Election by Numbers: The Bradley Effect (No, Not Milton Bradley)

A new poll released by Emerson shows Donald Trump doing fairly well in some key battleground states. Glenn had co-host Stu Burguiere give the rundown on Tuesday's radio program.

"It's a battleground state poll, has three states --- Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan --- all of which are, I think, optimistic results for Donald Trump.

Here's what the poll showed:

RELATED: Election by Numbers: Does Trump Have a Real Shot?

Ohio: Trump and Clinton Even

Michigan: Trump Down by Five Points

Pennsylvania: Trump Down by Three Points

"Pennsylvania is an important state to me, for Donald Trump. So him being within three, obviously striking distance is important," Stu said.

"Big time," Co-host Pat Gray agreed.

The poll was conducted by Emerson, an average-rated pollster.

"It's interesting the way they do it. It's not a live call poll, which is generally considered to be the best quality. And it appears to be done by students, which is kind of interesting. Its methodology, however, will weight it towards how people voted in 2012," Stu said.

"It's not good," Glenn noted.

People tend to misrepresent their previous voting, especially if they voted for the losing candidate. They don't want to be associated with the loser.

"What do you think of this theory that Trump is polling worse because people are embarrassed to say that they're voting for Donald Trump?" Glenn asked.

"The Bradley effect is what that's known as. It's named after . . . I think it was a mayor of Los Angeles back in the day, where people were underreporting," Stu said.

"Bill Bradley," Glenn said. "No, not Bill Bradley. He was the guy . . ."

"Was it Ed Bradley?" Pat asked. "Milton Bradley?"

"It's Milton Bradley, that's it," Stu deadpanned. "Every single campaign, someone thinks that the Bradley Effect is going to happen. The reason why it's called the Bradley Effect is because it happened that one time and has very rarely been repeated," Stu said.

"Tom Bradley," Pat said.

"Yeah, Tom, that's right," Stu said.

People who said they didn't vote in 2012 were thrown out of the Emerson survey.

"Which I think actually favors Trump," Stu said.

"Yeah, big time," Glenn agreed.

Enjoy this complimentary clip from The Glenn Beck Program:

Glenn Beck: This is the ONLY endgame that makes sense for the FBI’s raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home

(Left) Photo by James Devaney/GC Images (Right) Video screenshot

If you're celebrating this FBI raid on Mar-a-Lago, you have no idea how much this changes things. We don't do this in America. At least, we didn't. But the left cannot have Donald Trump be president again. His "America First" platform goes against everything they've been working for. So, what's their endgame here? On the radio program, Glenn Beck said there's really only one endgame that makes sense — and it should scare us all.

"If you are not for the destruction of America, you better pay attention quickly. This is a massive move," Glenn said of the Mar-a-Lago raid.

"And who has credibility on this? ... The right will believe Donald Trump, but nobody on the left, so you're not going to change any minds there. Do you think the right will believe the New York Times? MSNBC? NBC? CBS? Do you think we're going to believe the New York Times — the people who have been carrying water for the Biden crimes? The Clinton crimes? And ... I'm talking about her server and having her own State Department people go into a skiff, which is the top secret room, completely sealed off, going in and getting documents, cutting off 'top secret,' and then emailing them to her on her private server. And nothing? And now you're going to try to convince me [that] this has nothing to do with January 6?" he added.

"Remember the [allegations about] bank servers, [Trump] was pinging a bank? Untrue. Carter Page is a Russian spy? Untrue. Donald Trump is a Russian spy? ... Untrue. Collusion with Russia? Untrue. Ukraine, the perfect phone call? Not true. Not true. Wasn't a perfect phone call. Was not impeachable. The pee tape dossier? None of that was true. Here's why they can't have [Trump] as president of the United States. They can't have him as president of the United States because we are headed towards a completely new, all redesigned, non-capitalist, nonconstitutional Great Reset," Glenn argued. "They cannot have him be president because he is America first."

Glenn warned Americans that our federal government is accumulating massive power, case in point the 87,000 new IRS agents. "Coupled with the [IRS agents] they already have ... that's almost the size of our National Guard. Do you feel comfortable with that? Democrats? You don't think there's a possibility ... that someone ... might come in at some point and weaponize the IRS?"

He also warned that the FBI's raid on Donald Trump’s home has implications that stretch far beyond simple dislike for the former president. So what are they hoping to accomplish?

"What is the endgame? You make him into a martyr by throwing him into jail or killing him ... so you make him stronger? That doesn't make sense. Why would they want that?" Glenn asked. "So, what is their endgame? The only one that makes sense to me, is to stop him at any cost, then lunatics will take to the streets, and then [they] will have [their] evidence that the [right is] more dangerous than anyone could possibly imagine. Please, pray for your country."

Watch the video clip below to hear more from Glenn. Can't watch? Download the podcast here.

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In just the past few days, the Senate passed an unprecedented $740 billion spending bill amid an inflation crisis, we found out that the IRS purchased nearly $700,000 worth of guns and ammo ahead of plans to hire 87,000 new "enforcement" agents, and on Monday the FBI raided the home of a former U.S. president. It's pretty safe to say that there's a whole lot going on in this country that we've never seen before, and conservatives had "better wake up," said Glenn Beck on "The Glenn Beck Program."

"This is the beginning of an entirely new kind of America. And when it is all implemented, look out! The only other thing that I think [Democrats] could do to really polish us off is [use] emergency orders. If [President Joe Biden] goes for emergency orders and declares a national emergency over the weather, we're going to be cooked," Glenn said.

Glenn went on to explain why he believes a new "season" is on the horizon for our nation, but it’s not all bad news. He said he's hopeful for a new class of politicians to enter Washington, D.C., and, while no politician is perfect, a few such as Florida Governor Ron DeSantis can still surprise us.

DeSantis always seems to be ahead of the curve on hot-button issues, and he tackles them the legal way without abusing his power. Just look at how much the media is trying to paint him as evil. That’s a telltale sign that "he’s on the right track, at the right speed. And he's taking all of it on," Glenn said.

Watch the video clip below to catch more of the conversation. Can't watch? Download the podcast here.


Want more from Glenn Beck?

To enjoy more of Glenn’s masterful storytelling, thought-provoking analysis, and uncanny ability to make sense of the chaos, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution, and live the American dream.


Here are 3 ways the 'Inflation Reduction Act' WILL impact you (Hint: NOT by reducing inflation)

(Left) Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images/(Middle) Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images/(Right)Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Senate has passed President Joe Biden's $740 billion "Inflation Reduction Act" over the weekend, but the only way this deceptively-named bill will reduce inflation is by crushing your buying power. The massive spending bill includes the largest climate spending package ever passed and will allocate a whopping $80 billion to make the IRS bigger than the Pentagon, State Department, FBI, and Border Patrol combined. And just wait until you see how the bill will affect our farmers.

On the radio program Monday, Glenn Beck broke down three rather "terrifying" components of the 755-page bill and how they will impact you.

Watch the video clip below. Can't watch? Download the podcast here.

Want more from Glenn Beck?

To enjoy more of Glenn’s masterful storytelling, thought-provoking analysis, and uncanny ability to make sense of the chaos, subscribe to BlazeTV — the largest multi-platform network of voices who love America, defend the Constitution, and live the American dream.