illegal," he continued. "And you're seeing it happen now in real time. Why would they do this? Because you cannot print this kind of money without having absolute control over how it is spent."

Glenn broke down the steps powerful political organizations — like the Federal Reserve — will take to end currency competition and enact a Federal digital dollar, which will allow for the government to have complete control over how we spend our money.

"This is what's coming. This is coming quickly, and events will make it move faster. For instance, why is Joe Biden basically giving Ukraine to Russia? He's giving it to them. He he knows Russia's not afraid of him. Putin knows that [Biden] is not going to do anything ... neither is NATO. They're not going to do anything," Glenn said.

"It's because war resets everything. War is the best great resetter. Changes boundaries. It changes borders. It changes laws. It changes societies. It changes currencies. It changes everything. And in the end you just want the war to stop. And so you you accept whatever it is the terms are that you're going to have to live under now. We're in very, very dangerous times. The only way to survive this is to know why they are dangerous times."

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Chances are, you've noticed that many large companies have decided to become woke activists, despite the fact that alienating half your customer base is a terrible business strategy.

This woke shift isn't being driven by the usual market forces. It's the Great Reset's ESG score system at work, Glenn Beck said on "GlennTV." Under the “environmental, social, and governance” score system, companies will no longer make decisions based on what you, the consumer, want. Now, it's all about what those in power deem society should want. And it's not just businesses that are affected, he explained.

Watch the video clip below or find the full episode of "GlennTV" here:


Want more from Glenn Beck?

To enjoy more of Glenn’s masterful storytelling, thought-provoking analysis and uncanny ability to make sense of the chaos, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution, and live the American dream.