Election by Numbers: Does Trump Have a Real Shot?

Does Donald Trump have a legitimate chance to win the White House based on polls? Stu Burguiere, co-host of The Glenn Beck Program, analyzed the current numbers and the 10 most competitive states in play.

It Ain't Your Father's 1988

"Stu, can you give me the latest polls that have come out?" Glenn asked.

"There was an NBC poll that came out today that had Trump down 10. Monmouth poll had him down, I think, 13," Stu said.

"Jeez. That's new last night too, isn't it?" Glenn asked.

"Yeah, I think yesterday," Stu replied.

RELATED: Even Conservatives Are Appalled That Trump Said ‘Second Amendment People’ Could Stop Hillary

Pennsylvania also had Trump down 10. In Georgia, one poll had him down by one and another by four.

"He loses Georgia, he doesn't win," Glenn said.

Glenn and Stu could think of only one election when a candidate that far behind wound up winning. In June 1988, Michael Dukakis had a 15-point lead over George H.W. Bush and lost.

"Dukakis lost for a couple of reasons: He lost because of that stupid helmet in the tank thing and the Willie Horton ad," Glenn said.

"It was a different media culture too," Stu added. "An event like that tended to be more effective than I think it is now. I mean, who knows what's going to happen. I would think in the Dukakis/Bush race, if the father of a mass murderer was sitting behind the candidate in a rally, it probably would have been a huge deal," Stu said.

Let's Play Electoral College

"We're going to play electoral college. Most people don't understand, especially people from Latin America, they don't understand our electoral college. They just go on popular vote, so they don't get it. And it will be easy to convince them that they've been disenfranchised," Glenn said.

"So here are the ten most competitive states as it stands right now, and I'll lead with the most friendly to Trump. You try to be positive for Trump when we do this. Try to lean Trump," Stu said to Glenn.

Here's how Glenn thought the states would go, generously leaning toward Trump:

Mississippi: Trump

Arizona: Trump

Georgia: Trump

North Carolina: Trump

Ohio: Trump

Florida: Trump

Iowa: Trump

Nevada: Trump

New Mexico: Hillary

New Hampshire: Hillary

"Hillary wins. Even with him winning eight of those ten states, Hillary still wins," Stu said.

"There's no way to win," Glenn said. "The deadline is Friday. We have to draft somebody . . . I know he hates my guts, but I think we should reach out to Mitt Romney and say, 'Romney, look, don't even run, just put your name on the ballot,'" Glenn said. "Maybe I should reach out to Ted and say . . . don't run, don't run. Don't do an ad. Don't do anything. Just put your name on the ballot in case we start to have 20 points behind."

Stu touted his bailout plan to get a new candidate on the ballot in several deep red states.

"If there's a real breakdown and you're talking about an insurance policy, it's possible. By the way, it's much more possible than trying to get on 50 ballots right now. You'd have to win 25 lawsuits," Stu said.

"All I'm saying is, we have to have an insurance policy," Glenn said.

Listen to this segment from The Glenn Beck Program:

Shortly after appearing on "The Glenn Beck Radio Program" last Thursday, Los Angeles-based emergency medicine specialist Dr. Simone Gold got a call saying she was fired for speaking out about the efficacy of hydroxychloroquine in a now-banned viral video.

Dr. Gold returned to the radio program Monday to detail exactly what happened, the reason the hospitals gave for her firing, and how they threatened to fire her colleagues as well if she "didn't go quietly."

"Most emergency physicians work at more than one [hospital], as I do, and I've actually been fired from both," she told Glenn. "They told me that I appeared in an embarrassing video, and therefore, I would no longer be welcome to work there ... then they said, if I didn't go quietly and I made a fuss, they would have all the doctors in the group, you know, they'd have to go and they'll get a whole new doctor group."

Dr. Gold said she does not regret speaking out about hydroxychloroquine during the controversial "White Coat Summit" news conference held in Washington, D.C., last week. A video of the news conference quickly went viral on social media before being removed by Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, and others for allegedly making false claims related to COVID-19.

"Bring it on," she said. "I want to continue to live in America. I want my children to continue to live in America. I don't want them to grow up in a place like China. When you get to a point where, not only can I not speak as a scientist, as a doctor, for what I know to be absolutely true, but you then want to cancel me and my colleagues, this is not okay. I would much rather fight than not fight ... and I want everybody to know that there are literally millions and millions of Americans who are on our side. Millions. I believe it's the majority."

Glenn then asked Dr. Gold to weigh in on the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's new guidelines encouraging schools to reopen in the fall and the left's relentless drive to keep them closed.

"There's no actual scientific debate whatsoever if schools should open. None. There's no scientific debate. There's no serious person who thinks schools shouldn't open. Now, [through] some governors and policy makers, there's pressure being brought to bear on school districts, but there's no actual scientific debate. So it's going to come down to parents pressuring their local school districts to act in a responsible fashion."

Watch the video below to catch more of the conversation:


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Fox News host Greg Gutfeld joined Glenn on "The Glenn Beck Podcast" this week to talk about his new book, "The Plus: Self-Help for People Who Hate Self-Help."

Greg admits he is probably the last person who should write a self-help book. Nevertheless, he offers his offbeat advice on how to save America during what has become one of the most tumultuous times in history, as well as drinking while tweeting (spoiler: don't do it).

He also shares his "evolution" on President Donald Trump, his prediction for the election, and what it means to be an agnostic-atheist.

In this clip, Greg shares what he calls his "first great epiphany" on how dangerous cancel culture has become.

"I believe that cancel culture is the first successful work-around of the First Amendment," he said. "Because freedom of speech doesn't protect me from my career being ruined, my livelihood being destroyed, or me getting so depressed I commit suicide. Cancel culture is the first successful work-around of freedom of speech. It can oppress your speech with the scepter of destruction. We don't have freedom of speech anymore."

Watch the video clip below or find the full Glenn Beck Podcast with Greg Gutfeld here.

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Dr. Simone Gold joined Glenn Beck on the radio program Thursday to set the record straight about hydroxychloroquine -- what it is, how it works, and the real reason for all the current controversy surrounding a centuries-old medication.

Dr. Gold is a board certified emergency physician. She graduated from Chicago Medical School before attending Stanford University Law School. She completed her residency in emergency medicine at Stony Brook University Hospital in New York, and worked in Washington D.C. for the Surgeon General, as well for the chairman of the Committee on Labor and Human Resources. She works as an emergency physician on the front lines, whether or not there is a pandemic, and her clinical work serves all Americans from urban inner city to suburban and the Native American population. Her legal practice focuses on policy issues relating to law and medicine.

She is also the founder of America's frontline doctors, a group of doctors who have been under attack this week for speaking out about hydroxychloroquine during a news conference held outside the U.S. Supreme Court in Washington D.C.

On the program, Dr. Gold emphasized that the controversy over hydroxychloroquine is a "complete myth."

"Hydroxychloroquine is an analogue or a derivative of quinine, which is found in tree bark. It's the most noncontroversial of medications that there is," she explained.

"It's been around for centuries and it's been FDA-approved in the modern version, called hydroxychloroquine, for 65 years. In all of that time, [doctors] used it for breast-feeding women, pregnant women, elderly, children, and immune compromised. The typical use is for years or even decades because we give it mostly to RA, rheumatoid arthritis patients and lupus patients who need to be on it, essentially, all of their life. So, we have extensive experience with it ... it's one of the most commonly used medications throughout the world."

Dr. Gold told Glenn she was surprised when the media suddenly "vomited all over hydroxychloroquine", but initially chalked it up to the left's predictable hatred for anything President Donald Trump endorses. However, when the media gave the drug Remdesivir glowing reviews, despite disappointing clinical trial results, she decided to do some research.

"[Remdesivir] certainly wasn't a fabulous drug, but the media coverage was all about how fabulous it was. At that moment, I thought that was really weird. Because it's one thing to hate hydroxychloroquine because the president [endorsed] it. But it's another thing to give a free pass to another medicine that doesn't seem that great. I thought that was really weird, so I started looking into it. And let me tell you, what I discovered was absolutely shocking," she said.

Watch the video below for more details:


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According to the mainstream media's COVID-19 narrative, the president is "ignoring" the crisis.

On tonight's "Glenn TV" special, Glenn Beck exposes the media's last four months of political theater that has helped shape America's confusion and fear over coronavirus. And now, with a new school year looming on the horizon, the ongoing hysteria has enormous ramifications for our children, but the media is working overtime to paint the Trump administration as anti-science Neanderthals who want to send children and teachers off to die by reopening schools.

Glenn fights back with the facts and interviews the medical doctor Big Tech fears the most. Dr. Simone Gold, founder of America's Frontline Doctors, stands up to the media's smear campaign and explains why she could no longer stay silent in her fight against coronavirus fear.

Watch a preview below:


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