Excerpt from FiveThirtyEight
Written by Julia Azari
I had said at least two times this week that “game changers” rarely happen. Single events or revelations rarely upend presidential elections, which tend to be decided by more structural forces instead, such as political partisanship and the state of the economy. And then, on Friday, the Washington Post’s David Fahrenthold revealed a video recording of Donald Trump making crude and vulgar comments about women — and the way rich men can treat them.
The response to the Trump tape suggests that we might be seeing a real change in the political landscape. “Game change” moments are few and far between, and Hillary Clinton was already leading Trump pretty comfortably in national and swing state polls. But what might make the Trump tape have more of an impact than previous Trump controversies?