Prediction markets estimate Republicans have a 95 percent chance to take back control of the House of Representatives after last week's midterm elections. BUT, Glenn and Stu aren’t so optimistic. In this clip, Stu lays out all the remaining House races, and he explains to Glenn why Republicans getting that magic number of House seats — 218 — still seems like an uphill battle…

Transcript

Below is a rush transcript that may contain errors

STU: So, Glenn.

GLENN: So, Stu. Nothing ever good starts with so, Glenn.

STU: Yeah. Can I walk you through the House?

GLENN: You mean my house? The unfinished house? It will be finished in six weeks now.

STU: Oh, gosh. That's terrible. I thought it was only two.

GLENN: Two. But I know --

STU: Your house will never be finished.

GLENN: Go ahead. Not that house.

STU: Now, Glenn, we have a situation, where let me give you the good news. For example, prediction markets say the House should go Republican. Ninety-five percent chance.

GLENN: 95 percent chance.

STU: That's pretty good.

GLENN: That's really good. Although, I do remember those prediction markets being very, very confident in things like Kari Lake.

STU: They were pretty confident. Now they're not confident in Kari Lake. Now they're not.

GLENN: It's changed now.

STU: In fact, now there's a 95 percent chance that Kari Lake will lose according to the prediction markets.

GLENN: Really? Huh. I wonder what happened there.

STU: Now, that's different -- she probably had a 60-70 percent chance mid-to-late last week.

GLENN: Yeah. So I trust the prediction markets.

STU: Right. They could change. Right?

But that's what they think. They're confident. Almost everybody will tell you, and you've heard this non-stop, even in the mainstream media. The Republicans will likely win the House. But can I be a little pessimistic and walk you through what we have?

GLENN: Is it pessimism, or is it reality?

STU: I think it's reality. I think it's reality.

But it's not all bad news. But just, how confident do you feel in this scenario, that I'm about to walk you through?

GLENN: Okay. I'm guessing zero. But let me hear it.

STU: I went through all the outstanding races. Okay?

Looked at them. And I have -- I don't -- what I tend to find is a somewhat disturbing situation. Okay. So I've ranked all the races in the best chance for Republicans to win.

Okay?

So 212 are pretty much in the bag. 212. Got to get to 218 though.

GLENN: Wow. 218. That's a long way.

STU: That's easy. There's a lot of races. A couple dozen races.

GLENN: Really have to be over to 20, to even -- because you know there are a lot of weasels in there.

STU: Yes. For sure. But 218 is control. And at this point, I will take 218 control. Y, yes. I will too.

STU: All right. So I've ranked them in the old school grading system from -- you know your old high school days. A, B, C, E, F.

GLENN: Oh, that's harsh.

STU: Now, none of these are completely decided, but I came up with three A's. Three.

GLENN: Three. And that means really high, according to the grading scale. These are the best of the best.

STU: Yeah. Not sure things. Let me give you an example of a race that I put as an A.

Lauren Boebert's race in Colorado. That's an A. Now, as of right now, she leads by 0.4 percent with 90 percent of the vote in.

GLENN: How many votes is she actually -- not percentage.

STU: Not percentage.

That's a good question.

I could -- give me one moment, Glenn. Of course, I can pull that up for you. And I am completely prepared to give you any detail.

GLENN: Why are you stalling?

STU: And that's what's important about this particular coverage. I can always tell you at a moment's notice. And people need to understand this.

GLENN: Wow.

STU: I think we understand.

GLENN: I think we're very, very clear. We're looking at the number of votes --

STU: In that race?

Yeah, I've got it at --

GLENN: In that race.

STU: 1,122 thank you.

GLENN: Okay. 1,000 votes away. 99 percent in.

STU: 99 percent in.

And you would think, basically what about we're talking about there. The outstanding vote, couldn't overturn it. Only if there was a recount or something else.

GLENN: All right. I feel good.

STU: I feel good. That's the type of A race I'm talking about.

With three votes, that gets Republicans to 215.

GLENN: Wait, we have three of those. Three A races.

GLENN: That are that good?

STU: I think so. There's another race in New York. 0.4 --

GLENN: Oh, in New York. Okay.


STU: 0.4 percent.

GLENN: That's not Colorado. That's New York. Okay.

STU: Yeah. I mean -- that we say it that way. You know it doesn't sound as good. You know, but --

GLENN: Right. Where is the third one?

STU: Third one.

Uh-oh. That one is in California.

GLENN: California. That one is not even New York.

That's California.

STU: All you have to do is depend on the fine people in New York and California. Again, these are close races.

GLENN: Okay.

STU: But I'm going to go ahead and give us those three. For the optimistic take here on the House.

GLENN: All right. And that gets us to.

STU: Fifteen.

GLENN: 215. Seeming even more cavernous in between 215 and 218.

STU: Right. It seemed really easy.

GLENN: Seemed pretty easy.

STU: With a couple dozen races out there. Why can't he we get -- all we need is six, right?

But now -- I only have three. So now we're at 215. You can say --

GLENN: A B is still passing. It's still a good grade.

STU: Right. It's still a good grade. How many races would you like to see in the B column to make yourself comfortable that Republicans would win?

GLENN: Twenty-seven.

STU: Twenty-seven that's a good number. That's how I would feel, because I always feel that these things will go against us.

GLENN: Sure. How many do we have?

STU: Two. Two races that are B. Just two.

GLENN: Two races. That would take us to -- to 217.

STU: Yes. And you'll be excited that here, in our B's, we have another California.

GLENN: Oh, good.

STU: You're going to be super confident. Because it's Arizona, is the other one.

GLENN: Oh, I hope it's Maricopa County. Because that one has done -- that one has done so well.

STU: Yes. Now, if we assume we have both of the A's and the B's. That gets us to not 218, which is what you need.

GLENN: No. Yeah.

STU: But 217.

GLENN: 217.

STU: Which is one less than what you need.

GLENN: So we don't have control there?

STU: Don't have control at 217.

GLENN: Now, may I ask, how much worse is a B from an A? Is it like 1100 votes?

STU: Okay. You want to go --

GLENN: Or it should be 900 votes.

STU: One race in Arizona. It's a 0.2 percent lead.

GLENN: Uh-huh.

STU: With 94 percent of the voting. That's a B.

A B, a B, boys and girls. I'm not being unfair with these rankings. That's a B. And the only reason I say it's a B, is because it was expected to be a pretty easy -- not an easy win. But it's a purplish district. It was projected to be a Republican-leaning district this time.

Now, of course, we've seen that before.

GLENN: In what state?

STU: In Arizona.

GLENN: Good. Good. All right.

STU: And then we have a race in California, where there is a six--point lead currently for the Republican. However, only 52 percent of the vote in, that will shrink, as we get closer.

GLENN: That's B?

STU: That's B. But that was leaning Republican anyway.

They have the lead. I will give you a B. That gets you to 217. Now you go to C.

GLENN: You just need one of these.

STU: You just need one of them.

And you would like how many to be there? Just get one added.

GLENN: I would like -- this is a C. This is a C.

STU: So, again, you're in toss-up area.

GLENN: So I would like maybe -- maybe I'll shoot low. Five?

STU: Five. That's a nice guy. Unfortunately, you lose.

GLENN: I lose.

STU: Because I only have three. In the C's.

GLENN: You only have three!

STU: Now, if you're optimistic and you take those A's and B's and you're like, we can get these off, that's 217. One of these three.

GLENN: We still have the House. This kids, is going well. Is going well.

I think Mitch McConnell and Kevin McCarthy, I think they've done their job. I think they've done their job.

STU: They should be rewarded with more leadership. Don't you think?

GLENN: They should be rewarded with new positions.

STU: Now, here we have two California races, and a California in the C's.

GLENN: We have, what?

GLENN: Two California races. Please, tell me it's like in the farming area of California.

STU: Some of them are.

Again, California we make fun of. There are races that a lot of Republicans win in California.

Some of them are even favored in. But like, for example, this one, which is a -- a toss-up.

GLENN: It's a toss-up.

STU: A toss-up race, I would say right now. If you look at the projections.

Was a Biden-plus six district. So one that Biden won. But now in this environment, which is not necessarily -- it's only slightly better for Republicans. Maybe. We need the Republican to win. And, of course, we still have 30 percent of the vote to count.

We don't know at this point.

GLENN: Oh, 30.

STU: Then you get into the D's.

GLENN: Wait. That was it?

That was it?

STU: There's 3 C's.

I mean, you have -- I think there's -- there's one that is in Arizona, where the Republican leads by 0.6 percent with 89 percent of the vote in.

Which my A's, I put, if you're over 95 percent in and you're winning, put that as an A. This was at 89 percent in winning. So a chance. Certainly a chance.

And it was a likely Republican district going in. So you would think, maybe there's a chance that some of the -- some of the votes will be -- again, you see me. I'm reaching for some of these. Again, it's close.

0.6 percent lead.

GLENN: But if we won all the C's.

STU: C's, right?

That would give you to 20. Which, again, isn't great.

In fact, a lot of these mainstream people, looking at this, are like, well, we project 221 for Republicans. Plus or minus four.

GLENN: Well, that's -- that's a big plus or minus.

STU: Yes. 225 at this point, would be like, wow. That's fantastic.

217, would be bad. Bad.

GLENN: Yeah. Okay.

STU: Then you have 3D's. Then I have the rest of them are F's. They're not going to win.

GLENN: They're not going to win.

STU: Again, they're all in California, mostly in California. These are all districts that lean Democrat. And the Democrat even had the lead in a bunch of them.

GLENN: May I just ask a quick question.

STU: Yes.

GLENN: Why is it that it just seems to be in the sketchy states, where they can't really count everything?

STU: That might be why we picture them as sketchy.

GLENN: It might be. It might be.

STU: That might be why. It might be something in theory, if as a lawmaker in one of these states, you would be incentivized to correct your terrible practices. Because no one believes your voting anymore.

GLENN: Correct. Or you might not be incentivized.

STU: Yeah. Exactly. So, again, you can see why, right? You would say, hey, Republicans are favored in this race. And I would say, you're probably -- maybe right.

GLENN: No. No. Uh-uh.

STU: But like 95 percent confidence. Do you have 95 percent confidence in that scenario, I just mapped out for you?

GLENN: Wait. Wait. Wait. Are Republicans involved?

STU: They are.

GLENN: No. I don't have any confidence in it then.

STU: You remember us saying over and over again, Republicans should win this election. Unless they screw it up.

GLENN: Which they always do.

STU: They always do.

GLENN: I believe was the rest of that prediction.

STU: They're very good at that. You know, you have a couple of rank choice voting.

GLENN: Now, who would you say -- I'm going to give you time. I'm going to give you time.

Who would you say, are most responsible for that loss. Now, don't answer right away.

I want you to think. Is there anyone that might be responsible, that maybe we should reassign.

And I don't mean reassign their sex.

I mean reassign them to, I don't know.

Basement duty. Instead of running the show.

I just day think about it. I'll give you a minute. It's up to you and me to make a difference. To help our country become free again.

It starts with us. And our children. Look what's going on in our country today. There's a bigger need than ever before, for young people to rise up and say no to big government. But that's not happening. Did you see -- did you see, it was an ASU. Maybe it was ASU, that had the -- the voter polls. 94 percent towards the Democrats.

STU: Yeah. It was good.

GLENN: It was good. No, no, no. Seriously.

STU: Luckily, all those parents paid for the education.

GLENN: Yeah. So that's good.

Anyway, here's what you need to do: I want you to go to TuttleTwinsBeck.com. They're offering three activity workbooks. 35 percent off all their kid's books. These things will teach your kids about freedom. It will also teach your kids about socialism. And why socialism is a siren song.

It is very strong right now, and we shan't listen to it anymore. Please, get these books from the Tuttle Twins. TuttleTwinsBeck.com. TuttleTwinsBeck.com. Keep your kids safe and sane, in a crazy, socialist world. With the TuttleTwinsBeck.com.

Ten-second station ID.
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GLENN: Who do you think is responsible for this?

STU: Based on your lead, I believe --

GLENN: No, no, don't base it on my lead --

STU: I'm trying to analyze this. I believe -- I'm talking it through like I'm on a game show. Based on your question.

GLENN: Based on my question, yes.

STU: Do we have game show music. Based on your question. I think what you want me to say.

GLENN: No. This is not -- no, this is not high school. This is not high school. I'm not a progressive teacher.

STU: I think you would have an opinion on this. And you would say, I guess I would generalize this, as Republican leadership.

GLENN: Mitch McConnell.

STU: Mitch McConnell doesn't have anything to do with the House.

GLENN: No. Mitch McConnell and Kevin McCarthy. Both of them. Both of them should about it. Both of them should go. These guys were the same guys that were in those positions, under Donald Trump.

You know when they got rid of Obamacare.

STU: Glenn, they didn't get rid of --

GLENN: Oh, they didn't get rid of that. Wow. Well, these guys have done an awful lot. And Mitch McConnell and Kevin McCarthy have got to go.

Even if they're a minority, maybe especially since they're the minority leaders.

STU: I mean, after a poor showing, usually, what you see are repercussions for the people who led the charge to the poor showing. That's usually how things work in the world. Right?

GLENN: Yes. But not here.

STU: You're a football coach. Your team is three-nine. And you're not going to make the playoffs. And you have a big payroll. Usually, you get fired.

GLENN: Right.

STU: Usually, what happens?

GLENN: Right.

STU: But that doesn't seem to be the way that these things go in Washington.

GLENN: No. No. Okay. Here are the people that can make Mitch McConnell a thing of the past. Mitt Romney, call his office.

STU: Now, Mitt Romney, is he really going to do a thing about -- he loves it. He's responsible for the red wave. Remember?

GLENN: I know. But this is what he should know.

He should know that I'm going to remember what you said about -- about Mitch McConnell being responsible.

And since you were wrong about that, I'm sure you're going to evict him. And if not, don't worry about it. Because we have a very long memory. And next election, you are out.

Remember, it's only two years.

Deb Fisher from Nebraska. Roger Whittaker from Mississippi. Rick Scott, Florida. Ted Cruz, Texas. Mike Brawn from Indianapolis. From Indiana. Josh Hawley from Missouri. John Barrasso from Wyoming.

Marsha Blackburn. All of these people need to be reminded that when you lose and you have put your money into an Alaska race, that was going to go to the Republican, no matter what. And you doubled down there.

STU: Really egregious.

GLENN: It's really egregious.

He cut money from Arizona. Could have won.

STU: New Hampshire.

GLENN: Could have won.

STU: Took the money from there. Put it into a race, where two Republicans were going against each other. Because he wanted to rescue Lisa Murkowski.

GLENN: Why? And why did he want to do that? Because the candidate running against Lisa Murkowski said, she will not vote for Mitch McConnell as leadership.

All of these senators, all of these senators, know what their constituents are saying about Mitch McConnell. But Mitch McConnell has a very heavy hammer. And he is trying to rush this thing through. You've got to call them today.

The government switchboard at the Capitol is (202)224-3121. Get on the phone. Mitch McConnell, and Kevin McCarthy. Let's start first with the Senate.

Because they're going to be meeting tomorrow. And then I guess voting on Wednesday.

We have a very short time period. Mitch McConnell must not be the majority leader.STU: So, Glenn.

GLENN: So, Stu. Nothing ever good starts with so, Glenn.

STU: Yeah. Can I walk you through the House?

GLENN: You mean my house? The unfinished house? It will be finished in six weeks now.

STU: Oh, gosh. That's terrible. I thought it was only two.

GLENN: Two. But I know --

STU: Your house will never be finished.

GLENN: Go ahead. Not that house.

STU: Now, Glenn, we have a situation, where let me give you the good news. For example, prediction markets say the House should go Republican. Ninety-five percent chance.

GLENN: 95 percent chance.

STU: That's pretty good.

GLENN: That's really good. Although, I do remember those prediction markets being very, very confident in things like Kari Lake.

STU: They were pretty confident. Now they're not confident in Kari Lake. Now they're not.

GLENN: It's changed now.

STU: In fact, now there's a 95 percent chance that Kari Lake will lose according to the prediction markets.

GLENN: Really? Huh. I wonder what happened there.

STU: Now, that's different -- she probably had a 60-70 percent chance mid-to-late last week.

GLENN: Yeah. So I trust the prediction markets.

STU: Right. They could change. Right?

But that's what they think. They're confident. Almost everybody will tell you, and you've heard this non-stop, even in the mainstream media. The Republicans will likely win the House. But can I be a little pessimistic and walk you through what we have?

GLENN: Is it pessimism, or is it reality?

STU: I think it's reality. I think it's reality.

But it's not all bad news. But just, how confident do you feel in this scenario, that I'm about to walk you through?

GLENN: Okay. I'm guessing zero. But let me hear it.

STU: I went through all the outstanding races. Okay?

Looked at them. And I have -- I don't -- what I tend to find is a somewhat disturbing situation. Okay. So I've ranked all the races in the best chance for Republicans to win.

Okay?

So 212 are pretty much in the bag. 212. Got to get to 218 though.

GLENN: Wow. 218. That's a long way.

STU: That's easy. There's a lot of races. A couple dozen races.

GLENN: Really have to be over to 20, to even -- because you know there are a lot of weasels in there.

STU: Yes. For sure. But 218 is control. And at this point, I will take 218 control. Y, yes. I will too.

STU: All right. So I've ranked them in the old school grading system from -- you know your old high school days. A, B, C, E, F.

GLENN: Oh, that's harsh.

STU: Now, none of these are completely decided, but I came up with three A's. Three.

GLENN: Three. And that means really high, according to the grading scale. These are the best of the best.

STU: Yeah. Not sure things. Let me give you an example of a race that I put as an A.

Lauren Boebert's race in Colorado. That's an A. Now, as of right now, she leads by 0.4 percent with 90 percent of the vote in.

GLENN: How many votes is she actually -- not percentage.

STU: Not percentage.

That's a good question.

I could -- give me one moment, Glenn. Of course, I can pull that up for you. And I am completely prepared to give you any detail.

GLENN: Why are you stalling?

STU: And that's what's important about this particular coverage. I can always tell you at a moment's notice. And people need to understand this.

GLENN: Wow.

STU: I think we understand.

GLENN: I think we're very, very clear. We're looking at the number of votes --

STU: In that race?

Yeah, I've got it at --

GLENN: In that race.

STU: 1,122 thank you.

GLENN: Okay. 1,000 votes away. 99 percent in.

STU: 99 percent in.

And you would think, basically what about we're talking about there. The outstanding vote, couldn't overturn it. Only if there was a recount or something else.

GLENN: All right. I feel good.

STU: I feel good. That's the type of A race I'm talking about.

With three votes, that gets Republicans to 215.

GLENN: Wait, we have three of those. Three A races.

GLENN: That are that good?

STU: I think so. There's another race in New York. 0.4 --

GLENN: Oh, in New York. Okay.


STU: 0.4 percent.

GLENN: That's not Colorado. That's New York. Okay.

STU: Yeah. I mean -- that we say it that way. You know it doesn't sound as good. You know, but --

GLENN: Right. Where is the third one?

STU: Third one.

Uh-oh. That one is in California.

GLENN: California. That one is not even New York.

That's California.

STU: All you have to do is depend on the fine people in New York and California. Again, these are close races.

GLENN: Okay.

STU: But I'm going to go ahead and give us those three. For the optimistic take here on the House.

GLENN: All right. And that gets us to.

STU: Fifteen.

GLENN: 215. Seeming even more cavernous in between 215 and 218.

STU: Right. It seemed really easy.

GLENN: Seemed pretty easy.

STU: With a couple dozen races out there. Why can't he we get -- all we need is six, right?

But now -- I only have three. So now we're at 215. You can say --

GLENN: A B is still passing. It's still a good grade.

STU: Right. It's still a good grade. How many races would you like to see in the B column to make yourself comfortable that Republicans would win?

GLENN: Twenty-seven.

STU: Twenty-seven that's a good number. That's how I would feel, because I always feel that these things will go against us.

GLENN: Sure. How many do we have?

STU: Two. Two races that are B. Just two.

GLENN: Two races. That would take us to -- to 217.

STU: Yes. And you'll be excited that here, in our B's, we have another California.

GLENN: Oh, good.

STU: You're going to be super confident. Because it's Arizona, is the other one.

GLENN: Oh, I hope it's Maricopa County. Because that one has done -- that one has done so well.

STU: Yes. Now, if we assume we have both of the A's and the B's. That gets us to not 218, which is what you need.

GLENN: No. Yeah.

STU: But 217.

GLENN: 217.

STU: Which is one less than what you need.

GLENN: So we don't have control there?

STU: Don't have control at 217.

GLENN: Now, may I ask, how much worse is a B from an A? Is it like 1100 votes?

STU: Okay. You want to go --

GLENN: Or it should be 900 votes.

STU: One race in Arizona. It's a 0.2 percent lead.

GLENN: Uh-huh.

STU: With 94 percent of the voting. That's a B.

A B, a B, boys and girls. I'm not being unfair with these rankings. That's a B. And the only reason I say it's a B, is because it was expected to be a pretty easy -- not an easy win. But it's a purplish district. It was projected to be a Republican-leaning district this time.

Now, of course, we've seen that before.

GLENN: In what state?

STU: In Arizona.

GLENN: Good. Good. All right.

STU: And then we have a race in California, where there is a six--point lead currently for the Republican. However, only 52 percent of the vote in, that will shrink, as we get closer.

GLENN: That's B?

STU: That's B. But that was leaning Republican anyway.

They have the lead. I will give you a B. That gets you to 217. Now you go to C.

GLENN: You just need one of these.

STU: You just need one of them.

And you would like how many to be there? Just get one added.

GLENN: I would like -- this is a C. This is a C.

STU: So, again, you're in toss-up area.

GLENN: So I would like maybe -- maybe I'll shoot low. Five?

STU: Five. That's a nice guy. Unfortunately, you lose.

GLENN: I lose.

STU: Because I only have three. In the C's.

GLENN: You only have three!

STU: Now, if you're optimistic and you take those A's and B's and you're like, we can get these off, that's 217. One of these three.

GLENN: We still have the House. This kids, is going well. Is going well.

I think Mitch McConnell and Kevin McCarthy, I think they've done their job. I think they've done their job.

STU: They should be rewarded with more leadership. Don't you think?

GLENN: They should be rewarded with new positions.

STU: Now, here we have two California races, and a California in the C's.

GLENN: We have, what?

GLENN: Two California races. Please, tell me it's like in the farming area of California.

STU: Some of them are.

Again, California we make fun of. There are races that a lot of Republicans win in California.

Some of them are even favored in. But like, for example, this one, which is a -- a toss-up.

GLENN: It's a toss-up.

STU: A toss-up race, I would say right now. If you look at the projections.

Was a Biden-plus six district. So one that Biden won. But now in this environment, which is not necessarily -- it's only slightly better for Republicans. Maybe. We need the Republican to win. And, of course, we still have 30 percent of the vote to count.

We don't know at this point.

GLENN: Oh, 30.

STU: Then you get into the D's.

GLENN: Wait. That was it?

That was it?

STU: There's 3 C's.

I mean, you have -- I think there's -- there's one that is in Arizona, where the Republican leads by 0.6 percent with 89 percent of the vote in.

Which my A's, I put, if you're over 95 percent in and you're winning, put that as an A. This was at 89 percent in winning. So a chance. Certainly a chance.

And it was a likely Republican district going in. So you would think, maybe there's a chance that some of the -- some of the votes will be -- again, you see me. I'm reaching for some of these. Again, it's close.

0.6 percent lead.

GLENN: But if we won all the C's.

STU: C's, right?

That would give you to 20. Which, again, isn't great.

In fact, a lot of these mainstream people, looking at this, are like, well, we project 221 for Republicans. Plus or minus four.

GLENN: Well, that's -- that's a big plus or minus.

STU: Yes. 225 at this point, would be like, wow. That's fantastic.

217, would be bad. Bad.

GLENN: Yeah. Okay.

STU: Then you have 3D's. Then I have the rest of them are F's. They're not going to win.

GLENN: They're not going to win.

STU: Again, they're all in California, mostly in California. These are all districts that lean Democrat. And the Democrat even had the lead in a bunch of them.

GLENN: May I just ask a quick question.

STU: Yes.

GLENN: Why is it that it just seems to be in the sketchy states, where they can't really count everything?

STU: That might be why we picture them as sketchy.

GLENN: It might be. It might be.

STU: That might be why. It might be something in theory, if as a lawmaker in one of these states, you would be incentivized to correct your terrible practices. Because no one believes your voting anymore.

GLENN: Correct. Or you might not be incentivized.

STU: Yeah. Exactly. So, again, you can see why, right? You would say, hey, Republicans are favored in this race. And I would say, you're probably -- maybe right.

GLENN: No. No. Uh-uh.

STU: But like 95 percent confidence. Do you have 95 percent confidence in that scenario, I just mapped out for you?

GLENN: Wait. Wait. Wait. Are Republicans involved?

STU: They are.

GLENN: No. I don't have any confidence in it then.

STU: You remember us saying over and over again, Republicans should win this election. Unless they screw it up.

GLENN: Which they always do.

STU: They always do.

GLENN: I believe was the rest of that prediction.

STU: They're very good at that. You know, you have a couple of rank choice voting.

GLENN: Now, who would you say -- I'm going to give you time. I'm going to give you time.

Who would you say, are most responsible for that loss. Now, don't answer right away.

I want you to think. Is there anyone that might be responsible, that maybe we should reassign.

And I don't mean reassign their sex.

I mean reassign them to, I don't know.

Basement duty. Instead of running the show.

I just day think about it. I'll give you a minute. It's up to you and me to make a difference. To help our country become free again.

It starts with us. And our children. Look what's going on in our country today. There's a bigger need than ever before, for young people to rise up and say no to big government. But that's not happening. Did you see -- did you see, it was an ASU. Maybe it was ASU, that had the -- the voter polls. 94 percent towards the Democrats.

STU: Yeah. It was good.

GLENN: It was good. No, no, no. Seriously.

STU: Luckily, all those parents paid for the education.

GLENN: Yeah. So that's good.

Anyway, here's what you need to do: I want you to go to TuttleTwinsBeck.com. They're offering three activity workbooks. 35 percent off all their kid's books. These things will teach your kids about freedom. It will also teach your kids about socialism. And why socialism is a siren song.

It is very strong right now, and we shan't listen to it anymore. Please, get these books from the Tuttle Twins. TuttleTwinsBeck.com. TuttleTwinsBeck.com. Keep your kids safe and sane, in a crazy, socialist world. With the TuttleTwinsBeck.com.

Ten-second station ID.
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GLENN: Who do you think is responsible for this?

STU: Based on your lead, I believe --

GLENN: No, no, don't base it on my lead --

STU: I'm trying to analyze this. I believe -- I'm talking it through like I'm on a game show. Based on your question.

GLENN: Based on my question, yes.

STU: Do we have game show music. Based on your question. I think what you want me to say.

GLENN: No. This is not -- no, this is not high school. This is not high school. I'm not a progressive teacher.

STU: I think you would have an opinion on this. And you would say, I guess I would generalize this, as Republican leadership.

GLENN: Mitch McConnell.

STU: Mitch McConnell doesn't have anything to do with the House.

GLENN: No. Mitch McConnell and Kevin McCarthy. Both of them. Both of them should about it. Both of them should go. These guys were the same guys that were in those positions, under Donald Trump.

You know when they got rid of Obamacare.

STU: Glenn, they didn't get rid of --

GLENN: Oh, they didn't get rid of that. Wow. Well, these guys have done an awful lot. And Mitch McConnell and Kevin McCarthy have got to go.

Even if they're a minority, maybe especially since they're the minority leaders.

STU: I mean, after a poor showing, usually, what you see are repercussions for the people who led the charge to the poor showing. That's usually how things work in the world. Right?

GLENN: Yes. But not here.

STU: You're a football coach. Your team is three-nine. And you're not going to make the playoffs. And you have a big payroll. Usually, you get fired.

GLENN: Right.

STU: Usually, what happens?

GLENN: Right.

STU: But that doesn't seem to be the way that these things go in Washington.

GLENN: No. No. Okay. Here are the people that can make Mitch McConnell a thing of the past. Mitt Romney, call his office.

STU: Now, Mitt Romney, is he really going to do a thing about -- he loves it. He's responsible for the red wave. Remember?

GLENN: I know. But this is what he should know.

He should know that I'm going to remember what you said about -- about Mitch McConnell being responsible.

And since you were wrong about that, I'm sure you're going to evict him. And if not, don't worry about it. Because we have a very long memory. And next election, you are out.

Remember, it's only two years.

Deb Fisher from Nebraska. Roger Whittaker from Mississippi. Rick Scott, Florida. Ted Cruz, Texas. Mike Brawn from Indianapolis. From Indiana. Josh Hawley from Missouri. John Barrasso from Wyoming.

Marsha Blackburn. All of these people need to be reminded that when you lose and you have put your money into an Alaska race, that was going to go to the Republican, no matter what. And you doubled down there.

STU: Really egregious.

GLENN: It's really egregious.

He cut money from Arizona. Could have won.

STU: New Hampshire.

GLENN: Could have won.

STU: Took the money from there. Put it into a race, where two Republicans were going against each other. Because he wanted to rescue Lisa Murkowski.

GLENN: Why? And why did he want to do that? Because the candidate running against Lisa Murkowski said, she will not vote for Mitch McConnell as leadership.

All of these senators, all of these senators, know what their constituents are saying about Mitch McConnell. But Mitch McConnell has a very heavy hammer. And he is trying to rush this thing through. You've got to call them today.

The government switchboard at the Capitol is (202)224-3121. Get on the phone. Mitch McConnell, and Kevin McCarthy. Let's start first with the Senate.

Because they're going to be meeting tomorrow. And then I guess voting on Wednesday.

We have a very short time period. Mitch McConnell must not be the majority leader.