A new poll released by Emerson shows Donald Trump doing fairly well in some key battleground states. Glenn had co-host Stu Burguiere give the rundown on Tuesday's radio program.
"It's a battleground state poll, has three states --- Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan --- all of which are, I think, optimistic results for Donald Trump.
Here's what the poll showed:
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Ohio: Trump and Clinton Even
Michigan: Trump Down by Five Points
Pennsylvania: Trump Down by Three Points
"Pennsylvania is an important state to me, for Donald Trump. So him being within three, obviously striking distance is important," Stu said.
"Big time," Co-host Pat Gray agreed.
The poll was conducted by Emerson, an average-rated pollster.
"It's interesting the way they do it. It's not a live call poll, which is generally considered to be the best quality. And it appears to be done by students, which is kind of interesting. Its methodology, however, will weight it towards how people voted in 2012," Stu said.
"It's not good," Glenn noted.
People tend to misrepresent their previous voting, especially if they voted for the losing candidate. They don't want to be associated with the loser.
"What do you think of this theory that Trump is polling worse because people are embarrassed to say that they're voting for Donald Trump?" Glenn asked.
"The Bradley effect is what that's known as. It's named after . . . I think it was a mayor of Los Angeles back in the day, where people were underreporting," Stu said.
"Bill Bradley," Glenn said. "No, not Bill Bradley. He was the guy . . ."
"Was it Ed Bradley?" Pat asked. "Milton Bradley?"
"It's Milton Bradley, that's it," Stu deadpanned. "Every single campaign, someone thinks that the Bradley Effect is going to happen. The reason why it's called the Bradley Effect is because it happened that one time and has very rarely been repeated," Stu said.
"Tom Bradley," Pat said.
"Yeah, Tom, that's right," Stu said.
People who said they didn't vote in 2012 were thrown out of the Emerson survey.
"Which I think actually favors Trump," Stu said.
"Yeah, big time," Glenn agreed.
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