What Nikki Haley's 2024 Announcement Means for the Republican Party and Trump
RADIO

What Nikki Haley's 2024 Announcement Means for the Republican Party and Trump

After winning only one state on Super Tuesday, Nikki Haley has dropped out of the 2024 presidential race. But she stopped short of endorsing Donald Trump. Glenn and Stu discuss what this means for the Republican party as we move closer to Election Day: Can the Right unite around Trump? Glenn also reveals the biggest issue he had with Haley.

Transcript

Below is a rush transcript that may contain errors

GLENN: Here is Nikki Haley.

HALEY: So many of the women and girls out there, who put their faith in our campaign: Be strong and courageous. Do not be afraid. Do not be discouraged. For God will be with you, wherever you go. In this campaign, I have seen our campaign's greatness, from the bottom of my heart. Thank you, America. God bless you.

GLENN: Wait. Now, what happened?

STU: She nailed it.

GLENN: Nailed it.

STU: Wow. That was riveting.

GLENN: Wow. What happened there?

STU: She's walking offstage.

GLENN: She's walking offstage. We missed obviously, some of her speech.

STU: Wait. She might still be in. I don't know. We never heard her drop out!

GLENN: Yeah. Shoot. She congratulated Trump, but she didn't endorse him, which I guess makes sense. I guess. Maybe not on the first day. But --

STU: If she wanted to endorse him, she would endorse him, right?

I think she didn't want to endorse him.

GLENN: Yeah.

STU: I mean, this is who -- this is consistent with the campaign, she's brought.

GLENN: Consistent with somebody that wants to be on the board with Ratheon. It is absolutely consistent with that.

STU: That is her path forward. Again, it's a good gig, I'm sure.

But it does. She's not running to be the vice president. She's not running to be, you know, the UN ambassador again.

She made a decision, that she was going to go a different direction there.

GLENN: So now, a lot of the people, that are, you know, writing, in -- in papers and -- and opinions, that look at this split in the G.O.P. as something that can be healed, I'm not really looking to heal it.

I mean, I'm fine with us all coming together. But I'm not going to go towards Mitch McConnell. Just not going to do it.

And they say that Nikki Haley should be a vice presidential nominee for Donald Trump. Because it would bring the party together.

And I'm not sure that would.

STU: I don't think there's any chance of that.

I guess, any chance -- these people do get over this stuff fast.

Remember, every -- almost every candidate winds up with a vice president. I mean, you know, go back to Bush and Reagan.

GLENN: Yeah. Reagan did not like Bush.

STU: Reagan did not like Bush. This has happened over and over in history.

GLENN: But I don't think -- Donald Trump doesn't do that.

STU: The only way he would, is if he's convinced it's the only way he has to win. And I will say, you mentioned the unity thing.

And of course, this is what everybody says, right? Oh, we have to bring everybody together now.

But it is important to note, that while Nikki Haley's faction of the Republican Party is not the majority faction, as we saw very clearly last night.

GLENN: It's weird. Because it still is in Congress.

STU: Yeah. Maybe. Maybe. I don't know.

GLENN: Let's see if John Cornyn becomes the Speaker of the Senate.

STU: Gosh. Please help us. Please help us.

Again, just because somebody has power at the top, does not mean they're not the majority of the Senate. You're right.

There's the higher representation of that faction in elected government, which makes sense. These people have been in government for 40 or 50 years.

Of course, you know, it's the people who get to the top of the power structure. But like, you also can't just say, hey, screw those people. Because I have news for you. You don't win any national elections, by the way, them. You will not win any national elections without the Nikki Haley faction of the Republican Party, voting for, let's say Donald Trump. Who is going to be the nominee. If you don't have them. Which, by the way, Trump was able to get in 2016. And got most of them in 2020 as well.

GLENN: And 20 percent of them who voted for Biden in 2020, say they will vote for Trump.

STU: Yeah, and you will get some of those people too. You also need the full base. And part of the base is the 30 percent of people who voted for Nikki Haley in these states. They do exist. They are still important to a Donald Trump victory.

So if you kind of do the thing, where you're like, well, you know what, if you're a McCain supporter, get out.

Well, you know, it doesn't work well. You do need those people, even if you don't necessarily have to bend to their position statements. You need to find a way to pull them in if you want to win these elections.

GLENN: I agree with you. I agree with you.

Just don't bend to their positions.

STU: Yeah. If you start saying, we will throw $200 billion at Ukraine to win over Nikki Haley supporters, that's a bad idea.

You have to keep your principles, and that's not seemingly what Donald Trump wants to do.

GLENN: And I would think that. I would really think that -- I don't know.

You know, I used to be a pretty good judge of the American people. Don't you think.

STU: Yeah.

GLENN: I don't think I don't know if I can anymore.

STU: Yeah. It's harder.

GLENN: I just don't know.

I was going to say, I think the people who were voting for Haley. Will end up voting for Trump.

Just because the alternative is Hillary Clinton. Everything that we said Hillary Clinton would do, they're doing.

In fact, on steroids.

So why wouldn't there be that passion to make sure, that he doesn't get -- because we're done.

STU: These things tend to have a cooling effect. Right?

You have eight months until this election. But Ron DeSantis is another great example.

I mean, think of the things Trump said about Ron DeSantis on this campaign.

What percentage of Ron DeSantis voters vote for Donald Trump in the end? Ninety-seven, 95?

GLENN: I think 100, including him and his wife.

STU: Yeah, he's already endorsed him.

Like, these things cool over time. You have eight months to pull this out. You will see Joe Biden on stage, talking about how he wants to turn the country into a socialist republic for eight months.

Most of the people who have a Nikki Haley vision of the country, will say, well, I'm down to two people. I'll pick one of them. I don't want Joe Biden.

I think that's the majority. You will see, by the way, in some of the exit polls today, that large chunks of Nikki Haley voters are saying today, that they will not vote for Donald Trump.

You have to remember, when you look at those numbers. A lot of those people are Democrats. Who came into open primaries. Some of those people were independents. Who were probably left leaners and never really considered a Donald Trump or Republican vote in the first place.

And, you know, some of them are just disaffected people who are annoyed, at what -- at what Trump supporters tell them online, or what Donald Trump says.

Or how Nikki Haley, they don't believe had a fair shot. Whatever the reason is. A lot of those people --

GLENN: Bernie Sanders people came --

STU: Most of them came home.

GLENN: In North Carolina, 35 percent of G.O.P. voters said, they won't guarantee their vote for Trump. Along with 36 percent in Virginia. 33 percent in California.

The total is significantly higher among Haley primary voters, 78 percent in North Carolina. Sixty-nine, California. Sixty-eight in Virginia.
Won't guarantee their support for the party's nominee.

The overwhelming number of Haley voters who refused to commit supporting Trump, may not be that big of a problem, as a large number of them were Democrats, crossing over.

So you wouldn't -- I mean, I would --

STU: A large number of them.

GLENN: You would expect that.

STU: Yeah, of course.

If you're a Democrat, just trying to sow chaos in the Democratic primary, of course.

GLENN: Yeah. The people who gave her, you know, $100 million, or whatever they gave her for campaign.

They were Democrats. You think Reid Hoffmann is going to actually -- I mean, he could have gotten it nonetheless -- and she would say, I'm voting for Biden.

STU: Yeah. If she got the nomination, she would have voted for Biden.

GLENN: Yes. So let me play a clip from what she just said.

VOICE: Just over a year ago, I launched my campaign for president.

When I began, I said the campaign was grounded in my love for our country.

Just last week, my mother, a first generation immigrant, got to vote for her daughter for president, only in America.

I am filled with the gratitude for the outpouring of support we've received from all across our great country. But the time has now come to suspend my campaign.

I said I wanted Americans to have their voices heard. I have done that. I have no regrets.

And although I will no longer be a candidate, I will not stop using my voice for the things I believe in.

GLENN: Okay. I think that was -- you know, that was good. This has, yeah. And I don't --

GLENN: I don't fault her.

STU: Why -- why not?

You've already entered the race. You've gone through this. You have the money to do it. You got to a place where you were competitive in New Hampshire. Then you had to make a decision, do I drop out right now, or do I look at my home state, which is basically next in line in a month? I ride out a month, I could be tough. Take a shot at it.

If you don't get it, you don't get it. But you're a week away from Super Tuesday. She let it ride to Super Tuesday, and she drops out.

This does nothing to hurt Donald Trump's campaign. Nothing that she did hurt Donald Trump's campaign.

GLENN: No. No. No.

STU: Donald Trump did not need to campaign against her, to win all these states obviously.

GLENN: No. The only thing I have on Nikki Haley. I mean, I disagree with her on a few things.

STU: Sure, but she was a good governor.

GLENN: She was a good governor, and I like her. Personally, I like her.

STU: Yeah.

GLENN: But I didn't agree with her on the war. Her approach for that. I didn't agree with her.

You know, I said really clearly, if you don't know what ESG is, then I can't vote for you.

I did my first interview for nominee was Nikki.

She didn't know what ESG was. I mean, she danced around it.

She knew a little bit. It wasn't key to her.

So I couldn't vote for her. I'm telling this now.

Anybody who listened to that interview. And knew what I had said on the air before. Would have known.

STU: Right.

GLENN: So I had some policy differences with her.

The only real problem that I had, was taking money from the uber left.

STU: Yeah. I think that's --

GLENN: Didn't like that. This has now, most of that money came to her, her super PACs. Which she cannot control.

GLENN: Correct.

STU: Now, obviously everyone likes getting money in politics, and she, of course, I'm sure appreciated the ads she ran. But to be clear, could not block that money, legally.

GLENN: No, but she welcomed it. She welcomed it.

STU: She said, basically, I took the money while Ron wanted it. He doesn't have it. I've got it.

She tried to use it as a talking point. And some of that money was not from the hardcore leftists, you know, like the Koch brothers.

And, of course, we always say the Koch brothers.

One of them is dead. Okay? The other one, he's not really spending any money right now.

GLENN: He's still voting in Illinois, strangely.

STU: Yeah. But he's more -- he's obviously a Libertarian. There was a bunch of money that came in, that was just anti-Trump money from various sources.

Some on the right. Some Libertarian. Some on the left.

The end of the story is like, look. She is a qualified candidate. That absolutely had a place in the race.

GLENN: Uh-huh.

STU: It's just, her vision of where the Republican going, is no longer the majority vision.

GLENN: It's so strange. Because she was a Tea Party person.

STU: She was always, I think, strong on defense.

GLENN: Yes, she was. She was.

STU: And one of the reasons she was a good ambassador, is because she had those viewpoints.

GLENN: She was a great ambassador.

I would have her as ambassador any day of the week.

STU: She didn't connect with that.

I will say, in her defense obviously she's been getting trashed by everybody for weeks and weeks and weeks.

In her defense, unlike many other politicians, that issue was key to her.

And she -- foreign defense, Ukraine, all those things.

She knew it was unpopular in the party, and she did not waver from it at all.

She came out and made the arguments, the best she could, in public, over and over again, to a Republican audience that was not particularly receptive. She tried, it didn't work. But she didn't back off of it. Some of her other stuff. Like the abortion thing, I didn't know where she was on that. She seemed to be all over the place. But that one particular issue, she was very strong and she stuck by it, even when it probably meant she had no chance to win the primary.

GLENN: Yeah.

STU: So you give her credit -- sticking by your views. I'm fine with that. You want to go down in flames because you believe something that the voters don't believe --

GLENN: I respect.

STU: -- that's the way to go down in flames.

GLENN: I have much more respect for that, than somebody who will twist their viewpoint.

STU: Totally.

GLENN: So look, I -- I feel tension between Nikki Haley and this program, because we didn't get on board. And she is a friend. I don't know if that's true. That's just what we have felt. I hope that is not true.

But I wasn't going to endorse anybody this primary season. Not going to do it. I would have voted for any of them, over this guy. And it looks like Donald Trump is the guy. I'm voting for Donald Trump.

So now that we've fought this, I hope that the Ron DeSantis voters and the Nikki Haley voters, will come to the conclusion, that, yeah. It's not your guy.

But I don't think we have anybody on any -- on any side, that everybody is like, I'm 100 -- I don't even think Jill Biden is for Joe Biden. 100 percent.

Now that we've fought this race, and we have our people, darn near picked. We need to come back together, and focus on what we are for, and unfortunately, Joe Biden is not for the same things.

He's for a completely different America. He said, the first time around, he was for, you know, normalcy.

Return to normalcy. A return to, you know, being together, as a country.

Well, that didn't happen.

None of this is normal.

None of this is normal.

And it's not the Republicans this time. It is the policies of Joe Biden.

And he might be a fine, affable, old man. But his policies are not fine or affable. They are a danger to the republic.

Now, let's see if we can all come back together, lick the wounds. Help each other heal.

And come together, and fight the good fight for the republic.

Glenn Beck’s POWERFUL message to Democrats after Trump’s win
RADIO

Glenn Beck’s POWERFUL message to Democrats after Trump’s win

Donald Trump's 2024 victory has taken many on the left by shock. How could the majority of Americans support a fascist, racist, xenophobic felon who promised to be a dictator "on day one"? Well, maybe that's not what they support. Glenn reviews 2 New York Times op-eds that are perfect examples of what the legacy media has convinced half the country to believe about Trump and his supporters. Then, he explains what Trump supporters actually believe, and it couldn't be any more different.

Transcript

Below is a rush transcript that may contain errors

GLENN: So one of the op-eds in the New York Times today is Trump's America.

His comeback victory signals a different kind of country.

From the New York Times.

In her closing rally on the ellipse last week. Kamala Harris scorned Donald J. Trump as an outlier who didn't represent America.

That's not who we are, she declared.

In fact, it turns out, that may be exactly who we are. At least most of us. The assumption that Mr. Trump represented an anomaly, who would at last be consigned to the ash heap of history was washed away Tuesday night by a red current that swept through the battleground states. And swept away the understanding of America, long nurtured by its ruling elite of both parties.

No longer can the political establishment write off Mr. Trump as a temporary break from the long march of progress.

Populist disenchantment with the nation's direction and resentment against elites proved to be deeper and more profound than many in both parties had recognized.

While tens of millions of voters still cast their ballot against Mr. Trump, he once again tapped into a sense among many others, that the country they knew was slipping away, under siege economically, culturally and demographically.

To counter that, those voters ratified the return of a brash 78-year-old champion willing to upend convention and take radical action, even if it offends the sensibilities or violates old standards.

Any misgivings about their chosen leader was shoved to the side. As a result for the first time in history, Americans have elected a convicted criminal as president. They handed power back to a leader who tried to overturn a previous election, called for the termination of the Constitution, and aspired to be a dictator on day one, and vowed to exact retribution against his adversaries. To Mr. Trump's allies the election vindicates his argument that Washington has grown out of touch.

And America is a country weary from overseas wars. The Trump presidency speaks to the depth of marginalization felt by those who believe they have been the cultural wilderness for too long, and their faith in this one person who has given voice to their frustration and his ability to center them in American life.

Rather than be turned off by Trump's flagrant, anger-based appeal. Along the lines of race, gender, religion, national origin. Especially transgender ideology.

Many Americans found them bracing. Rather than be offended by his brazen lies or wild conspiracy theories, many found him authentic. Rather than dismiss him as a felon, found by various courts to be a fraudster, cheater, sexual abuser, and defamer, many embraced his assertion that he's been the victim of persecution.

This election, quoting, was a CAT scan on the American people. And as difficult as it is to say, as hard as it is to name.

What it revealed, at least in part, is a frightening affinity for borderless corruption.

That is from the former strategic adviser to president George W. Bush.

The fact that Trump was able to bounce back from so many legal and political defeats over the four years, anyone which would have been enough to wreck the career of any other politician was a testament to his remarkable resilience and defiance.

But it also was owed in part to the failures of President Biden and Ms. Harris. Then they go on for two paragraphs about, oh, boy.

They were bad.

But then they're right back into Donald Trump.

The coalition that elected them, wanted them to unite the country.

And they failed to do so. And their failure resulted in further disillusionment with our country's politics and empowered the Trump base.

Trump has been conditioning Americans throughout this campaign, to see American democracy, as a failed experiment. Said historian and author of Strong Man. Let me say that again. Trump has been conditioning Americans throughout this campaign, to see American democracy as a failed experiment.

No. I've never heard him say that. I've never heard anybody that supports him say that.

A victory for Trump would mean that this vision of America, and the recourse to violence as a means of solving political problems, has triumphed. She continued.

Talking to Mr. Short. Whoever Mr. Short is.

Predicted another four years of chaos and uncertainty.

I would anticipate a lot of volatility. Personnel, but also significant boomerangs on policy.

Not boomerangs from Biden/Harris. But boomerangs from himself. You'll have one position one day. And another position the next.

Okay. So they go on, and they really, truly do not understand what's happened.

Now, this is self-imposed ignorance.

Because it's really not that hard to figure out. And I do believe it comes from a misunderstanding of what our country is.

They're looking at our country, the way Woodrow Wilson defined it.

And that is, an administrative state. What is in the American soul is something entirely different.

GLENN: All right. So who are we?

What is it that we fight for? We see America more in the tradition of the Founding Fathers.

Now, I know if you're somebody on the left, if you're somebody, especially, you know, in the elite government. Or, you know, somebody who went to Harvard. You might roll your eyes at this.

Because you think this is all trite. But many Americans believe this. We believe that the American spirit is a force that inspires teams.

It also has fueled revolutions.

It's also driven some of the greatest innovations and achievements the world has ever seen.

We believe that. We believe in the American individual.

Now, you might say that you do. But I don't think you do. Because you want somebody to tell all of the individuals, exactly what they must believe, what they must live. What they must eat.

What they must drive. What they must teach their children.

We don't believe that. We don't believe that. And it's not just for us. It is for people who want to live a transgendered life.

I don't care if you want to live a transgendered life.

I feel to you for you.

I do. I feel for you. I feel your pain. The pain that you must have gone through, your whole life.

I don't want you to go through that pain. But don't force me and my family to lie about science because you feel bad.

You might feel horrible. I know I did as an alcoholic. As somebody who has -- who actually considered suicide, I know what feeling bad feels like.

But only the truth will set you free. I can't -- I can't further the lie. Because it only will hurt more people.

Now, the American spirit, this is what brought settlers across the oceans. Across rugged mountains, that nobody thought.

They risked life and limb, just to get away from the big European state. That told them, you'll never make it.

You can't do it. Your family is worthless. Insular have the right credentials.

They crossed oceans to get away from that. To put that into perspective, that is almost like going to the moon today.

These were people who were like, screw it, man!

This is the spirit that took on the tyrants and the empires. That declared that there were such thing as free men and free women.

And distant rulers and aristocrats. And those in the black robes.

They don't determine our destiny. We do!

And it's something that transcends race and religion or class.

You know why a lot of people -- a lot of people, that you say are racist, I know racism exists. But not the way you think it does!

You think we're all born racist. I -- I don't believe that!

You have to be taught how to hate. You have to be taught how to hate the other side.

Many of us believe, that is what you're teaching, with antiracism. Only racism you believe, can stop racism.

So I have to be taught to hate, to stop hate!

It doesn't make sense.

It doesn't make sense.

We're just looking for common sense. We're looking for science!

And reason. To be fixed firmly in her seat.

When we say, we believe that America is exceptional. Why do you think we say that?

Because we're arrogant?

Because we're white. Because what?

Because we believe in God! It's none of that.

What makes us exceptional is this American spirit. It's not chance. It's not entitlement.

It's through toil and courage and vision. Of ordinary people, doing extraordinary things.

That's what makes us exceptional! We are exceptional because the rest of the world has been told, shut up, and sit down!

You cannot do that. What makes us exceptional is that we say, who are you to tell me that?

You don't control my life. You don't control my vision.

You don't control my every movement.

I believe we can do extraordinary things.

That's why every -- why every American should embrace Elon Musk.

And every American did embrace, at least the spirit of Elon Musk, until politics were introduced. I wasn't against Elon Musk in his cars, and everything else. When he was, quote, on the other side. I don't think he's changed. He still believes all that stuff about global warming that I don't believe.

But I didn't wish him ill. I didn't want him deported. I didn't want him shut up. I didn't want to destroy his company.

I rooted for him to go to Mars. I still root for him to go to Mars. You know why? Because that's an ordinary person, who has an extraordinary vision, who can articulate that vision and execute it. I want man to win!

Our Founders knew, that governments left unchecked, would accumulate power, at the expense of the individual.

We have been on this road, that you and the New York Times may say, is traditional.

You may say, it's -- it's accepted, it's the way we are.

Well, but that is a perversion. We switched train tracks about 1916.

We developed this new idea. That man cannot rule himself.

This is actually an ancient idea. But it was new in America. Man cannot rule himself!

Man has to have an overseer. A government. Somebody in the government. Somebody preferably not elected.

Just a faceless bureaucrat. That could nudge people, the right way.

We don't want to be nudged. We're much more direct than that. You don't understand who Americans are. We are frank and blunt.

We're polite. We don't want to argue about politics. We don't want to argue about sex.

We don't want to argue about religion. We don't want to argue about any of that stuff.

So we're polite in polite company. Most of us were taught, you don't talk about those things. Why?

Because it deepens the division.

Just, you be you, boo. I'll be me. But we can't -- we can't have those conversations anymore.

And we need to. Because that's who we are. I'll fight for your right to be whoever it is you think you are.

Oh, you're a marshmallow. A unicorn, that turns into marshmallows at night. Okay. Hey, she's not a marshmallow. That's right.

She's not. But she has a right to believe that. She wants to say that. She has every right. Shut up. Sit down.

But you want me to say, no, she is a unicorn that turns into a marshmallow at night. No! No!

I'll fight for your right to say what you believe.

But I'm also going to fight for everybody else's right including mine, to say you're wrong.

This system of government that started with Woodrow Wilson is ancient. We call it progressivism now. But it was -- it was the tool of the tyrants, going all the way back, I'm sure to cavemen.

This government has become corrupt!

Corrupt. We should all be on the same side!

If Donald Trump was taking money from China, and he was enriching his children, because they were meeting with the Chinese, and then trying to influence him, I would want them to go to jail!

Because I don't want corruption! You don't take foreign money, on the down low!

I think we're being consistent.

But you don't because you fundamentally misunderstand.

You keep quoting the Constitution. But I don't think you understand the Constitution. This is a framework, that is designed to empower people, and restrict the government.

You interpret the Constitution, as something that empowers the government, and restricts the people.

Only one of us can be right. And if you actually read the document, you'll know which one is true!

That's what leads us back to American exceptionalism.

All right. More in a second.

I just -- I feel like, we need to explain, to the left. In a very clear way. In a very kind way.

I'm trying to be kind.

You have a fundamental misunderstanding of what we want. We don't want to control your life.

We have no desire to be in your bedroom. We have no desire, nor will we round groups of people up.

That's what progressives did, with FDR.

Not constitutional conservatives!

"We witnessed a MIRACLE": What Trump's VICTORY means for America
RADIO

"We witnessed a MIRACLE": What Trump's VICTORY means for America

Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election, and might even win the popular vote! So, is America back? And how should Trump supporters react? Glenn, Pat, and Stu discuss the incredible Election Night results: "We witnessed a miracle...this shouldn't have happened last night...God was gracious yesterday. He is not done with America." And Pat has to get in a bit of a gloatfest about Kamala Harris and Tim Walz' defeat.

Transcript

Below is a rush transcript that may contain errors

GLENN: So none of us had any sleep last night. And so you'll have to excuse us. It's a little -- we're a little delirious. And my apologies, and this is sincere. My apologies for not starting off the program with, thank you, Lord. Thank you to the almighty for giving us, not what we deserve, but giving us mercy. Which we do not deserve.

We witnessed a miracle, last night. With everything that was going against us, everything that -- I mean, this -- this shouldn't have happened last night.

I mean, I'm glad it did. But they have spent half a billion dollars just on abortion. Half a billion dollars, on the abortion message.

Yes. The -- the -- the direction of our country, is -- is completely in the wrong direction.

And enough people woke up, enough people saw that, and stood up, and -- and were willing to be called Nazis and everything else.

And they just didn't care. And I -- I think, that was a miracle.

And God was gracious, yesterday.

He is not -- he is not done with America, apparently. He's just not done. So thank you, Lord. Thank you.

PAT: I agree with that whole-heartedly. Whole-heartedly.

GLENN: Pat, hi. Thank you.

PAT: Welcome, good to be here. I also have just one other little message, if I may.

GLENN: Yeah. Yeah. Sure.

PAT: And it goes a little something like...
(music)
(laughter)

GLENN: Okay. All right.

PAT: Now, just that. It's another --

GLENN: See, that's wrong. That is just really, really wrong. Especially physical you did it -- if you did it again. Then --

STU: Don't do it again.

PAT: I shouldn't do this again.
(music)

GLENN: Oh, my.
(music)
(laughter)

GLENN: So, you know, what the problem is, that sounded a bit gloaty.

PAT: We don't want to do that. We want to be gracious winners.

STU: I can sense that towards the end.

PAT: Because if you did that a third time. It would probably be misconstrued.
(music)
(laughter)

GLENN: Wow! Wow.

STU: Beautiful --

PAT: Thank you. Thank you.

I've been working on it.

GLENN: I was going to say, that is a beautiful voice, that you have.

STU: Oh, you know what, Pat, if I may. If I may.

PAT: And you may.

STU: I love that Tim Walz gets a mention in that.

PAT: Oh, my gosh,, yes. Had to be.

STU: I love --

PAT: I don't ever want to see -- yeah. Let Minnesota deal with it. I don't want to.

STU: Good luck, Minnesota.

PAT: Oh, my gosh.

GLENN: Can I tell you something, it was almost a perfect night, when we thought for a second, they may lose Minnesota.

PAT: Yeah. Yeah.

GLENN: It was like, oh, my gosh.

STU: Yeah. They won Minnesota by four points.

PAT: Wow.

GLENN: Four!

STU: Four! That's it.

PAT: Wow.

STU: He almost got Minnesota. He almost got New Jersey too!

PAT: Are you projecting 312? That's what we've got, the countdown. Eventually, it will be 312 to 226. That's a big win.

STU: I think that's right. Yeah.

PAT: That's a big win. And he's up by, what? 5 million in the popular vote. Thank heavens.

STU: Now, that will shrink a lot. That will come down.

PAT: Do you think he's not going to win the popular vote? He's going to win it, right?

GLENN: Shut up, Stu! Shut up!

STU: Gosh. I mean -- I think so. I think so.

PAT: Please say it's so.

GLENN: Stu's about to call a Georgia. He's about to call Georgia.

STU: What are you talking about?
(laughter)

STU: I legitimately -- there are so far, Michigan, Arizona, and Nevada, along with Alaska, which some places still haven't called.

PAT: Well, that's ridiculous.

STU: But assuming he sweeps all four of those states, he gets to 312. I think there's a possibility that he could lose either one of them. But I do not expect it. I do not expect it.

PAT: Even CNN has it 276. So it's over. It's over.

STU: And the celebration. And the anchor. And Glenn's 14 seconds of calm, coherent thinking, all of that came behind, before we really gave a full update on this.

I mean, Georgia. If you look at the swing states. North Carolina, Donald Trump by three. Georgia, Donald Trump by two. Pennsylvania, Donald Trump by three. Michigan, Donald Trump by two. Wisconsin, Donald Trump by one. Arizona, 63 percent of the vote in, Donald Trump by five.

Nevada, 86 percent of the vote in, Donald Trump by four. So he would swing -- if he -- he would get all seven of the states.

PAT: Wow! Wow!

GLENN: So, Stu, you would say then, that the polls were actually pretty accurate.

STU: Yeah. I think they were pretty good. Now, everybody is going to remember one poll which is the Selzer poll in Iowa, which missed by about 60 million points.

PAT: What an embarrassment for her. What -- it was literally 17 and a half points, she missed by.

GLENN: Now, wait a minute. Wait a minute. Wait a minute.

She did what we were saying none of the others did. And that is, release the outliers. That were way, way, way out. That was part of polling, if you want to be honest.

Now, that's what Stu has just said. Pat, how would you respond to this?

STU: What do you think?

PAT: To the actual outcome of the election? You mean. Something like.
(music)
(laughter)

PAT: Maybe something like that.

GLENN: Something like that. That would be wrong, of course, if --

PAT: Of course. Of course. Especially -- you can't. You just can't.

GLENN: And you can still speak, which is crazy.

STU: Incredible.

GLENN: The -- the -- he's got like iron or US steel vocal cord.

PAT: Uh-huh.

GLENN: The -- the -- we haven't done a gloat fest, I think since maybe John Kerry?

PAT: I'll bet it's -- I mean, there's been no reason to. So...

Yeah.

STU: I think we did them in the Tea Party wave election of 2010, I believe. A gloat fest was mixed in there. 2014, maybe, which was a good year for Republicans. But that's probably been the last time.

GLENN: It's been a while. It's been a while. And gosh, it doesn't feel good. Does it? Not at all.

I'm sure, the calls haven't come in yet. But I'm expecting the calls to come in and say, hey, stop gloating. Stop rubbing it in their face. And you're right. You're right.

STU: So do you think the Democrats will take a smart lesson from this and realize, maybe they've overstepped their -- their -- maybe they outran their coverage a little -- their coverage a little bit, when they decided to say, hey, maybe all boys can play girl's sports.

PAT: Right. Right.

STU: And we should be, let's say, taking money from taxpayers and use it to fund transition of criminals in prison? Do you think maybe they'll learn the lesson there? Or do you think it's going to be --

PAT: And what if they thought, hey. I wonder if next time we should nominate someone who at least got one vote from Democrats.

STU: Lessons. Wow, that's a good one, Pat.

We should on write a little book for them, and they can learn some lessons. Like maybe run a campaign that wins votes.

PAT: Right. Right.

GLENN: I predict a -- a historic movement of reflection on the media's part today.

STU: Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah.

GLENN: That would be --

PAT: Really. Yeah.

GLENN: I mean, it's historic, because you get your butt kicked this badly. You destroy your credibility this much.

And I can guarantee you, there won't be any self-reflection at all.

STU: Oh, I think so.

I disagree with that. Actually, I think that stuff is true. There will be a reflection from the media. And they will decide, if only they had called him Hitler one more time. They would have won. If they could have just --

GLENN: Did we call him Hitler enough?

STU: Yeah. If they would have just said fascist, a few more times. Would have just left a few more on the field.

GLENN: I told you. I told you, we should have gone with Pol Pot.

No one is afraid of Hitler anymore.

STU: I mean, that is just.

GLENN: And Pennsylvania will be the killing fields!

STU: No. I think they needed maybe three more handmade's tale references.

If they just come up with a couple more of those.

If they just come up with the red robes, and the red hats. You more time.

This could have gone another way.

PAT: What if they brought up abortion another couple of times? What if they did that? January 6th. Maybe.

STU: Maybe they could have got another one of their donors to try to kill the president again!

Maybe that would be -- it happened twice!

GLENN: Eighth time is the charm.
(laughter)

STU: Unbelievable.

GLENN: It is -- it is unbelievable.

And, you know, I -- think, well, I know, we would have been on the air today, saying, okay.


So what do we do?

What did we do wrong? How are we not connecting? We would have been crying in our soup, you know. Assuming we could afford soup.

But we would have been really depressed today. But there would be self-reflection, and then we would be going, what did we do wrong? How is this message not getting heard? And what are we doing that is -- that is making people not come to this message?

PAT: Yeah.

GLENN: They're not going to spend any of that time. None of that.

STU: I think we would have just said, you know, it's because that other side are so hateful, and they don't understand. That's what they're saying. Everybody is a racist and a sexist.

PAT: And they'll break out Russian interference or something. I mean, they will make some kind of excuse for this.

GLENN: They already are, gang. They already are.

STU: I flipped on Morning Joe. President whole thing. All they're doing is coming up excuses, in realtime. And it's every single thing you would think it would be.

PAT: Wow.

STU: There's no reflection. No moment of sanity.

GLENN: Hang on, I just have to -- I just have to play cut one, please. Cut one. MSNBC.

VOICE: Kids watching for the first time election results. They should know that we never had bomb threats, before Donald Trump became a presidential candidate.

STU: What! The Weather Underground was blowing up stuff all over the place.

PAT: My gosh.

GLENN: They didn't threaten. They actually exploded the bombs.

STU: Right.

GLENN: That's the difference.

PAT: Wow!

GLENN: And another super, super favorite. This who couldn't even CNN.

Cut two.

VOICE: Donald Trump is not running for two years.

Kamala Harris has been running for 170. 170 days.

STU: Oh, yeah.

VOICE: So one of my questions is particularly with her candidacy is whether that was just enough time to introduce herself to the country.

STU: Introduce herself. She's the vice president.

PAT: My gosh. It's unreal. It's unreal.

STU: Unreal.

VOICE: Or whether she could have used a little more time.

STU: A couple more weeks.

GLENN: Hang on one last thing I want to play.

And that is, what's coming. They're on to us, guys.

They're on to us. They know, and here they are. Ratting us out.

What our plans are. Cut six.

VOICE: The historians in the future, are allowed to write books.

Boy, that question is open.

PAT: Yeah.

VOICE: And the people who are allowed to go on television, and say what they think, in the future.

Which again, that question is open this morning.

STU: No. It's not.

VOICE: In the future, historians will look back on this day and say, this is the day that America made the choice between freedom and democracy on one side, and authoritarianism and dictatorship.

GLENN: Yes. And we voted for freedom.

STU: Yep.

GLENN: And democracy. And the republic. So congratulations, America.

And, Pat, I don't want to hear that song anymore. Not a single note. No more.

STU: Which song?

PAT: I'm just reflecting on.
(music)

GLENN: All right. Okay. Okay. Stop it right now.

No more of that.

The 5 most important things to WATCH FOR on Election Day 2024
RADIO

The 5 most important things to WATCH FOR on Election Day 2024

The Daily Caller recently highlighted "5 key bellwethers to watch on Election Day" 2024: the early results in Pennsylvania, the margins in Virginia, how Muslims in Michigan vote, how suburban women vote, and how Trump does in Iowa. Glenn and Stu discuss just how close this election may be, despite the momentum for Trump. Plus, Glenn and Stu discuss the odds that this election will be a blowout and whether Stu's electoral map prediction will be as accurate as it was in 2020.

Transcript

Below is a rush transcript that may contain errors

GLENN: It is Election Day. If you haven't voted, if somebody in your family hasn't voted, get them out to vote.

As long as they're -- you know, they've done their homework. There's always a moron in there.

No. Don't. You know what, you don't -- you shouldn't vote.

Now, there's -- according to the Daily Caller, five key bellwethers to watch on Election Day. I want to go over them with Stu.

Because Stu is the guy who watches all these numbers.

And yesterday, you predicted a Trump victory.


STU: Yeah. Very hesitant Trump victory.

I'm very undecided.

GLENN: You didn't do that in 2020.

STU: No. In fact, 2020 got the electoral count exactly right. 306 electoral votes for Joe Biden. And everyone hates you, when you say that.

GLENN: I know. I know.

STU: But, you know, I -- that's what I thought was going to happen.

It wound up coming true. But this time, I'm not nearly as sure. I don't have a really strong opinion. I got to the -- we did our show last night on Stu Does America. Our final predictions.

And it got to those swing states. And, you know, a couple of them I have a vibe on.

You know, a couple of them, I'm kind of just guessing. I hate to say it that way. But it's kind of where you are.

You're taking your vibes. You're kind of encapsulating 18 months of campaigning into a feeling. And I think a lot of people will do that today. I would not bet money on who will win.

She can win this election. But, also, there's a good chance that one of these two candidates, you know, sweeps all seven of these swing states, and winds up with what feels like an easy victory.

It won't be. You know, I don't think it will be an easy victory.

If you start seeing someone taking out states, those fringe swing states. You know, New Hampshire, Virginia for Trump.

You know, going the other way.

Texas for Kamala. Florida, for Kamala. Iowa for Kamala. If that stuff starts happening. That's a blowout.

These type of swing states. If they all go to one of the two candidates. I don't think it will be much of a blowout.

I am very, very undecided on it.

My final count was 291 electoral votes for Trump.

As I was putting it together, as a final prediction for the show. I reversed myself on two or three states, multiple times.

And that is not -- when you're doing that. You know.

I've been watching this obsessively for 18 months.

And on -- an hour before I go to the air, I am reversing states nap tells you that we don't know. Because I don't know.

GLENN: So here are the things.

And I would like to hear your point of view on this.

Are these the things you should watch for: Early returns for Pennsylvania. It is probably one of the most important states, likely a tipping point. You lose this one.

I mean, you could gain --

STU: You could do it. But it's hard. Especially for Trump.

Kamala needs it, you would think.

If Trump can get it, he's probably winning this election.

GLENN: Right. This is why Kamala was out knocking doors last night. Quote, unquote.

Knocking doors. Somebody else was knocking the door. Kamala supporter.

STU: Oh, the part where, hey, Kamala. Kamala goes -- they won't to film you coming out. We go back in, and I can knock on the door again?

The fact that that sort of stuff is happening. What a perfect last-minute encapsulation of the Kamala Harris campaign.

GLENN: Yeah. Just fake. All of it fake. So Pennsylvania.

80,000 votes in Pennsylvania, decided 2020. 90,000 Amish in Pennsylvania. Also, 80,000 truckers in Pennsylvania, that didn't really turn out last time because a lot of them were on the road.

The G.O.P. has been all over that. Make sure they have -- you know, ballots, mail-in ballots.

Also, just this weekend on the other side, the Harris campaign knocked on almost a million doors.

$807,000 doors were knocked.

In 2020, in Pennsylvania, Democrats had the advantage of more than 1.1 million mail-in ballots.
They knew, a couple of weeks before, we are going to win.

Today, the Democrats only have an advantage of 400,000. That's a 700,000-vote swing. That they're down -- and that is good, if people show up today, to vote.

Virginia is also another one. Harris is probably another one that will win Virginia.

If Donald Trump picks up Virginia, that's a big deal. If he loses Virginia, under five points, that's also a big deal.

STU: Yeah. If he can keep it within five points, I think he's probably going to win the election.

GLENN: Yeah. Yeah. And we should bank that pretty early, shouldn't we?

STU: Yeah. Polls close relatively early. It's not one of those states that takes a month to count. Typically.

Again, Florida is the gold standard, which is shocking. They actually fixed their system. Theater ones that will give you the first result.

Florida is also not the best bellwether. We've seen this before. In 2022, was a big situation, if you remember correctly.

Because DeSantis won by so much. That everyone was like, oh, my gosh.

This is a Republican wave election. Because they were one of the first results.

And it did not wind up panning out in other states. Sometimes Florida is a little bit different. And since they're the first kind of like big state, we hear about --

GLENN: Yeah.

If it goes poorly, Florida, for Donald Trump, it will be a bad night.

STU: Well, the polling is interesting there, Glenn.

GLENN: I know.

STU: Because we kind of thought now, that because of what DeSantis has done in Florida, that this is just a bright red state.

Look, Rick Scott is up by three points in Florida in a lot of these polls.

Donald Trump is up by four or five points in some polls in Florida.

I think he is going to win. But it will be a heck of a lot closer than DeSantis when he won by, what was it? Nineteen.

GLENN: Yeah. I have to tell you, the other thing that is disturbing.

The Cruz campaign called us to get him on the air today.

They are concerned about Texas. And you should be concerned about Texas.

It is close. It is very close.

They have spent millions and millions and millions of dollars. And Ted Cruz has done it all on his supporters and himself.

The -- they've been outspent like crazy, because of Mitch McConnell.


STU: Yeah. And George Soros.

GLENN: And George Soros. Yes.

STU: McConnell not giving money to Cruz is a factor.

But Democrats are targeting this with hundreds of millions of dollars.

GLENN: So another thing to watch for is the Muslims in Michigan.

If they don't show up. Or they're voting third person. Or they're not voting for Trump, which I find that hard to believe. But you had the mayor of the biggest Muslim community in Michigan come out and endorse. Along with a lot of the imams, endorse Donald Trump. I find it hard to believe.

STU: Yeah. If Trump will be like, hey, we will win this election.

If we get the Muslim vote, I think he's -- you know, probably -- that's not the position you want to be in.

GLENN: No. But --

STU: He'll take them. He'll take 10 percent. Take it.

STU: Yeah. For sure. For sure.

GLENN: The pitch to suburban women.

Now, this goes down to Iowa.

I think if he loses Iowa, it's -- it's going -- it could be a rough night.

He's not counted out.

STU: He's not mathematically eliminated.

But if he loses Iowa, there's no way he's winning this election.

GLENN: You don't think so?

STU: I don't think so. That doesn't mean mathematically he can't win. He definitely theoretically could win. In an environment where they lose the state, again, this makes no sense to me.

Kim Reynolds won that state by 19 points, two years ago, in a bad year for Republicans. We've seen increases all over the place, in Republican registration.

That's not -- I'm -- as I mentioned to you off the air. I'm super skeptical of trying to take anything out of early vote.

Particularly this year. When you're comparing early vote to the COVID year, God only knows what you're getting.

I'm not surprised at all, that Democrat's early vote numbers were down. They were all terrified. They wouldn't go outdoors at the time that this election was taking place.

GLENN: I know. But you are -- people are motivated, or not.

STU: I agree.

GLENN: And I don't think -- I think where the hidden number is, in these polls, is the lack of motivation for Harris.

People will talk a good game.

I'm for Harris.

STU: And some even show her enthusiasm higher than Trump's, which doesn't make any sense to me.

GLENN: No way.

STU: That's even shown in some polls.

GLENN: No way. No way.

STU: Look, we all that know it's not Kamala enthusiasm.

The correct way to look at it is anti-Trump enthusiasm.

That sort of does connect with me.

I do sort of see Democrats feel that way.

Not that I do. But I'm saying, as far as they do.

We know they hate him.

We got it. They're really wanting to keep Hitler out of office. We've got it.

GLENN: They're hypnotized.

STU: When comes to early voting, though. The numbers coming up for Republicans.

I think it can be partially explained by the fact that Trump discouraged the early vote in 2020, and now he's encouraging it. So I'm not surprised to see those numbers come up.

And I'm not surprised to see them come down for Democrats. Because in 2020, there was COVID. And they were all afraid to go to restaurants, let alone, go out to vote.

So I'm not at all surprised by that. I'm not saying that that means bad things.

Obviously, I predicted Trump to win.

PAT: But here's what the Republicans are counting on.

STU: Uh-huh.

GLENN: In the polls for people who are planning on voting today, he is up by 16 points.

If that would hold, it -- it would be hard for the Democrats to pull this off.

You disagree with that?

STU: You may be right. Just, I don't have a spreadsheet out to make a prediction out like that.

I have not -- I don't know.

It's possible, you're right.

I don't know. There's so many factors that go into this. And the other part of it, that we don't know at all.

From early voting.

One important thing. We have no idea, who any independents voted for.

We have no idea who anyone voted for.

But we assume the Republicans vote for the Republicans and Democrats vote for Democrats.

Independents, we have no indication, whatsoever.

Right? We have no indication from early vote what independents did. So in an election that is this close, kind of an important nugget of information.

GLENN: I know. I know.

You're basing it all on numbers, facts, and figures. I'm basing it all on gut.

And we've lost the ability to predict the American people, long ago!

But, you know, I'll explain it at the top of next hour. Why I feel as strong as I do.

With the one caveat. I don't know if I can predict the American people anymore.

I don't know.

I mean, our education system has turned out morons and idiots. That don't even know what it means, to be a republic, versus a democracy.

So nobody knows our institutions.

Nobody knows why this was founded this way.

So maybe they don't get it.

2024 Election: Will the Amish FLIP Pennsylvania for Trump?
RADIO

2024 Election: Will the Amish FLIP Pennsylvania for Trump?

It’s Election Day 2024 and a lot of signs are pointing towards a Trump win. One of the biggest is in Pennsylvania. Glenn reviews how Trump’s “Unity Party” has gathered all kinds of strange bedfellows, including the Amish, the Orthodox, and the hippies in Pennsylvania. As the Amish especially go out and vote in droves, will this be enough to flip Pennsylvania red? Glenn explains why he’s feeling optimistic …

Transcript

Below is a rush transcript that may contain errors

GLENN: All righty. Welcome to the program.

Well, I have a lot of stuff to go over. In fact, a lot of -- a lot of good news to share with you today. But first, let me -- let me just talk to you about this weird time that we're living in.

Where we have the Amish, the orthodox, Jews.

And the hippies. All coming together.

I don't think in my lifetime, I've seen a wider, bigger tent, for a presidential candidate than this.

Have you?

The Amish, the Orthodox Jew. And the hippies.

It's like a joke. They all walk into the voting booth. The Trump coalition has created the most interesting bedfellows.

Honestly, this is the seed, to bring us back together. If this campaign can bring these people together, including RFK Jr. His running mate. Tulsi Gabbard.

Elon Musk. This is an exciting time, to live in America.

Standing in one line together, there's a linen-pant-wearing, anti-Big Pharma, RFK-loving hippie type. An orthodox rabbi. An Amish man who traveled there in a buggy with a horse!

This may be the only time in history, that I think these groups have come together before, seriously.

New poll from Nishma Research showed 93 percent of ultra orthodox voters are now voting for Trump.

Have you seen the videos that came out with the -- with the ultra orthodox going out and doing like car parade?

And, I mean, it's -- it is bizarre.

STU: I mean, to your point, you never thought you would see the Amish, and the world's greatest tech mogul, voting for the same candidate.

Right? It really is bizarre.

GLENN: It's crazy. And then you have the crunchy type, wearing a make America healthy again hat. With the, you know, oil diffuser bracelet that she had to wear. It is nuts!

STU: I saw an article the other day. I can't remember who it was featuring.

They were calling it the crunchy conservative vote. Which is not something I've ever heard before.

GLENN: I think I'm actually --

STU: Oh, you're totally there.

You are so crunchy these days. This is a man, when I first started.

Back in the day. Back in the day, when I first started. As an intern for the Glenn Beck, you know, morning show.

My main job was going directly to Dunkin' Donuts to get them some sort of egg, cheese, bacon thing.

On like a doughnut. We don't even make that, sir. You will!

Glenn demands it!

And now you're a crunchy conservative. How have the mighty fallen.

GLENN: Yeah. I would have drank that weed killer with you. I really would have. I would have.

So Trump lost Pennsylvania by 80,000 votes. How many Amish people are there in Pennsylvania?

90. 90,000.

And they are impressive. In Pennsylvania's 11th district, 2,000 Amish people just registered to vote.

And they're coming out for Trump.

If you're like, I don't know.

It's raining. I don't know if I can go stand in line. These people hitched up their horse, after feeding their horse and scooping their poop out of the stall. Hooked them up to a buggy. And then went out on the open road, with crazy drivers in the morning.

To vote! I don't know. I think we can do it. I think we can.

I think we have the technology. But maybe that's just me. Listen to this. Nick Johnson on YouTube.

He just interviewed an Amish man. Listen why they're turning out to vote.

VOICE: The Amish community is more energized. There's more people going to be out voting.

More Amish people out voting, most certainly. I can say that -- a big part of Pennsylvania and the Amish business.

Amish community is no longer farming community.

Where most of the business folk. We understand the importance of having a sound economy.

But, you know, the past four years, you know, I think most people can say, it looked like they were making more money.

And at the end of the day, they were making less.

GLENN: These guys, I mean, you know, they're paying attention. They're paying attention.

STU: It's incredible that the entire country went through what the Amish have went through. It's all hit us the same way. That's incredible.

GLENN: Yeah. Yeah.

So no matter what anybody says, this MAGA movement, is very, very diverse.

It's very diverse.

I'm hoping, that the independents, have been being picked up.

Because, I mean, that's what this thing is. It's no longer. They're just clinging to their God and their guns.

It's not that.

It really. Have you seen the Trump ads lately?

The Trump ads are all about. Instead of just saying, make America great again.

It's, we don't have to live this way.

We are a great nation. A great people. That can rebuild!

But the choices right now, are we going to rebuild? Or are we just going to turn the lights out?

That's the choice! Today is the day, that I believe we prove Thomas Jefferson right.

He said, trust the American people. Now, the left does not trust the American people. I mean, you can't even have -- you can't raise a squirrel from birth, without the government coming in, kicking down your door with guns. And beheading the squirrel.

I mean, that's nuts, gang. That's nuts.

I know. The squirrel joke.

STU: The squirrel joke.

GLENN: Okay. That's crazy.

STU: It is!

GLENN: So trust the American people. One side does not trust the American people. That's why they lie to you, all the time. Because they don't think that you can handle their truth. They don't think that you will agree, with what they believe, because they're the elite. You're the unwashed. Uneducated.

Thomas Jefferson said, the opposite.

Trust the American people. They will get it wrong from time to time.

Even at great measure, they will get it wrong.

But they will eventually figure it out, and correct the mistake. I think America is on the verge of correcting the mistake.

And I don't mean the Biden/Harris administration.

I mean the mistakes of going down this road, where all we do is pick ourself apart.

Say that we're a washed up country. Only look at the scars. Only look at the bad things.

I have no problem looking at the bad things of America. I don't!

I think it's healthy to do that. I think it's healthy to leave the scars. You don't go to a plastic surgeon. That's what they did. By tearing down the statues.

They went to a plastic surgeon, and said, remove all the scars.

No!

Leave them. That scar teaches us, and future generations, don't do that.

That will leave a mark. Well, not if you erase all the marks.

I feel very optimistic today.