In a new poll from Monmouth University released Dec. 7, Ted Cruz took the top spot with the Iowa Republican caucus, marking the first time he has led an early state poll. Donald Trump and Marco Rubio were within a few percentage points of one another for second place.
The pollsters found that an influential House member’s recent endorsement could be one factor behind Cruz’s rise.
“This marks the first time Ted Cruz has held a lead in any of the crucial early states. As Ben Carson’s stock has fallen, Cruz has been able to corral most of those voters,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, New Jersey. “Congressman King’s endorsement may not be the primary reason for this swing, but it certainly put a stamp on the Cruz surge in Iowa.”
Cruz's new top spot has come primarily at the expense of Ben Carson. Monmouth showed Carson on top two months ago, but his support has plummeted by 19 points since then. Cruz’s support, on the other hand, has jumped by 14 points.
The poll also ranked the top four candidates among various demographic groups:
Tea Party Suppporters
Rubio 11 %
There are notable gender differences among caucusgoers’ preferences:
Glenn recently predicted that if Cruz could take Iowa and maintain his second place position in New Hampshire, he could win the nomination and presidency.
Featured Image: Republican presidential candidate Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) greets supporters during a campaign event at CrossRoads Shooting Sports gun shop and range on December 4, 2015 in Johnston, Iowa. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)