Election by Numbers: The Bradley Effect

How accurate are current presidential election polls? Could people be telling pollsters one thing, but voting the complete opposite? The Bradley effect, a theory about discrepancies between voter opinion polls and election outcomes, may very well impact how people cast their final ballot.

RELATED: Let’s Talk Polls

Read below or listen to the full segment for answers to these questions:

• Who is the Bradley effect named after?

• Could the Bradley effect impact both parties?

• Can the Bradley effect be about more than racism?

Listen to this segment from The Glenn Beck Program:

Below is a rush transcript of this segment, it might contain errors:

GLENN:  Give me the poll results here, Stu.  Because I'm worried about something called the Bradley effect, on both sides.

For instance, those people -- because there's a backlash now.  If you don't say you're voting for Clinton and you're on the left, they'll bash you and say, you know, you're just for Trump.  It's worse on the right.  If you say you're not going to vote for Trump, they will bash you.  So I'm not sure the poll numbers are right because, do you want to go through the hell of just not -- just -- just go along with it.  Just go along with it.

And how many people don't even want to admit to their own family or their own spouses, that will go in and pull the lever on the right for someone else, or they'll say they're for someone else, but when they get into it, they're like, "I don't want Trump in."  So I know I said I was for Jill Stein, but I'm going to vote for Hillary.

STU:  We're definitely seeing that beginning.

GLENN:  Right.

STU:  Yeah.  

GLENN:  They're going to pull out of these -- I'm saying that I'm voting for, you know, Gary Johnson, but I'm going to vote for Hillary.  Because Hillary is the one with the third party lean.  She's got a -- she's pulling much stronger from the third parties than Donald Trump is.

STU:  Most polls show that.

GLENN:  Right.  So they are appealing to her.  Everyone should celebrate the third party because they're not hurting Donald Trump in comparison to how they're hurting Hillary Clinton.  The spread becomes wider when those parties are left out.

But the same can be said about Donald Trump.  How many people will say, "I'm not for Donald Trump."

STU:  Right.  So the -- this goes to the Bradley effect.  Let's start there.  Tom Bradley.  He was the mayor of Los Angeles.  This was back in 1982.  He was running for governor.  Black guy running for governor.  Was ahead in all the polls.  Wound up losing the election.  The belief was that people in the polls did not want to admit they were voting against the black guy because it would feel like -- they didn't want to admit that they were, quote, unquote, racist.  But then their racism really showed when they got behind the --

GLENN:  Which was such crap.  Possibly, what they didn't want was to have the argument or be called a racist.  But they just didn't agree with the guy.

STU:  It could be that too.

GLENN:  Right.

STU:  So the Bradley effect started there.  There's some examples in that era, in the '80s and even the early '90s a little bit where it seemed like it was a thing.  There has not been an example of this particular type of thing in a long time.

GLENN:  Because -- because what the media is calling the Bradley effect is racism.  That you're racist.

STU:  Yes.

GLENN:  I don't think so.  It is a natural avoidance of conflict in your personal life, until you close the curtain.  So the country is so divide that you're a racist if you don't vote for Bradley.  Okay?  And so if you -- if you just don't agree with him, but you're not a racist, you just don't agree with him, just go along and say, "Yeah, I'm with you."  And then when the curtain closes, you're like, "I don't agree with him."  It's not racism.

So if it's racism, then it doesn't apply.  But fits actually political correctness, that you're tired of political correctness, but you're so tired you've just given up -- and you're just saying, for instance, "Yes, I'm for Trump."  Because you don't want to get beat up by the pro-Trump people.  

Or you are actually pro-Trump, but you're saying to your friends that you're Hillary.  You just hate Hillary so much, you're just like, "I'm going to go for Trump."  But your friends will kill you if you say you're for Hillary.

STU:  Yeah.

GLENN:  And I think both of them have this.  I think Hillary has the possibility that there are so many people -- we've talked to them.

JEFFY:  Yeah.

GLENN:  So many die-hard Democrats that despise her.  Despise her.  But they are so afraid of Donald Trump.  The same thing with the Republicans.  They despise Donald Trump.  But they're so afraid of Hillary Clinton.  That could shake apart once the curtain is closed.

A "one-world government" is being formed right now and it’s called the Great Reset, Glenn Beck said on the radio program Monday. And now, rebuild plans for the fire-damaged Notre Dame Cathedral hint at the formation of a global church, too.

In this clip, Glenn detailed plans for the iconic, 850-year-old church’s "woke" renovations that sound more like a 'politically correct Disneyland' complete with a "discovery trail," "emotional spaces," and 14 themed chapels.

"Notre Dame is now being built back better as a 'woke theme park' dedicated to environmentalism and social justice," Glenn explained.

"There will be several different chapels within, [for example] a chapel for social justice, and then chapel for environmental justice," he continued. "Which leads me to this point. The 'one-world government' is being formed, right now. One-world government. It is being formed and it's called The Great Reset."

Glenn went on to predict that one of the first steps in the direction of a one-world government will be a push for a global religion.

"I think we're seeing the first church now being dedicated to the new global religion — and it is social justice, environmental justice, and all this gobbledygook. We all know, it's not just wrong, it is dangerous. That's the first church, the cathedral of Notre Dame, in France, is the first global church. Mark my words. Christian, Jews, Muslims ... this global church will bring darkness unlike you've ever seen."

Watch the video clip from "The Glenn Beck Program" below:

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The Omicron COVID-19 variant: Should we ACTUALLY panic?

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As the new Omicron variant of the coronavirus approaches, it seems like those in power want everyone to be terrified, Glenn Beck argued on the radio program Monday.

The chair of the World Medical Association's Council, Frank Ulrich Montgomery, is already comparing the variant to Ebola and New York Gov. Kathy Hochul (D) has declared a state of emergency, despite the doctor who announced its discovery describing the new variant's symptoms as "unusual, but mild." So, should we really be worried or not?

In this clip, Glenn and producer Stu Burguiere reviewed what we know about the Omicron variant so far and gave a few reasons why we should wait for more information before succumbing to panic.

Note: The content of this clip does not provide medical advice. Please seek the advice of local health officials for any COVID-related questions & concerns.

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Faced with an oppressive government that literally burned people at the stake for printing Bibles, America's original freedom fighters risked it all for the same rights our government is starting to trample now. That's not the Pilgrim story our woke schools and corporate media will tell you. It's the truth, and it sounds a lot more like today's heroes in Afghanistan than the 1619 Project's twisted portrait of America.

This Thanksgiving season, Glenn Beck and WallBuilders president Tim Barton tell the full story of who the Pilgrims really were and what we must learn from them, complete with a sneak peek at the largest privately owned collection of Pilgrim artifacts.

Watch the video below

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Saule Omarova, President Joe Biden's nominee for comptroller of the currency, admitted she wants to fight climate change by bankrupting coal, oil, and gas companies. Alarmingly, Biden's U.S. special climate envoy, John Kerry, seemed to agree with Omarova when he said "by 2030 in the United States, we won't have coal" at the COP26 conference in Glasgow, Scotland, earlier this month. But that could end in massive electrical blackouts and brownouts across the nation, BlazeTV host Glenn Beck warned.

Carol Roth, author of "The War On Small Business," joined "The Glenn Beck Program" to explain what experts say you can do now to prepare your family for potential coming power outages.

"It's interesting. Usually when I go out and talk to experts in areas that are not 100% core to my area of expertise and I say, 'I would like to give you credit.' Usually I get, 'OK, here's how you credit me.' But everyone is like, 'No, no. Let me tell you what happened, just don't use my name.' And this is across the country," Roth said. "This isn't just a California issue, which obviously [California] is leading the nation. But even experts out of Texas, people who are monitoring the electric grid are incredibly concerned about brownouts or blackouts now, already. So forget about 2030."

"You want to have a backup source of power," she continued. "Either a propane, diesel, or combo generator is something that you're going to want to have. Because in a state, for example like Texas, I'm told that once the state loses power, it will take a minimum of two weeks to restore plants back to operations and customers able to use grid power again. So, this isn't something that we've got nine years or whatever to be thinking about. We should be planning and preparing now."

Watch the video clip below to catch more of this important conversation:

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