Glenn gives the latest coronavirus numbers, updating YOU on everything needed to know as Americans and officials monitor China's new COVID-19 virus:
Daily Stats as of 5:30 AM CT (from John's Hopkins)
- Total Confirmed Cases Worldwide: 126,611 (up from 114,638 yesterday)
- Total Confirmed Deaths Worldwide: 4,365 (up from 4,031 yesterday)
- 66,894 Patients Have Recovered from COVID-19 Worldwide
- 120 Countries Have Confirmed cases (up from 115 yesterday), 6 more have suspected cases
- 12% of Active Cases are Considered Serious (Requiring Hospitalization), steady from 12% yesterday, with 4% requiring ICU
- US has 1,10 Confirmed Cases, and 31 Deaths
- Confirmed Cases in the 35 US States, with 6 More Tracking Suspected cases
- New Rochelle is the largest cluster of confirmed cases in the US, with over 190 suspected cases and 61 confirmed cases.
- All public gatherings have been ordered to be canceled, including school and church gatherings.
- Governor Cuomo said this is NOT a Quarantine, individuals are not prohibited from entering or leaving the area.
- National Guard troops will be used to help deliver food to residents, provide traffic control for medical personnel and emergencies, and to assist in cleaning/disinfecting public places.
- New Rochelle Superintended of Schools announced that for the two weeks students may miss, Summerschool classes would be utilized to make up any missed instruction.
- "We would like the country to realize that as a nation, we can't be doing the kinds of things we were doing a few months ago. It doesn't matter if you're in a state that has no cases or one case," said Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.
- US Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar said the biggest interventions should be reserved for areas with clusters of cases, such as Santa Clara County in California.
- But he echoed federal health officials' advice for people at higher risk:
- "I would encourage any individual who is elderly or is medically fragile to think long and hard about going into any large gathering that would involve close quarters and potential spread," Azar said.
- Council on Foreign Relations was hosting a conference roundtable called "Doing Business Under Coronavirus".
- Conference joins hundreds of others across the country canceled due to COVID-19.
- New York also canceled the NYC Half-marathon, New York Autoshow and New York Spring Fashion Week.
- Over 45 Tri-State Area schools are closed through Friday, some expected to be closed for 2+ weeks.
- Italy has the highest confirmed case count outside of China.
- Case Fatality Rate in Italy is over 5% of total cases, compared to just over 3% in China.
- Italy has the 'oldest' population in Europe, with 23% of the population over the age of 60, compared to 18% in the US.
- Italy's median age is 47.3, compared to just 38..3 in the US.
- Italy has tested more than 40,000 residents for COVID-19, so the Case Fatality Rate may be closer to accurate than it is in the US
A Perspective on Possible COVID-19 Casualties - Why a "War Footing" Makes Sense
If we assume a 1% Case Fatality Rate for COVID-19 and a full year of spread as we get with the Seasonal Flu, with 60% of the US population getting sick, here is how COVID-19 would compare to the 'worst' years of World War II and the Vietnam War in terms of US deaths that year:
|US Population 1944||US Combat Deaths||Flu Deaths @0.1%||COVID-19 (@ 1% CFR)**|
|* 2020 numbers estimated|
|** Assumes 60% of the US population gets COVID-19 Infection, and 1% die from infection|
US Death Rate Expected To Fall Dramatically As Wide-Spread Testing Occurs https://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/3074397/coronavirus-us-death-rate-likely-fall-new-rules-allow-wider-testing
- US Case Fatality Rate Stands Near 4% Today
- US CDC expects to conduct tests on over 100,000 patients this week
- As testing ramps up, the total Case Fatality Rate is expected to drop to between 0.5% and 1%.
- US is currently tracking 969 active cases, with 10 in serious/critical condition, and 15 patients listed as 'recovered'