RADIOJuly 15, 2022

Inflation vs. taxation: Which form of THIEVERY is worse?

Taxation is theft, but inflation may be even worse. Why? Carol Roth, financial expert and author of ‘The War On Small Business,’ tells Glenn that inflation is a PERMANENT thievery that robs you of EVERYTHING you’ve worked so hard to accomplish. Plus, today’s 9.1 percent inflation was ENTIRELY avoidable, if not for the disastrous central-planning policies enacted by today’s Federal Reserve. ‘It’s just so, so frustrating and angering,’ she says.

Transcript

Below is a rush transcript that may contain errors

GLENN: Carol Roth is a friend and friend of the program. She's the author of the book, The War On Small Business. She's a -- in her words, a recovering investment banker, worked on Wall Street for quite some time. But sees things from Main Street, and can explain things to Main Street as opposed to everybody else, who I just think talks about Wall Street stuff. And that doesn't matter to the average person. Unless you can break it down, and explain it.

Carol Roth, welcome to the program. Hi, Carol.

CAROL: Hi, Glenn. How are you doing?

GLENN: Good. Good.

I am -- do you agree with me on Sri Lanka? You've been following that I'm sure.

CAROL: Yes. I don't know if you know this, but Sri Lanka has an ESG score of 98. So good for them, that really worked out super well.

GLENN: Yeah. I know. Yeah, yeah, I know. So we have a couple of things I want to go through. First of all, the CPI, this is the Consumer Price Index. The inflation number, is at 9.1.

The -- I loved your tweet the other day. Let me see if I can find it. You said, first, there will be no inflation. Then inflation is transitory. Inflation is good for you.

Inflation only hurts the rich. Inflation is the consumer's fault. Inflation is greedy business' fault. Inflation is Putin's fault.

Inflation is backward looking. And your last one, bread lines are a great way to meet people. The latest is, it's backward looking. That's what the White House came out and said, those are old numbers. But they didn't say that the new numbers would be better.

CAROL: I mean, backward-looking. Forward-looking. Up, down, and in circle. Whichever way you're looking. This is something that is affecting all of our lives. You know, I was thinking about taxation. And how taxation is a theft.

But it is a one-time theft. It's a one-time theft of your earnings. Inflation is permanent theft. It permanently steals your ability to purchase goods and services. The wealth that you created.

Everything that you worked hard to earn. And saved. To ever

And this is what we're seeing. And, you know, while the 9.1 percent, you know, wasn't necessarily a surprise, it is still really shocking to see it on paper. And as you and I have discussed before. You know, these are the manipulated numbers. These are the formula changes that have happened, a few times since the 1980s. If you looked on this.

You know, how it would have been on an Apples to Apples basis. To the 1980s. It's probably about double that. So this is theft from the American people. By central planning. That was completely avoidable.

And it is just so, so frustrating and angering.

GLENN: So they -- they said, I read an article early this morning, that talked about, there's a possibility, that by the end of the month, the fed is talking now about raising it another point. Another point.

And you gave me a stat a while back. Because people don't think this. Our debt has interest attached to it.

CAROL: Right.

GLENN: And when we go out as a nation, for a trillion dollars, we have to pay interest. And you gave me a stat for every one point added, it adds to our debt and deficit, how much?

CAROL: Okay. So this is not a direct line. But basically, think about this. We have about, you know, a six to seven-year average on our debt. Which means that our national debt is constantly being refinanced. And as we take on new debt, we have to go out and pay for that at new rates. So whether you're refinancing it, or you're taking on a new debt. For every $1 trillion, that we either refinance or take on a new debt, that will be an extra 100 billion dollars. That is added to our interest service on the debt. So stuff we've always paid for.

It's not like when the fed's fund rate goes pick up. It automatically increases the debt, but it does trip through intervals through to the ten-year yields, and the three-year yields, and the two-year yields, which is the way that we have to finance our debt, and what's paid for.

GLENN: Right. So if we did -- have to redo five trillion dollars in our debt, which is not unusual.

If we had to buy and refinance another 5 trillion on our debt, that would add a trillion dollars' worth of debt. Would it not?

Because we've gone up two points. Or we will have gone up two points.

MEGAN: Yeah. That's correct. Yes.

GLENN: Yeah. Holy cow.

CAROL: Yeah. The projections.

GLENN: At what point -- at what interest rate --

CAROL: I was going to say, if you look at the CBO projections. They project out into the future. And the numbers in terms of the debt, and what we'll be paying on it in the future.

And they're using conservative numbers. They're not even expecting these fed rates, would absolutely blow your mind.

It becomes the largest item, that the government has to pay for, which obviously takes away spending from other areas. And/or increases your taxes.

GLENN: Unless you're using modern monetary theory, which we are now basically using, modern monetary theory. Which means, you can print whatever you want. The government doesn't have to worry about it.

But that's impala -- I mean, they said it in Sri Lanka. They're using modern monetary theory. And it's wiped them out. Wiped them out.

CAROL: Yeah, this is basically the concept of what's happening here, in terms of our liabilities.

They're trying to take a dollar from your left pocket, move it to your right pocket. And go, oh, look. You have a new dollar. You know, that's not the way any of this works.

And we're all feeling the effects of this fantastical buy-in to magic money tree, aka MMT, Modern Monetary Theory. The idea that just because you have the printing press, that you can keep printing money, without having a subsequent effect on the that are. You know, the money is supposed to stand for productivity. You earned this. This is a stable representation of your productivity.

If you double or triple or quadruple the amount of -- of those dollars, without increasing productivity, then each one of those, in turn, is worth less. And that is what is happening, and that's why the value of our dollar is being eroded. Go back to that 1970's Saturday Night Live skit with Dan Aykroyd, pretending to be Jimmy Carter. You know, we'll all be millionaires. And we'll be driving around in cars, that cost, you know, $20 million. So it starts great from a top line standpoint, until you kind of get into it.

GLENN: Right. Okay.

So most people put their money in their IRA, and until they get older, they don't even look at it.

And that's probably a good thing, when you're dealing with the stock market. You just leave it in. And it has its ups and downs. And you start looking at it, when you're maybe 50 or 60. And you're like wait a minute. And start to make sure that it's secure. Because there's not a long horizon, that you're looking at.

What's happening to people's 401(k)s, right now, and what can they do?

CAROL: So there was a research study that I picked up, that came out. And they said, from the beginning of the year to June of this year, people have lost $3.4 trillion in their retirement funds, between 401(k)s and IRAs. This doesn't include any other money that may have been in the market. And this is, you know, a horrendous situation, that has been, you know, completely fueled by fed policy. Really going all the way back to the fed chair Alan Greenspan, who decided, he was going to never let the market fall too much, without having some intervention. Then in the Great Recession, financial crisis, Ben Bernanke took that, put it on steroids. And Glenn Powell and his group have done, has been completely crazy. And we are living through these crazy boom-and-bust cycles. I'm sure most of you have noticed that over the last several decades, things are very different, than they were in the decades before. You know, more of these huge booms and busts. And the reality is, that the people who are already wealthy and well-connected, who have that -- that long-term staying power.

They don't mind this at all, because they benefit when everything goes up, and then when everything goes bust.

And, you know, you as -- you know, as somebody who is panicking, and not sure what to do, you take your money out of the market. Or perhaps, you know, in the great financial -- the Great Recession, financial crisis, your home is foreclosed on. You know, all these things have been, and they fall on the shoulders of the little guy.

And then these -- you know, I call them vulture capitalists, come in. Well-capitalized, buy everything up, at pennies on the dollar. And then are positioned for the next boom cycle of interference.

And this is just an epic wealth transfer. It's been happening on an accelerated basis for decades and decades, and is the outgrowth of just this just horrible central banking experiments, that have gone wrong. And has been a complete menace to society, and to the wealth creation opportunities for the average American.

GLENN: So what do people do?

CAROL: So if you can --

GLENN: I think -- I think we're losing the -- I think we're losing the idea of retirement for a lot of people.

I just -- I don't think that retirement is going to be a thing of the -- of the near future.

CAROL: Yeah. Yeah. Certainly not at the ages, that I think people perhaps were expecting. Because you don't know what's around the corner.

This is where I encourage everybody to talk to their financial adviser. Because each person's scenario is so different. And depending on your time frame, you know, because of these boom-and-bust cycles that are caused by fed and central planning, you know, timing is really important. You know, depending on when it is, you decide to change your portfolio structure.

Change everything in your life. But if you are younger, and you have that ability to have the staying power. You want to do the same thing, that the well-capitalized people are doing. And wait for those bust cycles and be able to participate, as a vulture capitalist. Even though if it's on a smaller scale. And buy low. And ride the upside to that. But you need to have that planning in place. Because we are now living in a way that is not free market. It's completely driven by this sort of externality. And that means, that, you know, timing changes. And if you're somebody who is retiring in a bad cycle, you know, you'll feel that burden on an exponential factor.

GLENN: So I have one more question for you, Carol. Let me take a one-minute break, and talk about what all of this is doing.

What's happening is the president just said, hey, you have to be able to retire. And so I believe he just guaranteed all of the union pension. So that means, I'm now paying for union pensions, if they default. Which is insanity! But, again, it's just another give away. I predicted this, I think in 2009. That the government would step in, and take all the union pensions, I guarantee it.

But that -- that means, everybody else is paying for it.

And we're struggling our own selves. I want to talk to you a bit about that. And then also, if this is what is happening here, what is all of this doing to our countries? That have to pay for things, in dollars?

Back with Carol Roth in just a second. Sixty seconds, and we're back.

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GLENN: So, Carol, first of all, explain what the president did with the unions.

CAROL: So he still is running around, talking about the American rescue plan, which is, you know, hilarious. He's got absolutely nothing to hang his hat on.

So he's going back, running back, and talking about what he did in March 2021. Now, obviously, he's not talking about all the bad things that came out of that. You know, things like -- the stimulus, that caused inflation.

And raising the reporting requirements for Etsy. And e Bay. Or lowering them, excuse me, from $20,000. To $600. Because all those millionaires with $600 a pound. We need to crack down on them.

He's hanging his hat on a piece of the legislation. That was in that, that was called the (inaudible) Louis Act. And, basically, that was, we're going to -- to be the guarantor of the union pensions.

Now, we've been told that unions are very important. You know, they need to be there, in order to secure people's futures, and be there for the workers.

But apparently, they're not real good at managing the pensions. So now we need to get involved.

So he touted, this is going to impact, several million pensions. Some of the reports, I'm seeing, are downplaying that number. And saying, it's fewer.

But basically, what they did, is that there was a pension, Guaranteed Corp, and they allowed them to do some things, and change some things around, and make sure that these pensions were solvent. But what they didn't do was actually anything structural, to fix the pensions.

So just like, you know, Social Security. All of the, you know, state pensions, union pensions.

Like whatever it is, that typically has a defined benefit attached to it. It ends up being a huge drag or a huge burden on everybody. And, you know, not solvent. They just kick the can down the road. But since he had absolutely no other accomplishments to hang his hat on, this is what he was talking about. And with the part of it, that really bothered me. And why I wrote the piece from TheBlaze. Again, this is the picking of winners and losers, that we keep seeing, over and over again, with the government. And in this particular case, they're going to focus on making sure that the union folks, don't lose 40 percent of their pension. But as I just told you. You know, through June this year, they said $3.4 trillion was lost from 401(k)s and retirement funds, for other Americans who aren't affiliated with the unions. So that to me, seems again, just this government picking of winners and losers. And certainly, if you're going to do that. You would think, that wouldn't want to be one thing you want to brag about. Maybe you want to do that on the down low. But, you know, he's out there touting that as his accomplishment.

GLENN: All right. Carol, we will we have to cut you loose. I have to get back to an Ohio story in just a second. Would you come back?

I want to -- we are crippling nations all over. Especially emerging nations.

They are going to be starving to death soon. Some of them. And they have to pay their own debt back in dollars. Dollars are becoming more expensive for them. The world is going to hate us soon, I fear. We'll talk about that, when you come back. Thank you so much, Carol.

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Deep State NGO CAUGHT trying to restart opium trade in Taliban-run Afghanistan

Was an NGO with deep government ties trying to RESTART the opium trade in Taliban-run Afghanistan while former Taliban members were on its payroll...only to be caught DESTROYING the evidence?! The State Department's Under Secretary for Public Diplomacy Darren Beattie joins Glenn Beck to expose what he found when he was made Acting President of the United States Institute of Peace. Plus, he debunks ProPublica’s claim that DOGE “targeted” an “Afghan scholar who fled the Taliban.”

Transcript

Below is a rush transcript that may contain errors

GLENN: Darren, welcome to the program. How are you? Darren, are you there? Is he there?

STU: Hmm.

GLENN: Okay. Check if he's there. Is he? Dick Cheney. Dick Cheney.

STU: Trying to shut him down. They don't want peace. They don't want peace.

GLENN: They don't. They don't.

He is -- he is a big-time anti-globalist. I've got to tell you, what we're doing with the State Department. I absolutely love. The State Department has been a big problem for this country for a very long time. It's what's gotten us into these global wars. These endless wars, and everything he is.

And, I mean, I don't know what happened to Marco rube, but he is tremendous.

And the way president Trump is appointing different people like Darren, it's fantastic. Darren, are you there? Darren.

STU: Something must be wrong with the lines. Because we are talking to him offline on the phone here. And it does seem to be working, but not coming through our broadcast board here for whatever reason.

GLENN: Well, let's see if we can get that fixed, and maybe let me just talk here for five, six minutes on something else. Then we'll take a break and come back and see if we can get him.

There's something else that I really want to talk about. And that is this flag-burning thing. Now, it's not an amendment.

This is something that the president is putting up in an executive order and has very little teeth to it.

But I -- I -- look, I understand. As a guy putting an enormous flagpole up at my house today.

I mean, an enormous flagpole.

I love the flag. I love it!

And there are a few things that make me more angry than see somebody you set our flag on fire.

For a lot of people, that's a punch in the gut, especially our military people. And it has been planted on distant battlefields. It's raced after victory. Saluted in the morning, or should be in our schools and folded and given to the hands of grieving families. It feels like spitting on every sacrifice, that ever made this nation possible. And the argument against flag burning is really simple: It dishonors the idea of all of that. Okay?

And it defends millions of people, including me. It disrespects, I think the veterans that bled. The families who mourned. The dream that binds us together.

However, here's the hard truth: Symbols only mean something, in a land where freedom is alive.

If you outlaw the burning of a flag, the you have placed the cloth above the Constitution that it represents. You have made the flag an idol.

We don't worship idols. If you can only praise the flag and never protest it, it just stops being a symbol of freedom. And starts being an idol of obedience.

Now, that's the argument for allowing it. At least to me.

Because the real strength of a free nation is -- is to -- it's -- it's how we protect, not the speech we love, but how we endure the speech we hate!

And the Supreme Court has already ruled on this. And, you know, they -- the line they drew wasn't an easy one. Freedom of speech, stops where it directly -- directly insights violence. And that's it same thing, kind of, in this executive order.

You can burn the flag. But if I'm not mistaken, but if it incites violence, then you're in trouble.

And that's true. But the bar of inciting violence is so incredibly high. And it's -- it doesn't have anything to do with speech that offends. It's not speech that stirs anger. Not speech that wants you to punch the speaker in the mouth. It's speech only, that provokes imminent and specific violence.

And unless it's that be with the government doesn't have any right to -- to get into the business of silencing speech. Ever. Ever. Ever.

It is a hard line. And that standard is really hard. It's painfully hard.

Because what our citizenship requires, this is civics. What our citizenships require, is that we defend -- oh, I hate this.

We defend the right of your opponent to mock everything that we hold sacred.

Now, I want you to think of this. You can burn a Bible. You can burn the Word of God. But some want to make it illegal to burn a flag. Where are our priorities? You can burn the Constitution. The words that actually are the ones that stir us into action. But you can't burn a flag.

You can't burn a Koran. Can't burn them. Can't. Can't.

You will -- you will quickly come to a quick end, not legally. But you will come to a quick end. I don't ever want to be like that. Ever!

You burn a Bible. I think you're a monster. What is wrong with you? What is wrong with you?

But you have a right to do it. Why are we drawing a line around the flag? It -- the reason is -- is because we feel things so passionately. And that is really a good thing, to feel love of country so passionately. But then we have to temper that. My father used to tell me, that I think this country needs to hear over and over again, every day. My father -- we would talk to somebody. And we would walk away. And he would go, I so disagree with everything that man just said. But, Glenn, son, he would say. I will fight to the death for his right to say it. He used to say that to me all the time. Which now lees me to believe, I know where I've got my strong opinions from. Because dad apparently would disagree with a lot of people all the time.

But that was the essence of freedom. That is the essence of what sets us apart. Standing for universal, eternal rights like free speech. It's not easy. It means you have to take the size of those people that offend you. It means -- it doesn't mean you have to disagree with it. You can fight against it. You can argue back and forth.

But you -- can you tolerate the insults to the things that you love most. That is so hard, and that is why most of the world does not have freedom of speech. It's too hard! But our Founders believed people are better than that. Our citizens can rule themselves!

And the only way you can rule yourself is if you don't have limits on freedom of speech. So the question is, do we want to remain free? Or do we want to just feel good? It really is that simple. It's why no one else has freedom of speech. It's too hard! I think we're up to the task. Okay. Give me 60 seconds. And then we will try again.

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All right. Let me -- let me bring Darren in. Darren, are you there now?

DARREN: Yes!
GLENN: Oh, God. Thank goodness.
Thank you for putting up with us. I don't know what happened with the phone system. But, first of all, tell me what the US Institute of Peace is. I've never even heard of it.

DARREN: That is a fantastic question. And I'll try to give the abbreviated answer, because I know we don't have several hours.

GLENN: Good. I know.

DARREN: But US Institute of Peace is one of lesser known, but quite important member of the NGO archipelago, that was created in the '80s. It belongs to the same cohorts as national endowments for democracy.

GLENN: Oh.

DARREN: And some other -- some other better known NGOs that really in the broad context of things. In kind of the sweep of things, was created as a kind of reorganization of the government structure in the aftermath of the church type committee hearings that expose a lot of the dirty dealings of government agencies such as the CIA, and so sort of a broader response to that government lie was to create this NGO layer of governance, with an armed distant plausible deniability, a kind of chameleon character of not exactly being government, not exactly being private, in order to fulfill some of those more sensitive functions that had been exposed in the course of the church hearings.

And so US Institute of Peace is one of those NGOs that had particular focus on conflict regions. But, of course, as I think you -- you suggested earlier, peace requires at the very least, an asterisk. Because there involves a lot of things, that conventional, most American citizens would not think should belong as part of the portfolio of something calling itself an institute of peace.

GLENN: So what was the thing with the -- with this Taliban member that was getting money from us?

DARREN: Right. So this is an interesting case. So there's a whole saga of a takeover of the US institute of peace under -- under DOGE.

And that's really a fascinating story unto itself. Just to give you a sense of what these characters were like. They barricaded themselves in the offices.

They sabotaged the physical infrastructure of the building. There were reports of there being loaded guns within the offices.

GLENN: Wow!

DARREN: There was one, like, hostage situation where they held a security guard under basically kind of a false imprisonment type situation. It was extremely intense.

Far more so than the better known story of USAID. And in the course of all of that, they tried to delete a terabyte of data, of accounting information that would indicate what kind of stuff they were up to.

What kind of people they were paying. And in the course of that, DOGE found that one of the people on their payroll. Was this curious figure, who had a prominent role in the Taliban government. And then seemed to kind of play a bunch of angles across each other.

Sort of one of these sixer types in the middle of Afghanistan.

The question is, what the heck is an organization like this, having an individual, who is a former Taliban member on their payroll.

It underscores how incredibly bizarre the whole arrangement is. And to just reinforce that. I think even more bizarre than having this former Taliban guy on the payroll is the kind of schizophrenic posture exhibited by the chief -- one truly bizarre thing is that one of the US Institute of Peace's main kind of policy agendas was basically lamenting the fact that the opium trade had dissipated under Taliban leadership. They had multiple reports coming out, basically saying, this is horrible, that the opium trade is diminished under the Taliban. Meaning, finding some way to restore it. How bizarre is that!

GLENN: What was their thinking?

DARREN: Well, it's -- it's very strange, and it depends on what kind of rabbit holes you want to go down. But the whole story of opium and Afghanistan and its connection to, you know, government entities, is a -- is a very intricate and delicate and fascinating one. But it seems very clear that the US Institute of Peace was involved in that story to some degree because their public reports. They had a full-the time guy of basically lamenting the fact that the opium trade dissipated under the Taliban. And, meanwhile, they're funding this former Taliban guy.

GLENN: Unbelievable. Now, ProPublica got this. And you have released the statement on it. And ProPublica just completely white-washed this -- said this guy was a victim, and his family was taken hostage. Was his family ever taken hostage because he was exposed?

And correct the ProPublica story, would you?

DARREN: Yeah, I mean, the ProPublica thing, as usual and as expected was a total joke.

GLENN: Yes.

DARREN: I mean, this guy, I'm not an expert on this particular person's history. But what's very clear is he was a former Taliban guy, and he was probably one of these people, who was playing all sides, made a lot of enemies. I know that there were several kind of attempts on his life by the Taliban, in the course of various -- various decades.

This has nothing to do with -- with DOGE.

I mean, he's a known quantity in the region.

And somebody who has made a lot of enemies.

And he was not -- he was on the payroll of the US institute of peace.

And nobody is expecting something like that. So then, and, again, there's this sort of hostile takeover situation.

Where the people are barricading he themselves in. Trying to delete all this data.

And sure enough, what's in the data, is stuff like this.

These random former Taliban guy, making his contract with $130,000.

GLENN: You know, this is the -- this is the real Deep State stuff, that I think bothers people so much.

Look, we expect our CIA to do stuff, we don't necessarily want to do it. We expect it.

When it's in the State Department.

When every department is pushing out money to NGOs to overthrow governments and everything else.

It's out of control!

It's just completely out of control.

And who is overseeing all of that.

DARREN: That's a great question.

I think part of the NGO -- UCEF was almost a cutout of a cutout.

A fourth of its money came from USAID.

In many ways, it was a cutout of USAID. Which itself was a cutout.

So there are many layers of distance. Plausible deniability.

And UCEF, I think institutionally really perfected this chameleon structure of being able to plausibly present itself as government. When that was convenient for what they were doing.

And also to present itself as a private organization, when that was convenient.

It's a very intricate setup that they had, that was truly optimized for this chameleon character of plausible denial operations. In conflict zones. Doing God knows what, with American taxpayer money.

And it's just an absolute hornet's nest.

We have recovered that terabyte that they tried to delete. And once we get things settled in the building itself, I intend to do a kind of transparency effort, whereby we release all of this material to the public.

GLENN: Good. Good.

DARREN: Just like I'm doing at the State Department. I'm currently acting as secretary at the State Department. And doing a transparency effort here. After I eliminated the global engagement center, which was sort of the internal censorship office within the State Department, decided, we've got to -- we've got to air this out to the public.

So within the next couple of weeks.

We'll have our next tranche of helps you of thousands of emails, documenting what this were doing.

GLENN: I would love you to go back on, through those emails.

I think you guys in the State Department are doing an amazing job. Thanks for being on.