Does Donald Trump have a legitimate chance to win the White House based on polls? Stu Burguiere, co-host of The Glenn Beck Program, analyzed the current numbers and the 10 most competitive states in play.
It Ain't Your Father's 1988
"Stu, can you give me the latest polls that have come out?" Glenn asked.
"There was an NBC poll that came out today that had Trump down 10. Monmouth poll had him down, I think, 13," Stu said.
"Jeez. That's new last night too, isn't it?" Glenn asked.
"Yeah, I think yesterday," Stu replied.
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Pennsylvania also had Trump down 10. In Georgia, one poll had him down by one and another by four.
"He loses Georgia, he doesn't win," Glenn said.
Glenn and Stu could think of only one election when a candidate that far behind wound up winning. In June 1988, Michael Dukakis had a 15-point lead over George H.W. Bush and lost.
"Dukakis lost for a couple of reasons: He lost because of that stupid helmet in the tank thing and the Willie Horton ad," Glenn said.
"It was a different media culture too," Stu added. "An event like that tended to be more effective than I think it is now. I mean, who knows what's going to happen. I would think in the Dukakis/Bush race, if the father of a mass murderer was sitting behind the candidate in a rally, it probably would have been a huge deal," Stu said.
Let's Play Electoral College
"We're going to play electoral college. Most people don't understand, especially people from Latin America, they don't understand our electoral college. They just go on popular vote, so they don't get it. And it will be easy to convince them that they've been disenfranchised," Glenn said.
"So here are the ten most competitive states as it stands right now, and I'll lead with the most friendly to Trump. You try to be positive for Trump when we do this. Try to lean Trump," Stu said to Glenn.
Here's how Glenn thought the states would go, generously leaning toward Trump:
North Carolina: Trump
New Mexico: Hillary
New Hampshire: Hillary
"Hillary wins. Even with him winning eight of those ten states, Hillary still wins," Stu said.
"There's no way to win," Glenn said. "The deadline is Friday. We have to draft somebody . . . I know he hates my guts, but I think we should reach out to Mitt Romney and say, 'Romney, look, don't even run, just put your name on the ballot,'" Glenn said. "Maybe I should reach out to Ted and say . . . don't run, don't run. Don't do an ad. Don't do anything. Just put your name on the ballot in case we start to have 20 points behind."
Stu touted his bailout plan to get a new candidate on the ballot in several deep red states.
"If there's a real breakdown and you're talking about an insurance policy, it's possible. By the way, it's much more possible than trying to get on 50 ballots right now. You'd have to win 25 lawsuits," Stu said.
"All I'm saying is, we have to have an insurance policy," Glenn said.
Listen to this segment from The Glenn Beck Program: